02:15 PM STL CARDINALS -200 ( J NIESE -L / C MARTINEZ -R )
04:05 PM PHI PHILLIES -154 ( J DE LA CRUZ -R / J EICKHOFF -R )
01:35 PM BOS RED SOX -180 ( N MARTINEZ -R / R PORCELLO -R )
02:10 PM HOU ASTROS -165 ( W MILEY -L / L MCCULLERS -R )
07:05 PM TOR BLUE JAYS -190 ( E VOLQUEZ -R / A SANCHEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 8.43 ....betdsi line
02:20 PM CHI CUBS -245 ( C REED -L / K HENDRICKS -R )
04:05 PM SFO GIANTS -140 ( T ANDERSON -L / J PEAVY -R )
01:35 PM TOTAL o10.5 -110 (TEX RANGERS vrs BOS RED SOX) ( N MARTINEZ -R / R PORCELLO -R )
09:10 PM LA DODGERS -153 ( Y GALLARDO -R / J URIAS -L )
1 unit bet pays 6.62 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-95, -23.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
:00x21
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Guerra is coming off the Crew's best start of the year, shutting out the Dodgers over eight innings with seven K's on Wednesday. Catcher Jonathan Lucroy said after the game that Guerra's splitter was beginning to show rare cutting action as well.
Scherzer is 9-5 with a 2.62 ERA in 18 day games since joining the Nationals....Scherzer has been a much better pitcher at home this season, posting a 3.19 ERA and a stingy .177 opponent batting average at Nationals Park, and he has a 2.89 career ERA against Milwaukee.
Hottest pitcher: Danny Salazar, Indians (10-3, 2.22 ERA)
Salazar has been phenomenal this season, going 10-3 with a 2.2 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 15 starts overall. He has recorded 107 strikeouts over 93 1/3 innings while keeping the opposition down with a .185 opponent batting average. Salazar has quality starts in five of the past six while winning each of his past six outings. The Indians are also 6-1 in their past seven against left-handed starting pitching, and 6-1 in the past seven against the Tigers at home. Cleveland has dominated Detroit lately, winning 14 of the past 16 meetings overall.
Coldest pitcher: Jonathon Niese, Pittsburgh (6-6, 5.07 ERA)
Niese started the season off fine, but he has since fallen on hard times. The southpaw has allowed four or more runs in each of his past four starts, all losses. He looks to get better against the Cardinals Monday. He is 0-1 wth a 10.45 ERA in two starts against St. Louis this season, giving up 13 runs - 12 earned - over 10 1/3 innings with a .356 opponent batting average. Until the veteran left-handed finds a way to contain the St. Louis Cardinals, avoid taking the Bucs with Niese on the bump.
Tropeano will be called up from Triple-A to start the opener against the Rays. The 25-year-old gave up three earned runs or fewer in eight of 10 starts, then spent three weeks on the disabled list with a shoulder injury.
Matt Moore is 8-4 with a 4.03 ERA in 15 career starts in July and 14-8 with a 4.40 ERA in 34 day starts, while vs the Halos he has gone 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in four starts.....Moore has quietly strung together several solid outings, pitching at least six frames in six of his past seven efforts, striking out 41 while walking just 12 in 45 1/3 innings. Backed by the pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field and facing the middling Los Angeles Angels...Matt Moore - 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks. He's coming off a 5 ER start, which was only three removed from another 5 ER start. Don't be a fool and buy into this, even if it came against the super strong Sawx.
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
LA-TB-- Tropeano 2-10; Moore 3-16
KC-Tor-- Volquez 4-17; Sanchez 3-16
Det-Clev-- Norris 0-2; Salazar 1-15
Pitt-StL-- Niese 3-16; Martinez 1-15
Martinez has a 0.64 ERA over his last four starts, 28.1 innings, 2 runs allowed - but STL (bullpen) has lost 3 of those games he started! Two of those losses STL was -170 and -175 fave...
Peavy is 17-24 with a 4.47 ERA in 52 career starts in July and 49-34 with a 3.61 ERA in 107 career day starts, while vs the Rockies he has gone 7-8 with a 4.17 ERA in 23 career starts.
Royals are 5-13 in last 18 road games, 4-9 in road series openers.
