- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 84-57-4 (+28.3)
OU: 51-45-1 (+1.3)
ML dogs: 2-5 (+1.1)
Magic vs. Blazers
In their last game, the Blazers shot lights out against the Timberwolves from long range, posting a three point percentage of 66.7%. After a game the Blazers won as a dog where they shot better than 40% from long range, they are 3-8 SU 3-8 (-3.3) and 2-8-1 ATS (average line pick). Following a game where the Blazers scored more than 30% of their points from threes, they are 4-7 SU (-6.5 ppg) and 0-10 ATS in their last 10 (average line -5.8) as a favorite.
Orlando has been one of the better road teams in the league this year. Since the 2007 season, the Magic on their first game on a road trip, when playing as a dog are 16-19 SU and 22-12-1 ATS. In their last nine they are 3-6 SU and 7-1-1 ATS. As road dog this season, Orlando is 4-8 SU (-3.1 ppg) and 8-3-1 ATS (average line: 6.9). Orlando has lost their last seven games, the last four being at home. Sometimes, a change of scenery is exactly what a team needs to break out of a funk. When your home crowd is chanting MVP for an opposing team?s player, there is really no advantage to playing at home.
"I don't expect our team to give in to losing and frustration," Redick said. "I expect us to continue to play hard, and we'll win some games. We'll turn it around. Road trips can bring you together a little bit, and our last road trip out West did that."
Portland has some of the best starters in the league, and the worst bench. This will be the Blazers fifth game in seven nights, returning off a tough and hard fought road trip. Their bench averages only 17.3 ppg, which is 15.6 under the NBA average. Their bench differential efficiency rating is -21. The are highly dependent on their starting five to carry them through games, and with their recent schedule, the starters may be wearing down a bit.
There are two interesting referee assignments for this game tonight (the third one is neutral):
Marat Kogut home team 5-14 ATS and the last eight games he has refereed for Orlando, they have covered the spread
Scott Foster home team 10-19 ATS
Portland is the most over achieving team in the league so far this season, and tonight is a perfect chance for them to crash down to earth a little bit.
Thunder vs. Wizards
If you are someone who thinks that the NBA is fixed and that Vegas controls games, then this one is not for you, cause the team I?m betting on is going to get pounded tonight. I just bet games straight up as I think they are going to unfold, and I don?t play the ?fade the public? game. So if you do, then you can just skip on by this one.
This is a perfect game for them to pack it in, and for the Thunder to head home with two wins in their pocket. I give Washington negative points for home court advantage. In the few games I have tuned in to this year, more people in the crowd have been cheering for the road teams than the home team, and there will be more Thunder fans there tonight. Why else would you go to a Wizard?s game??
Washington is averaging 93.8 ppg at home. After a game where the Wizards score less than 80 points, they are 0-13 SU (-9.8 ppg) and 1-12 ATS, scoring an average of 94.1 points. Their team total tonight is set at 91.5. The Thunder as a road favorite when they hold opponents under 95 ppg are 25-1 SU (+12.6 ppg) and 23-3 ATS.
Excluding playoffs, the Thunder after losing on the road to a team, when facing them again on the road in the next matchup are 10-5 SU and 14-1 ATS (in these games they have been an average dog of 4.4, showing how well they perform). Their only loss ATS is to the Miami Heat. In the rematch game, if Kevin Durant had 5+ turnovers in the last matchup, the Thunder are 17-0 SU (+11.5 ppg) and 17-0 ATS as a favorite. After a game in which Westbrook had 5+ turnovers, the Thunder are 13-1 (+10.1) SU and 10-4 ATS. Against a team that does not average many steals, the Thunder should take good care of the ball tonight.
The Thunder as a road favorite when their next game is at home are 8-0 SU (+9.4 ppg) and 7-1 ATS. As a road favorite this season they are 9-2 SU (+8.5 ppg) and 8-3 ATS. In their last six games when playing the second game of two game road trip as favorite they are 6-0 SU and ATS.
Finally, the Thunder have a little extra motivation for this game tonight, because they lost their last outing against the Wizards. True, it was last season, but if you think these guys forget, they don?t. If you think revenge games don?t matter, I disagree. All you have to reference is the game Chris Paul orchestrated the other night against the Warriors, and the words of Barnes at half time that they were ?taking it personal? to see how much it does matter. Obviously, I don?t think that the Thunder view this as that type of rivalry, but I'm sure they were still embarrassed to lose to the Wizards last year. After the Heat beat the Wizards by 20+ last night, this is a game where the Thunder can come out and absolutely trounce the Wizards to make a clear statement about who they are as a team.
Really, there is no need for this report today. This picture pretty much sums it up... Thanks, John Wall.
Magic +6.5
Thunder -10
Also like the Mavericks tonight, but laying off that for now.
