mONDAY mADNESS tOURNEYS bEGINNING!! sOME iNTERESTING tOTALS tO cONSIDER

LordofBalls

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hey guys... lets get right at it!

Went thru last nite, as I've stated before, in these conference matchups, I look at the teams histories against each other... most of the coaches do Not change from yr to yr.. and in the small and mid-major conferences most of the players stay all 4 yrs, so the strategies often remain similar, and results "MAY" do that also!

NOTE: Previous performance may not be indicative of current results! So try to fin add'l info, whatever you can to help decide whether it's a play or not...
Yesterday's stuff ended up pretty true to form.. not perfect, but a very good day!

and

WHO OUT HERE IS PERFECT ON THEIR SELECTIONS?
No fuggn body... so do NOT bring negative vibes in here or any other thread bitching cuz somebody "gave you losers"... aaight?

Now... let's all be adults about it and move onward (and hopefully UPward these next few wks of cbk)!!

Monday Stuff
I go thru each matchup... write down the total pts scored in the last 5 gms they've played vs each other AND the 1st Half total scores too (when available)...
THERE ARE STILL A FEW GAMES i'M TRYING TO FIND 1H SCORES FROM... WILL UPDATE THIS AFTERNOON IF i CAN FIND EM AND THERE'S ANY 'SIGNIFICANT TRENDS'....

I will ONLY discuss those where I see a pattern/trend... and hope that Hawkeye or someone matches up w/their stuff and it's usually pretty successful then x11:

I Believe in these Tourney situations, it's a "little more likely" for coaches to try and extend the game w/fouling in most situations.. IF they're gonna do it, I hope they don't just wait until the last min to start.. sooo stupid sometimes!

check around... see what others post... don't follow blindly.. I've only played a few so far.. THESE ARE what I PLAN on playing


Delaware St v Savannah St (op @ 153.. up to 155.5)
L5 gms were: 149- 192- 173- 121- 111...
***MY PLay... leaning OVER.. will decide for sure after checking out other sites, etc

W. Mich v C. Mich (opened 152.5, immediately went to 154)
*TODAY's 1H total opened @ 73.. dropped to 71.5 ~~ Prev 1H results were: 67- 74- 65- 72- 87...
*Prev gm scores were: 157- 149- 155- 170- 168.... << 4 of 5 exceed today's posted total
**Which MEANS that 2H Scores WERE: 90- 75- 90- 98- 81 << wow!
***MY PLay... Strong Play = 2H OVER anything 81ish or less... Med Play Gm Over... will start a 3 tm par w/2 open spots


Ball St v E. Mich (op @ 130, has now moved up to 133)
*I don't see anything that stands out for 1H...
*Prev Gm Scores were: 129- 166- 99- 134- 151...
**MY Play... small/medium play OVER... I will start a 3 tm parlay (w/2 open), and buy it down to 131.5...


Monmouth v Iona <<op @ 145... down to 138 :confused::confused:
L5 gm scores: 164- 187- 122- 149- 149
***MY PLay... gm OVER 136.5.... Medium play... don't know why it's dropped so much... ck around.. ?


NC Greens v Wofford < this one surprised me
*Op @ 141.5... dropped to 136.5... (I couldn't play it last night.. no access)
*L5 gms 1h's were: 66- 52- 53- 69- 80....
*L5 Final scores were: 130- 115- 111- 142- 138 << surprisingly LOW to me
** MY Play... Med/Strong play UNDER 136.5... I will buy to 137.5


W. Illinois v N. Dakota St (total 138... WHY so LOW??)
Prev scores 1H: 77- 69- 58- 82- 86...
Prev GM scores: 154- 154- 156- 149- 191... << ALL Wayyy OV the 138 for tonite's gm... ??
***MY PLay.... GM OVER 136.5 w/buy


this is taking wayyy too long for me to put all this info up... sorry

Mia-Oh v Akron.... op 127.5... now 130.5
*5 prev gms land on 128/129/126/149/191...
***MY PLay... OVER... open 3tm par.. buy down to 128.5

6pm) Pepperd v Gonzaga (op 158.. now 156.5)
L5 1h's were: 86- 71- 64- 64- 81...
L5 Gms were: 156- 148- 148- 145- 154... < Lower than I expected...
**MY PLay... gm and 2h UNDERS... Med plays

630pm) IPFW v Neb-Omaha... op 164.5... dropped to 162.5...
can't find info on 1h's...
**L5 gms were: 145- 164 (ot)- 175- 160- 164- 209 (ot)... these are High-scoring tms when they matchup.. tight line
***MY PLay... Leaning OVERRR... will ck around before I pull the trigger.. and searching for 1h's too!

will try to post again if/when I find anything!

whatever u play...

Best o'Luck!!

LoB




 

LordofBalls

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Fyi ~ Hawkeye's stuff matches up w/W.Ill gm OVER the total... usually a good sign :0074


Now, several of these small/mid-major conferences have been playing their conf tourneys for a few days now..
and the tms that win are playing their 3rd gm in a row maybe...


People keep talking about "tired legs"... and I'm NOT a big believer in that.. these guys are early 20's..
been playing and running for the last 6 months... and playing 30 mins/gm 3 days in a row is FUN for them!
better than practicing for sure!

So.. maybe the bigger guys might get tired, but they're not Wilt the Stilt playing every minute heah..
and I believe the guards and swingmen are NOT gonna be tired..

still gonna look around some more.. but I like that gm over such a low number

gl all... I'll be bkk later..

Just found out it's National Nap Day!! :00hour


:0028
 

LordofBalls

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2nd Half W. Michigan soooo close u fuggrs... arrrgh!
no pts in last :30 secs to fall short by a bucket (1pt to tie/2pts to win)
THAT would've reeeally helped!

WON W. Illinois OVER :0008
Loser w/Ball St staying under... :(
 
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