First Responder Bowl
western kentucky (-3) 4 units. and starting to think i should have put even more on them. wmu has a pretty balanced offense, led by levante bellamy, who averages 5.7 yards/carry. the toppers have a solid run d, only giving up 3.7 yards/carry. in fact, their d has been solid overall, only giving up 20 points/game.
on the other side of the ball, wku relies on the arm of ty storey (if they don't call him toy storey, i'd be very disappointed). storey has had a very good senior year, averaging 7.5 yards/attempt while throwing 12 tds and 5 INTs. wmu's pass defense is not good. in terms of defensive pass efficiency, they rank 78th. but it gets worse. they allow opposing qbs to complete 67% of their passes for an average of 7.2 yards/attempt. wr's jackson and pearson could have big days for wku.
if wku can jump on top and take bellamy out of the game, huge advantage to the toppers.
one of the things i like to look at for bowl games is how well do the teams perform away from home? well, wku was 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU on the road. wmu was 1-5 ATS and SU on the road. so wmu really, really relied on the home field advantage. two of their SU losses were at 9-point favs. huge edge for wku there.
now for the one negative for wku, and this reminded me why i "only" put 4 units on them. coach ty helton is in his first year with the team. the fucking kiss of death in bowl games. on the bright side, wmu is 1-8 in bowl games, but only 0-1 under tim lester.
western kentucky (-3) 4 units. and starting to think i should have put even more on them. wmu has a pretty balanced offense, led by levante bellamy, who averages 5.7 yards/carry. the toppers have a solid run d, only giving up 3.7 yards/carry. in fact, their d has been solid overall, only giving up 20 points/game.
on the other side of the ball, wku relies on the arm of ty storey (if they don't call him toy storey, i'd be very disappointed). storey has had a very good senior year, averaging 7.5 yards/attempt while throwing 12 tds and 5 INTs. wmu's pass defense is not good. in terms of defensive pass efficiency, they rank 78th. but it gets worse. they allow opposing qbs to complete 67% of their passes for an average of 7.2 yards/attempt. wr's jackson and pearson could have big days for wku.
if wku can jump on top and take bellamy out of the game, huge advantage to the toppers.
one of the things i like to look at for bowl games is how well do the teams perform away from home? well, wku was 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU on the road. wmu was 1-5 ATS and SU on the road. so wmu really, really relied on the home field advantage. two of their SU losses were at 9-point favs. huge edge for wku there.
now for the one negative for wku, and this reminded me why i "only" put 4 units on them. coach ty helton is in his first year with the team. the fucking kiss of death in bowl games. on the bright side, wmu is 1-8 in bowl games, but only 0-1 under tim lester.
