9:05 PM NBA Basketball 709 San Antonio Spurs -5? -110 vs Utah Jazz
9:00 PM College Basketball 721 Kansas -5 -110 vs Kansas State
7:00 PM College Basketball 731 Delaware State +7? -110 vs Norfolk State
7:05 PM NHL Hockey 1 Arizona Coyotes/New Jersey Devils Under 5 -120
10:05 PM NHL Hockey 3 Detroit Red Wings +110 vs Anaheim Ducks
1 unit wins 25.95....(5 Dimes lines)
Goood luck everyone!!
:spotting: :clap: :firing: :00hour
KU cheerleader!
---------
Howard usually bounces back well after a poor start
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Kansas -5 over KANSAS STATE: The Wildcats are really having a tough time at the offensive end of the floor and that does not bode well here vs a Kansas team that can score 70+ points in a game rather easily. The Wildcats have been a real poor team overall of late as they have won just 1 of their last 8 games and have averaged just 56 ppg over that stretch. Kansas is at the other end of the spectrum as they are 22-5 on the year and playing for the top spot in the Big 12, plus we note that they are 26-9-1 ATS the last 36 games in the series. Kansas needs this game a whole lot more and should win it by around 10 points. 65-55
Delaware St. +8 -110 over NORFOLK ST.
Norfolk State is in second place in the MEAC with a 10-3 conference mark and a 17-11 overall mark. That 10-3 record in the conference may look pretty on paper but this Norfolk State team is no better than Delaware State and certainly not eight points better. Norfolk State has skewed numbers right across the board. They have played one of the easiest schedules in the entire country, which includes three contests against Division II teams in which they out up 88, 81 and 88 points respectively.
When the Spartans of Norfolk State plays any half decent team, they usually get smoked. In the Spartans last home game against third place Maryland Eastern Shore, they lost by 18. This is a team whose strength of schedule ranks 280th in the country and that has just one starter from last year?s team that went 19-14 overall. The Spartans have beaten up on some extremely weak or lower tier MEAC teams and some weak out-of-conference teams as well.
Delaware State?s strength of schedule ranks 112 positions higher than Norfolk State?s SOS. At one point in the season the Hornets played 10 of 11 in succession on the road. Among those games was a win at Wake Forest, a loss at Arkansas in which they scored 71 points, a loss at Oregon and a 10-point loss at Temple. When the Hornets recently visited Maryland-Eastern Shore, they beat them 91-85. The Hornets are extremely battle-tested on the road. They return four starters from last year that went on a tear at the end of the season.
The Hornets difficult road schedule has them well-prepped to make some serious noise in the upcoming MEAC tournament that could earn them an automatic bid. They are beginning to warm up again this year, as DSU has won three of its last four games against two upper echelon teams in the MEAC and two of those games were on the road. The Hornets can not only stay well within this margin throughout, they can win this one outright. Take the points.
Pick: San Antonio -5.5 (-105)
This is a bounce back spot for San Antonio after losing a Western showdown. Tony Parker had two points on 0-of-4 shooting in 21 minutes against Golden State and was unable to guard Warriors star Stephen Curry. San Antonio has lost two in a row against two of the NBA?s top teams, which won?t sit well with the head coach or the veteran players. They are 13th in the NBA in scoring and eighth in points allowed, which is outstanding balance. ?Hopefully the next game against Utah he?ll be even more aggressive, we need him to be aggressive,? said Parker.
Utah is 4-30 when allowing at least 97 points, and that?s a concern as San Antonio averages 100.9 points. Utah is 1-7 ATS playing on two days rest, ranked 23rd in the NBA in field goal shooting defense, plus 29th at defending the three-pointer. And when these teams meet, the favorite is 24-11-1 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Play the Spurs.
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
Detroit @ ANAHEIM
Detroit +127 over ANAHEIM
OT included. The Ducks have won back-to-back games but those two victories occurred against Calgary and Edmonton. In Calgary, the Ducks faced a shaky Jonas Hiller and went off for six goals. The next night in Edmonton they scored twice and had just 21 shots on net in a 2-1 victory. Prior to that, Anaheim had dropped five of six with only victory over that span occurring against Carolina in which the Ducks were outshot 36-17.
The NHL?s advanced stats strongly suggested that the Ducks had overachieved all year and were the beneficiaries of some extreme luck. We?re seeing the signs of that now. The Ducks are actually in even worse shape now because Sami Vatanen is their best defenseman and Matt Beleskey is one of their hardest working forwards and both are out.
A lot of bettors are likely going to apply the ?West versus East? argument here in favor of the Ducks. In years past that argument would have plenty of merit but we?re starting to see that landscape changing in a big way. Detroit is 14-2-2 versus the West this year and it does not end there.