Good luck...
OU: 51-45-1 (+1.3)
ML dogs: 2-5 (+1.1)
Magic vs. Blazers
In their last game, the Blazers shot lights out against the Timberwolves from long range, posting a three point percentage of 66.7%. After a game the Blazers won as a dog where they shot better than 40% from long range, they are 3-8 SU 3-8 (-3.3) and 2-8-1 ATS (average line pick). Following a game where the Blazers scored more than 30% of their points from threes, they are 4-7 SU (-6.5 ppg) and 0-10 ATS in their last 10 (average line -5.8) as a favorite.
Orlando has been one of the better road teams in the league this year. Since the 2007 season, the Magic on their first game on a road trip, when playing as a dog are 16-19 SU and 22-12-1 ATS. In their last nine they are 3-6 SU and 7-1-1 ATS. As road dog this season, Orlando is 4-8 SU (-3.1 ppg) and 8-3-1 ATS (average line: 6.9). Orlando has lost their last seven games, the last four being at home. Sometimes, a change of scenery is exactly what a team needs to break out of a funk. When your home crowd is chanting MVP for an opposing team?s player, there is really no advantage to playing at home.
"I don't expect our team to give in to losing and frustration," Redick said. "I expect us to continue to play hard, and we'll win some games. We'll turn it around. Road trips can bring you together a little bit, and our last road trip out West did that."
Portland has some of the best starters in the league, and the worst bench. This will be the Blazers fifth game in seven nights, returning off a tough and hard fought road trip. Their bench averages only 17.3 ppg, which is 15.6 under the NBA average. Their bench differential efficiency rating is -21. The are highly dependent on their starting five to carry them through games, and with their recent schedule, the starters may be wearing down a bit.
There are two interesting referee assignments for this game tonight (the third one is neutral):
Marat Kogut home team 5-14 ATS and the last eight games he has refereed for Orlando, they have covered the spread
Scott Foster home team 10-19 ATS
Portland is the most over achieving team in the league so far this season, and tonight is a perfect chance for them to crash down to earth a little bit.
Thunder vs. Wizards
If you are someone who thinks that the NBA is fixed and that Vegas controls games, then this one is not for you, cause the team I?m betting on is going to get pounded tonight. I just bet games straight up as I think they are going to unfold, and I don?t play the ?fade the public? game. So if you do, then you can just skip on by this one.
This is a perfect game for them to pack it in, and for the Thunder to head home with two wins in their pocket. I give Washington negative points for home court advantage. In the few games I have tuned in to this year, more people in the crowd have been cheering for the road teams than the home team, and there will be more Thunder fans there tonight. Why else would you go to a Wizard?s game??
Washington is averaging 93.8 ppg at home. After a game where the Wizards score less than 80 points, they are 0-13 SU (-9.8 ppg) and 1-12 ATS, scoring an average of 94.1 points. Their team total tonight is set at 91.5. The Thunder as a road favorite when they hold opponents under 95 ppg are 25-1 SU (+12.6 ppg) and 23-3 ATS.
Excluding playoffs, the Thunder after losing on the road to a team, when facing them again on the road in the next matchup are 10-5 SU and 14-1 ATS (in these games they have been an average dog of 4.4, showing how well they perform). Their only loss ATS is to the Miami Heat. In the rematch game, if Kevin Durant had 5+ turnovers in the last matchup, the Thunder are 17-0 SU (+11.5 ppg) and 17-0 ATS as a favorite. After a game in which Westbrook had 5+ turnovers, the Thunder are 13-1 (+10.1) SU and 10-4 ATS. Against a team that does not average many steals, the Thunder should take good care of the ball tonight.
The Thunder as a road favorite when their next game is at home are 8-0 SU (+9.4 ppg) and 7-1 ATS. As a road favorite this season they are 9-2 SU (+8.5 ppg) and 8-3 ATS. In their last six games when playing the second game of two game road trip as favorite they are 6-0 SU and ATS.
Finally, the Thunder have a little extra motivation for this game tonight, because they lost their last outing against the Wizards. True, it was last season, but if you think these guys forget, they don?t. If you think revenge games don?t matter, I disagree. All you have to reference is the game Chris Paul orchestrated the other night against the Warriors, and the words of Barnes at half time that they were ?taking it personal? to see how much it does matter. Obviously, I don?t think that the Thunder view this as that type of rivalry, but I'm sure they were still embarrassed to lose to the Wizards last year. After the Heat beat the Wizards by 20+ last night, this is a game where the Thunder can come out and absolutely trounce the Wizards to make a clear statement about who they are as a team.
Really, there is no need for this report today. This picture pretty much sums it up... Thanks, John Wall.
Magic +6.5
Thunder -10
Also like the Mavericks tonight, but laying off that for now.
Good luck...
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