Monday's MLB Plays

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Updated MJ's YTD Record:
MLB sides/totals 21-16 +58.4 units
MLB parlays 3-10 -9.48 units
NBA sides/totals 5-3 +11.09 units
Overall Units Won = +60.01 units

There are 3 favorites I like for Monday - and I am playing these all on the run line...I feel very good about hitting at least 2 out of 3 of these...also playing a small parlay w/ all 3...and in case i am dead wrong & all 3 dogs win outright playing the opposite - all 3 dogs in a parlay...so an 0-3 day would turn into exactly a zero win/loss unit day...and a 3-0 day would turn into a +24.01 day...the worse case 2-1 day (win w/ Phils & Cards, lose w/ Marlins) turns into a +1.31 unit day...our worse case scenario is going 1-2 (win w/ Phils, lose w/ Cards & Marlins) and that would be a -6.69 unit day...i'll take my chances of possibly losing at most -6.69 units on 3 games i like - getting the better pitchers & better teams in all 3 games, knowing that if i hit them all i will gain +24.01 units...and if i hit any combo of 2 of 3 i will make at least +1.31 units...and including that 1 unit parlay takes the sting out of your 3 faves all losing...worth a shot!

Monday's Plays:

Phillies RL -1.5 (-105)
Risking 4 units to win 3.81 units

Cardinals RL -1.5 (+100)
Risking 4 units to win 4 units

Marlins RL -1.5 (+130)
Risking 4 units to win 5.2 units

3 team RL fave parlay
Phillies RL -1.5 (-105)/Cardinals RL -1.5 (+100)/Marlins RL -1.5 (+130)
Risking 1.5 units to win 12 units

3 team opposite dog "in case i'm wrong" parlay
Expos +190/Pittsbugh +133/Atlanta +113
Risking 1 unit to win 13.5 units

GL on your plays today...lets see 3 big wins by the Phils, Cards & Marlins!
 

SPIDER

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Jun 4, 2004
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good luck, really like the phillies today. i always get nervous playing those runlines. hope you hit all 3


spider
 

thewinder

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absolutley not trying to be a jerk, but worst case scenario is if all three win by one run. in that case, 0-3 could be bad. i actually had a three team RL parlay earlier this season where all 3 won by one run. luckily i didn't play them separately. again, not trying to start anything.

gl tonight. really like the phils RL.

thewinder
 

Save It

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Adding more plays - like a lot today - and that scares me!

2 team parlay:
Cards -146/Padres -150
Risking 4 units to win 7.24

Toronto/TB over 8 +100 (these bastards both owe me - of course we will probably see a 2-1 game since i have action on it :) )
Risking 4 units to win 4 units

Florida/Atlanta over 7.5 -120
Risking 4 units to win 3.33 units

SD/AZ under 9.5 +104
Risking 4 units to win 4.16 units

Texas +110
Risking 4 units to win 4.4 units

GL to all!
 

raledet

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I LIKE YOUR REASONING. I HOPE YOU CASH IN. BEEN HITTING SO I HOPE ME PICKING MONTREAL DOESN'T END UP HURTING YOU. GOOD LUCK BUD.
 

Save It

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Well St. Louis hurt my day so far - looked easy & surprise - it wasn't...

Update of day so far:

Sides/Totals: 2-1 +3.81 units
Parlays: 0-3 -6.5 units

Just can't hit a parlay lately...

Hey - does anybody have any stats on percentage of overs hitting this year? It looks like scoring is up & man i question why i even still bet unders...can't hit many unders lately either...let me know if you have any overall over/under stats - i am interested...
 
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