For instance, Tampa is 14-7-3 against the West, Pittsburgh is 12-4-2, Montreal is 10-8-2, Rangers are 11-3-5 and Philly is 10-6-2. In fact, of the 16 teams in the East, only five of them (Buffalo, Toronto, New Jersey, Columbus and Carolina are under .500 against the West. Even the Senators are above .500 at 10-8-3. Now the Ducks face one of the East?s best teams.
Detroit is coming off a wild 7-6 victory over Dallas on Saturday and we can assure you that Mike Babcock was not happy. That?s not Red Wings hockey but it proved once again that Detroit can skate and score with anyone and play just about any style and win. The Red Wings do everything better than the Ducks. They?ve scored more, they?ve allowed fewer goals and they're superior on special teams, both on the PK and PP.
Detroit?s advanced stats are far superior to the Ducks as well and Jimmy Howard in goal is more stable than rookie John Gibson. The Red Wings are likely without Henrik Zetterberg for this one but we say bring it on because Detroit is deep up front and it?s only going to motivate the team more and also motivate whomever takes his spot on that line. Based ob value alone, the Red Wings are a must play.
Coyotes vs. Devils
Play: Under 5
For a number of different reasons I believe the UNDER is worthy of a second look in this spot. New Jersey is still in the running for a playoff position and can continue to make up ground in the East as it looks to notch its longest winning streak in two years. A date vs. the toothless desert dogs is just what the doctor ordered to continue the run. The Devils are most recently coming off a 3-1 win over Carolina on Saturday: ?You never say never, until they tell you you are out," goaltender Cory Schneider said. "There are teams ahead of us that we have to jump over but I think you see we've played well in spurts. We have to take advantage of home ice and beat teams we can beat, and we are doing that now."
Schneider has been excellent in going 10-6-2 with a 1.78 GAA in his past 19 appearances and if history is any precedence, then the Devils netminder has to be liking his chances in continuing his hot run as he?s 3-1-1 with a minuscule 0.99 GAA in five starts vs. the Coyotes. And that doesn?t bode well for an Arizona team which is last in the West with 2.19 non-shootout goals per game and which has totaled just 12 during a 1-6-1 stretch.
The power play has been particularly abysmal in going just 2 for 15 over its last eight games (note, New Jersey has killed off all ten penalties its faced over its last four games). Also note that Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of nine this year after playing to three consecutive OVERS, while New Jersey has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last seven vs. teams with losing records. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to a lower-scoring affair.
9:00 PM College Basketball 721 Kansas -5 -110 vs Kansas State
7:00 PM College Basketball 731 Delaware State +7? -110 vs Norfolk State
7:05 PM NHL Hockey 1 Arizona Coyotes/New Jersey Devils Under 5 -120
10:05 PM NHL Hockey 3 Detroit Red Wings +110 vs Anaheim Ducks
1 unit wins 25.95....(5 Dimes lines)
Goood luck everyone!!
:spotting: :clap: :firing: :00hour KU cheerleader!
---------
Howard usually bounces back well after a poor start
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Kansas -5 over KANSAS STATE: The Wildcats are really having a tough time at the offensive end of the floor and that does not bode well here vs a Kansas team that can score 70+ points in a game rather easily. The Wildcats have been a real poor team overall of late as they have won just 1 of their last 8 games and have averaged just 56 ppg over that stretch. Kansas is at the other end of the spectrum as they are 22-5 on the year and playing for the top spot in the Big 12, plus we note that they are 26-9-1 ATS the last 36 games in the series. Kansas needs this game a whole lot more and should win it by around 10 points. 65-55
Delaware St. +8 -110 over NORFOLK ST.
Norfolk State is in second place in the MEAC with a 10-3 conference mark and a 17-11 overall mark. That 10-3 record in the conference may look pretty on paper but this Norfolk State team is no better than Delaware State and certainly not eight points better. Norfolk State has skewed numbers right across the board. They have played one of the easiest schedules in the entire country, which includes three contests against Division II teams in which they out up 88, 81 and 88 points respectively.
When the Spartans of Norfolk State plays any half decent team, they usually get smoked. In the Spartans last home game against third place Maryland Eastern Shore, they lost by 18. This is a team whose strength of schedule ranks 280th in the country and that has just one starter from last year?s team that went 19-14 overall. The Spartans have beaten up on some extremely weak or lower tier MEAC teams and some weak out-of-conference teams as well.
Delaware State?s strength of schedule ranks 112 positions higher than Norfolk State?s SOS. At one point in the season the Hornets played 10 of 11 in succession on the road. Among those games was a win at Wake Forest, a loss at Arkansas in which they scored 71 points, a loss at Oregon and a 10-point loss at Temple. When the Hornets recently visited Maryland-Eastern Shore, they beat them 91-85. The Hornets are extremely battle-tested on the road. They return four starters from last year that went on a tear at the end of the season.