I know it was a rained shortened start and not truly enough to make harsh judgements one way or another, but I feel the need to discuss Matt Harvey's brief outing tonight against the Nationals that ended in a 3.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks line as the rain poured like emptying a pail filled with heavy water. Yes, heavy water. I was watching for Giolito's debut, but I found myself taking more note of Harvey as he struggled in a few areas. First, he couldn't hit spots like he used to. Like at all. His first run came off an RBI triple from Anthony Rendon on a Fastball down the heart of the plate. Then his Slider wasn't looking good at all, and he kept walking batters to the point that he looked a bit shaky even in Giolito's only at-bat. I was buying into the idea that Harvey would be returning to Top 15 value shortly, but I'm not sure I believe that anymore. It's possible the rain affected him, but this is a bad outing in everything but the ERA.
Biggest UNDER run: Astros (5-2 past 7)
The 'under' has cashed in five of the past seven for Houston, and their pitching has been a large part of that success. Houston has allowed 3.0 runs per game during the past six outings, and while the 'under' has hit in five of the past seven overall. Look for the 'under' to continue for the Astros. Houston faces a Seattle team which has seen the under hit in five of their past six road, including 4-0 in their past four road outings against teams with a winning overall record. The under is also 5-0 in Lance McCullers' past five home starts, and 4-1 in his past six home outings against a team with a winning overall record.
Biggest OVER run: Athletics (9-1-1 past 11)
The offense has been flowing for the Oakland Athletics lately, and the 'over' has been a frequent result. The over is 9-1-1 in Oakland's past 11 games overall, and 5-1-1 in their past seven agianst right-handed starting pitching. While the under is 10-4-1 in Kendall Graveman's past 15 against a team with a losing overall record, the 'over' is 4-1 in Graveman's past five outings on the road.
ORIOLES (Gallardo) @ DODGERS (Urias)
Take: DODGERS -1 (-148 ML, +145 RL)
I?ll go the -1 route today with the Dodgers. This can be accomplished easily for those without access to actual -1 lines, by splitting the bet between the money line and the runs line.
The Orioles head to Los Angeles off a rough weekend at Safeco, as Baltimore got swept in a four-game set by the Mariners. The Birds have now lost five straight, and their pitching staff got mauled by the hot hitting Seattle team.
I don?t anticipate the Dodgers bombing out the Orioles in similar fashion, as they simply aren?t as explosive with the sticks. But I also don?t see the hosts having to put a bunch on the board here, as I?m banking on teenage sensation Julio Urias to contain the Baltimore bats pretty well.
Urias had a rough time in his first couple of major league starts. He couldn?t get through three innings in his debut against the Mets, and Urias also found the going tough at Wrigley Field in his second start. But things have gone much more smoothly since, and Urias comes into this matchup on a nice little roll.
Urias is being well protected by the Dodgers. He?s not being allowed to work deep into games, and in fact the lefty is supposed to make just a few more starts before being moved to the pen to save innings. That might change now with the Clayton Kershaw injury, but either way, Urias won?t pitch more than five or six innings in any of his remaining starts.
One thing that?s certain is that the hype surrounding Urias is legitimate. This kid has dynamic stuff and as long as he stays healthy physically, he?s about as can?t miss as it gets in terms of his future.
Yovani Gallardo will try to get past the Dodgers with his assortment of pitches, none of which get to the plate with much velocity. Gallardo now relies on his mid-80?s slider more than any other pitch, and he has now arrived at the point of his career where it?s all about location. When he?s got it, Gallardo can still get by. When the command is off, the veteran right becomes very vulnerable.
Give Gallado credit, he?s finding a way to get by. He?s clearly not dominating anymore, but the savvy is still there and Gallardo is certainly capable of putting together a quality start for six or so innings. So while I like Urias better here, it?s not an overwhelming differential on the mound.
What I like more here is that I?m seeing two teams traveling in different directions right now. Baltimore has lost four straight, while the Dodgers are playing pretty good ball and they?ve now won four in a row.
I made this number a bit higher than where it presently stands based on the pitching and team form. However, it?s not so cheap that I?m comfortable playing a full unit on LA money line. I?d rather reduce the liability and therefore, I?m splitting this into a ML/RL split.
916 TAM (-130)
Matt Moore is healthy and pitching well again. Tampa Bay is a favorable spot, too, catching the West Coast Angels traveling for this early start. Moore is off his best start - seven scoreless innings against Boston this past Wednesday. The southpaw draws the Angels at low ebb, winners of just two of their last 13 games. Moore is 3-0 in four lifetime starts versus the Angels with a 1.52 ERA in 23 2/3 innings. The Angels are 9-14 against lefties.
The Angels have lost during the past eight times they've opened a series.
NickTropeano is a fringe starter getting a call up from the minors to make his first big league start since May 29. Tropeano had been dealing with a shoulder injury.
The Rays have had a cluster injury problem in the outfield, but have Steven Souza back and Desmond Jennings could return today.
