FL -101
Milk +200
Phelps (11.2 inn, 12 hits, 2 er, 8 bb, 1.71 whip) has much better numbers than Condrey (brutal). But mostly I like the lingering "new manager effect" to keep these Fish carrying over focus from last game.
taking Brewers 'cause it's the Cubs!
Well, some explination...Cubbies/Prior blew a fine chalk parlay for me last week with unpredictable and inexplicable bullpen blowup (gave up 3 runs in each last two frames). That caused me to recall Cubbies awlful record last season when a big fave.
Looked it up and they are already 2-5 this season when -200 or greater! And like last season, the times they lose are due to unpredictable---and usually unexpected----reasons (Perez, with 9.00 era deciding to be Cy Young one night, or Eaton throwing 7 inn shutout, or Prior having meltdown, or that bullpen having worst day of season). Only one made sense (Sheets' comprehensive domination of them, and I posted here that I was on that big dog!).
If Cubbies lose today, it could be part a good reason, with Rusch near domination of them. But doesn't matter, since Cubbies lose as huge chalk this and last season due most time to unpredictable and usually inexplicable reasons.
That means the only intelligent way to bet these games it to bet against Cubbies absolutely blind, with no reference to the matchup that day whatsover. That's what the fact dictate.
I really doubt they will screw Prior twice in a row, but then you don't know, and team might not have much to do with it anyway, given Rusch's numbers here it might rest primarily on Prior.
Went 3-1 yesterday, will update record when I get some time for it!
any comments?
good luck all!
Milk +200
Phelps (11.2 inn, 12 hits, 2 er, 8 bb, 1.71 whip) has much better numbers than Condrey (brutal). But mostly I like the lingering "new manager effect" to keep these Fish carrying over focus from last game.
taking Brewers 'cause it's the Cubs!
Well, some explination...Cubbies/Prior blew a fine chalk parlay for me last week with unpredictable and inexplicable bullpen blowup (gave up 3 runs in each last two frames). That caused me to recall Cubbies awlful record last season when a big fave.
Looked it up and they are already 2-5 this season when -200 or greater! And like last season, the times they lose are due to unpredictable---and usually unexpected----reasons (Perez, with 9.00 era deciding to be Cy Young one night, or Eaton throwing 7 inn shutout, or Prior having meltdown, or that bullpen having worst day of season). Only one made sense (Sheets' comprehensive domination of them, and I posted here that I was on that big dog!).
If Cubbies lose today, it could be part a good reason, with Rusch near domination of them. But doesn't matter, since Cubbies lose as huge chalk this and last season due most time to unpredictable and usually inexplicable reasons.
That means the only intelligent way to bet these games it to bet against Cubbies absolutely blind, with no reference to the matchup that day whatsover. That's what the fact dictate.
I really doubt they will screw Prior twice in a row, but then you don't know, and team might not have much to do with it anyway, given Rusch's numbers here it might rest primarily on Prior.
Went 3-1 yesterday, will update record when I get some time for it!
any comments?
good luck all!