The Hornets difficult road schedule has them well-prepped to make some serious noise in the upcoming MEAC tournament that could earn them an automatic bid. They are beginning to warm up again this year, as DSU has won three of its last four games against two upper echelon teams in the MEAC and two of those games were on the road. The Hornets can not only stay well within this margin throughout, they can win this one outright. Take the points.
Pick: San Antonio -5.5 (-105)
This is a bounce back spot for San Antonio after losing a Western showdown. Tony Parker had two points on 0-of-4 shooting in 21 minutes against Golden State and was unable to guard Warriors star Stephen Curry. San Antonio has lost two in a row against two of the NBA?s top teams, which won?t sit well with the head coach or the veteran players. They are 13th in the NBA in scoring and eighth in points allowed, which is outstanding balance. ?Hopefully the next game against Utah he?ll be even more aggressive, we need him to be aggressive,? said Parker.
Utah is 4-30 when allowing at least 97 points, and that?s a concern as San Antonio averages 100.9 points. Utah is 1-7 ATS playing on two days rest, ranked 23rd in the NBA in field goal shooting defense, plus 29th at defending the three-pointer. And when these teams meet, the favorite is 24-11-1 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Play the Spurs.
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
Detroit @ ANAHEIM
Detroit +127 over ANAHEIM
OT included. The Ducks have won back-to-back games but those two victories occurred against Calgary and Edmonton. In Calgary, the Ducks faced a shaky Jonas Hiller and went off for six goals. The next night in Edmonton they scored twice and had just 21 shots on net in a 2-1 victory. Prior to that, Anaheim had dropped five of six with only victory over that span occurring against Carolina in which the Ducks were outshot 36-17.
The NHL?s advanced stats strongly suggested that the Ducks had overachieved all year and were the beneficiaries of some extreme luck. We?re seeing the signs of that now. The Ducks are actually in even worse shape now because Sami Vatanen is their best defenseman and Matt Beleskey is one of their hardest working forwards and both are out.
A lot of bettors are likely going to apply the ?West versus East? argument here in favor of the Ducks. In years past that argument would have plenty of merit but we?re starting to see that landscape changing in a big way. Detroit is 14-2-2 versus the West this year and it does not end there.
For instance, Tampa is 14-7-3 against the West, Pittsburgh is 12-4-2, Montreal is 10-8-2, Rangers are 11-3-5 and Philly is 10-6-2. In fact, of the 16 teams in the East, only five of them (Buffalo, Toronto, New Jersey, Columbus and Carolina are under .500 against the West. Even the Senators are above .500 at 10-8-3. Now the Ducks face one of the East?s best teams.
Detroit is coming off a wild 7-6 victory over Dallas on Saturday and we can assure you that Mike Babcock was not happy. That?s not Red Wings hockey but it proved once again that Detroit can skate and score with anyone and play just about any style and win. The Red Wings do everything better than the Ducks. They?ve scored more, they?ve allowed fewer goals and they're superior on special teams, both on the PK and PP.
Detroit?s advanced stats are far superior to the Ducks as well and Jimmy Howard in goal is more stable than rookie John Gibson. The Red Wings are likely without Henrik Zetterberg for this one but we say bring it on because Detroit is deep up front and it?s only going to motivate the team more and also motivate whomever takes his spot on that line. Based ob value alone, the Red Wings are a must play.
Coyotes vs. Devils
Play: Under 5
For a number of different reasons I believe the UNDER is worthy of a second look in this spot. New Jersey is still in the running for a playoff position and can continue to make up ground in the East as it looks to notch its longest winning streak in two years. A date vs. the toothless desert dogs is just what the doctor ordered to continue the run. The Devils are most recently coming off a 3-1 win over Carolina on Saturday: ?You never say never, until they tell you you are out," goaltender Cory Schneider said. "There are teams ahead of us that we have to jump over but I think you see we've played well in spurts. We have to take advantage of home ice and beat teams we can beat, and we are doing that now."
Schneider has been excellent in going 10-6-2 with a 1.78 GAA in his past 19 appearances and if history is any precedence, then the Devils netminder has to be liking his chances in continuing his hot run as he?s 3-1-1 with a minuscule 0.99 GAA in five starts vs. the Coyotes. And that doesn?t bode well for an Arizona team which is last in the West with 2.19 non-shootout goals per game and which has totaled just 12 during a 1-6-1 stretch.
The power play has been particularly abysmal in going just 2 for 15 over its last eight games (note, New Jersey has killed off all ten penalties its faced over its last four games). Also note that Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of nine this year after playing to three consecutive OVERS, while New Jersey has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last seven vs. teams with losing records. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to a lower-scoring affair.
