MONDAY NITE PUFFY STYLE!!

ALWAYS PRAYEN

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Sep 24, 2001
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Green Bay is a GREAT team no doubt but COMON MAN!!! 14 pts?

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MINN`/ UNDER 1200/1000



Good Luck Puffers!!!!!
 

ALWAYS PRAYEN

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Sep 24, 2001
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Green Bay is unbeaten but the Packers are not that dominant and will probably lose a few games down the stretch. The Packers have only out-gained their opponents by 18 total yards per game and the 6.3 yards per play that their defense has allowed should be a real concern for Packers? fans. Minnesota just racked up 435 yards at 6.7 yppl against that defense 3 weeks ago in a 27-33 home loss and I think the Vikings will stay within the number in this game. The Vikings are much better than their 2-6 record would indicate, as they?ve only been out-gained 5.5 yppl to 5.7 yppl while being out-scored by just 3.4 points per game. My math model favors Green Bay by 11 points and Minnesota applies to a 128-54-4 ATS statistical match-up indicator. Bad teams coming off their bye week have also been good bets historically, as teams that are 3 games or more below .500 are 78-40 ATS following their bye as long as they?re not favored by more than 3 points. There was a theory that the mandatory 4 full days away from football during the bye week that the players negotiated in the last collective bargaining agreement has affected how teams play after their bye week but teams off a bye are 12-12 straight up and 12-11-1 ATS, so that theory doesn?t really hold water. Regardless of whether the Vikings will be improved off their bye week, they?re certainly good enough to stay within two touchdowns of a defenseless Packers team that?s only won 2 games by more than 11 points.
 
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