04:05 PM PHI PHILLIES -154 ( J DE LA CRUZ -R / J EICKHOFF -R )
01:35 PM BOS RED SOX -180 ( N MARTINEZ -R / R PORCELLO -R )
02:10 PM HOU ASTROS -165 ( W MILEY -L / L MCCULLERS -R )
07:05 PM TOR BLUE JAYS -190 ( E VOLQUEZ -R / A SANCHEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 8.43 ....betdsi line
02:20 PM CHI CUBS -245 ( C REED -L / K HENDRICKS -R )
04:05 PM SFO GIANTS -140 ( T ANDERSON -L / J PEAVY -R )
01:35 PM TOTAL o10.5 -110 (TEX RANGERS vrs BOS RED SOX) ( N MARTINEZ -R / R PORCELLO -R )
09:10 PM LA DODGERS -153 ( Y GALLARDO -R / J URIAS -L )
1 unit bet pays 6.62 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-95, -23.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:00x21
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Guerra is coming off the Crew's best start of the year, shutting out the Dodgers over eight innings with seven K's on Wednesday. Catcher Jonathan Lucroy said after the game that Guerra's splitter was beginning to show rare cutting action as well.
Scherzer is 9-5 with a 2.62 ERA in 18 day games since joining the Nationals....Scherzer has been a much better pitcher at home this season, posting a 3.19 ERA and a stingy .177 opponent batting average at Nationals Park, and he has a 2.89 career ERA against Milwaukee.
Hottest pitcher: Danny Salazar, Indians (10-3, 2.22 ERA)
Salazar has been phenomenal this season, going 10-3 with a 2.2 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 15 starts overall. He has recorded 107 strikeouts over 93 1/3 innings while keeping the opposition down with a .185 opponent batting average. Salazar has quality starts in five of the past six while winning each of his past six outings. The Indians are also 6-1 in their past seven against left-handed starting pitching, and 6-1 in the past seven against the Tigers at home. Cleveland has dominated Detroit lately, winning 14 of the past 16 meetings overall.
Coldest pitcher: Jonathon Niese, Pittsburgh (6-6, 5.07 ERA)
Niese started the season off fine, but he has since fallen on hard times. The southpaw has allowed four or more runs in each of his past four starts, all losses. He looks to get better against the Cardinals Monday. He is 0-1 wth a 10.45 ERA in two starts against St. Louis this season, giving up 13 runs - 12 earned - over 10 1/3 innings with a .356 opponent batting average. Until the veteran left-handed finds a way to contain the St. Louis Cardinals, avoid taking the Bucs with Niese on the bump.
Tropeano will be called up from Triple-A to start the opener against the Rays. The 25-year-old gave up three earned runs or fewer in eight of 10 starts, then spent three weeks on the disabled list with a shoulder injury.
Matt Moore is 8-4 with a 4.03 ERA in 15 career starts in July and 14-8 with a 4.40 ERA in 34 day starts, while vs the Halos he has gone 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in four starts.....Moore has quietly strung together several solid outings, pitching at least six frames in six of his past seven efforts, striking out 41 while walking just 12 in 45 1/3 innings. Backed by the pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field and facing the middling Los Angeles Angels...Matt Moore - 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks. He's coming off a 5 ER start, which was only three removed from another 5 ER start. Don't be a fool and buy into this, even if it came against the super strong Sawx.
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
LA-TB-- Tropeano 2-10; Moore 3-16
KC-Tor-- Volquez 4-17; Sanchez 3-16
Det-Clev-- Norris 0-2; Salazar 1-15
Pitt-StL-- Niese 3-16; Martinez 1-15
Martinez has a 0.64 ERA over his last four starts, 28.1 innings, 2 runs allowed - but STL (bullpen) has lost 3 of those games he started! Two of those losses STL was -170 and -175 fave...
Peavy is 17-24 with a 4.47 ERA in 52 career starts in July and 49-34 with a 3.61 ERA in 107 career day starts, while vs the Rockies he has gone 7-8 with a 4.17 ERA in 23 career starts.
Royals are 5-13 in last 18 road games, 4-9 in road series openers.
I know it was a rained shortened start and not truly enough to make harsh judgements one way or another, but I feel the need to discuss Matt Harvey's brief outing tonight against the Nationals that ended in a 3.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks line as the rain poured like emptying a pail filled with heavy water. Yes, heavy water. I was watching for Giolito's debut, but I found myself taking more note of Harvey as he struggled in a few areas. First, he couldn't hit spots like he used to. Like at all. His first run came off an RBI triple from Anthony Rendon on a Fastball down the heart of the plate. Then his Slider wasn't looking good at all, and he kept walking batters to the point that he looked a bit shaky even in Giolito's only at-bat. I was buying into the idea that Harvey would be returning to Top 15 value shortly, but I'm not sure I believe that anymore. It's possible the rain affected him, but this is a bad outing in everything but the ERA.
Biggest UNDER run: Astros (5-2 past 7)
The 'under' has cashed in five of the past seven for Houston, and their pitching has been a large part of that success. Houston has allowed 3.0 runs per game during the past six outings, and while the 'under' has hit in five of the past seven overall. Look for the 'under' to continue for the Astros. Houston faces a Seattle team which has seen the under hit in five of their past six road, including 4-0 in their past four road outings against teams with a winning overall record. The under is also 5-0 in Lance McCullers' past five home starts, and 4-1 in his past six home outings against a team with a winning overall record.
Biggest OVER run: Athletics (9-1-1 past 11)
The offense has been flowing for the Oakland Athletics lately, and the 'over' has been a frequent result. The over is 9-1-1 in Oakland's past 11 games overall, and 5-1-1 in their past seven agianst right-handed starting pitching. While the under is 10-4-1 in Kendall Graveman's past 15 against a team with a losing overall record, the 'over' is 4-1 in Graveman's past five outings on the road.
ORIOLES (Gallardo) @ DODGERS (Urias)
Take: DODGERS -1 (-148 ML, +145 RL)
I?ll go the -1 route today with the Dodgers. This can be accomplished easily for those without access to actual -1 lines, by splitting the bet between the money line and the runs line.
The Orioles head to Los Angeles off a rough weekend at Safeco, as Baltimore got swept in a four-game set by the Mariners. The Birds have now lost five straight, and their pitching staff got mauled by the hot hitting Seattle team.
I don?t anticipate the Dodgers bombing out the Orioles in similar fashion, as they simply aren?t as explosive with the sticks. But I also don?t see the hosts having to put a bunch on the board here, as I?m banking on teenage sensation Julio Urias to contain the Baltimore bats pretty well.
Urias had a rough time in his first couple of major league starts. He couldn?t get through three innings in his debut against the Mets, and Urias also found the going tough at Wrigley Field in his second start. But things have gone much more smoothly since, and Urias comes into this matchup on a nice little roll.
Urias is being well protected by the Dodgers. He?s not being allowed to work deep into games, and in fact the lefty is supposed to make just a few more starts before being moved to the pen to save innings. That might change now with the Clayton Kershaw injury, but either way, Urias won?t pitch more than five or six innings in any of his remaining starts.
One thing that?s certain is that the hype surrounding Urias is legitimate. This kid has dynamic stuff and as long as he stays healthy physically, he?s about as can?t miss as it gets in terms of his future.
Yovani Gallardo will try to get past the Dodgers with his assortment of pitches, none of which get to the plate with much velocity. Gallardo now relies on his mid-80?s slider more than any other pitch, and he has now arrived at the point of his career where it?s all about location. When he?s got it, Gallardo can still get by. When the command is off, the veteran right becomes very vulnerable.
Give Gallado credit, he?s finding a way to get by. He?s clearly not dominating anymore, but the savvy is still there and Gallardo is certainly capable of putting together a quality start for six or so innings. So while I like Urias better here, it?s not an overwhelming differential on the mound.
What I like more here is that I?m seeing two teams traveling in different directions right now. Baltimore has lost four straight, while the Dodgers are playing pretty good ball and they?ve now won four in a row.
I made this number a bit higher than where it presently stands based on the pitching and team form. However, it?s not so cheap that I?m comfortable playing a full unit on LA money line. I?d rather reduce the liability and therefore, I?m splitting this into a ML/RL split.
916 TAM (-130)
Matt Moore is healthy and pitching well again. Tampa Bay is a favorable spot, too, catching the West Coast Angels traveling for this early start. Moore is off his best start - seven scoreless innings against Boston this past Wednesday. The southpaw draws the Angels at low ebb, winners of just two of their last 13 games. Moore is 3-0 in four lifetime starts versus the Angels with a 1.52 ERA in 23 2/3 innings. The Angels are 9-14 against lefties.
The Angels have lost during the past eight times they've opened a series.
NickTropeano is a fringe starter getting a call up from the minors to make his first big league start since May 29. Tropeano had been dealing with a shoulder injury.
The Rays have had a cluster injury problem in the outfield, but have Steven Souza back and Desmond Jennings could return today.
