Monday May 21st

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Monday May 21st 2007

yesterday: 7-5 -2.14
May: 118-89 +26.42
ml 65-34 +14.93
rl 8-9 -1.02
totals 29-29 +0.45
parlays 16-17 +12.06
system sides now 63-37 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Cin 76% (-230)+6 RL 62 (-107)+10
Ariz 62 (-173)-2
mil 57 (-101)+6
Sf 55 (-133)-3
Nyy 56 (-130)-1
Tex 57 (-107)+5
Cws 59 (-120)+4
Clev 66 (-225)-4 RL 51 (-108)-1

system totals

seat@Clev ov9 66% (-110)+13


System sides a rough 6-9 yesterday; now 168-107 for May (61.1% winners).
System totals an incredible 7-0 yesterday, with 2 over calls being vanquished by key umpire information; system totals a respectable 40-29 for May (58% winners).
Interleague was brutal. My only saving grace this weekend was on totals, including a 4-0 yesterday, to bring my May total into the positive. Sides were rough for interleague, with system picks going a brutal 2-7. Hopefully a return to standard action will see system calls return to their form from earlier this month.

Mariners a solid .799 OPS vs lefties, and playing in a hitter's park, therefore the system call on an over; Baek can be hit, and Indians OPS .794 vs righties, .820 at home.

Need a decent day to stop a bad slide.
Can't rely on the Senators and Ducks to save me, anymore. Well, at least not until Thursday, when the Ducks will hopefully end their series with the Red Wings.

Be back to post my plays shortly.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

recommended team totals

recommended team totals

rockies over 4 +120
--check out the Rockies production vs Webb in 3 meetings this year; they've produced

brewers over 4 -130
--Tomko is the most hittable of all Dodgers starters; Brewers OPS .768 vs righties

NYY over 5 +100
--probably safer to play the moneyline, as it's relatively cheap for the Yanks at home; Yanks have hit Wakefield before (33 HR surrendered in 193.1 IP vs); Yankees have scored 13 runs over their past 2, against decent pitching, and in a pitcher's park at Shea...should continue here

Rangers over 5 +105
--another one probably safer on the moneyline, as it's cheap; hard to argue against the Rangers scoring 5 vs Silva, here, the way they lit up the scoreboard yesterday; coming home to their stomping grounds (.803 OPS at home last year, a slow start .765 this year) and getting the DH back to boot

White Sox over 4 -135
--5 or more runs may be enough for Contreras, against a weak hitting A's lineup (A's .704 OPS vs righties), so the moneyline may again be the better play (very cheap in the -120 range); Blanton has been decent but Chisox bats coming to life lately (so far only .697 OPS vs righties and .677 OPS at home--they had an .830 OPS at home last season)

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

a good day to take off, but...

a good day to take off, but...

PLAYS

system sides

Reds -1.5 107 1.07/1

other sides

brewers +104 0.8/0.83
Yankees -130 2.6/2
Rangers -107 1.07/1
Chisox -120 1.8/1.5

2-teamer
--Reds ml
--Indians ml
+109
1/1.09


Reds should be safe as Speigner should be lit up and Arroyo is about the best the Reds have to offer. Brewers worth a shot though Suppan has stumbled a bit, lately; Tomko easily the Dodgers worst starter. Hope the Yanks don?t burn me (again), but I gotta try them here after their strong showing yesterday; I think Wakefield's era goes up in this one. Like the Rangers to maybe continue their hot hitting from yesteday; Silva has come back to earth after his terrific start; Padilla crapiness is the only question mark for this one. Also looking for the Chisox to continue their play from yesterday; A's bats have overachieved lately, and may come back to earth with a decent Contreras start.

I'd try the Indians runline, but M's sticks have hit lefties well. Still, Indians should get what they need vs Baek, to win at least. M's were a great dissappointment yesterday, so a fade in this one seems worthwhile.

That's it from here.
GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Thank Hendrix For Small miracles

Thank Hendrix For Small miracles

Jeez...

I had the Reds and the Pistons parlayed

HUGE!

Am I one lucky focker tonight

:00hour

:weed:

:SIB

System picks looking to go 8-0 today.
Needs the brewers and Giants to pull W's.

Will have tomorrow's up soon.

Party On!
:00hour

:SIB

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

nice work ex :toast: