Call me a sucker, but the Habs at ML+185 is too good to pass up, IMHO. I know I'm probably the only one on them, so if this loses it's OK with me, since the forum will win. 
Celyas has some great trends in his post that made me think twice about backing the Habs. After going over the game a little, I decided to go for it anyways.
Can't argue the great record Sens have at home and losing only 2 in their L16. But taking a closer look, only 3 of those teams can really be called Playoff Contenders (NJ, Tor, Bos). The Habs have taken 3 of last 4 from the Sens, the loss was 11/21, when the Habs were playing B2B on the road, coming off of an OT win at Pitt. Even that game was a close win (3-2)
12/14/2002 New Jersey P.Lalime M.Brodeur W 4-3 W -0.5 -110 O 5
12/12/2002 at Boston P.Lalime S.Shields W 5-2 W 0.5 -110 O 5.5
12/10/2002 at Buffalo M.Prusek M.Biron W 4-2 W -0.5 105 O 5
12/7/2002 Carolina P.Lalime A.Irbe W 5-2 W -0.5 -170 O 5
12/5/2002 at St. Louis P.Lalime F.Brathwaite T 2-2 W 0.5 -105 U 5
12/4/2002 at Chicago P.Lalime J.Thibault L 0-1 L -0.5 -110 U 5
11/30/2002 N.Y. Islanders M.Prusek C.Osgood W 4-2 W -0.5 -150 O 5.5
11/29/2002 at Washington P.Lalime O.Kolzig W 6-2 W -0.5 130 O 5
11/27/2002 at N.Y. Islanders P.Lalime C.Osgood T 2-2 L -0.5 -105 U 5.5
11/25/2002 Toronto P.Lalime E.Belfour W 2-0 W -0.5 -125 U 5.5
11/23/2002 Columbus M.Prusek JF.Labbe W 5-2 W -0.5 -220 O 5.5
11/21/2002 Montreal P.Lalime J.Hackett W 3-2 W -0.5 -160 U 5.5
11/19/2002 at Carolina P.Lalime K.Weekes T 4-4 W 0.5 -145 O 5
11/16/2002 Buffalo P.Lalime M.Biron W 4-1 W -0.5 -170 U 5.5
11/14/2002 Florida P.Lalime J.Hurme W 3-2 W -0.5 -200 U 5.5
11/12/2002 at N.Y. Islanders M.Prusek C.Osgood W 5-3 W -0.5 -105 O 5.5
The Habs, on the other hand. Don't have the great record the Sens have over the same stretch, but they've played some tough opponents, so they're a little more battle tested, IMO.
12/14/2002 Boston J.Theodore J.Grahame W 4-2 W 0.5 -130 O 5.5
12/12/2002 Tampa Bay J.Hackett N.Khabibulin L 2-3 L -0.5 -110 U 5.5
12/10/2002 at Boston J.Hackett J.Grahame W 4-2 W 0.5 130 O 5.5
12/7/2002 at Phoenix J.Hackett B.Boucher W 4-2 W 0.5 -115 O 5
12/6/2002 at Colorado J.Theodore P.Roy L 6-7 L 0.5 130 O 5
12/4/2002 at Dallas J.Theodore M.Turco L 1-5 L 0.5 160 O 5
11/30/2002 Philadelphia J.Hackett R.Cechmanek L 1-2 L -0.5 120 U 5
11/29/2002 at Boston J.Theodore S.Shields L 2-4 L 0.5 140 O 5.5
11/26/2002 Atlanta J.Theodore B.Dafoe W 3-2 W -0.5 -185 U 6
11/23/2002 Carolina J.Theodore A.Irbe L 3-7 L -0.5 100 O 5
11/21/2002 at Ottawa J.Hackett P.Lalime L 2-3 L 0.5 140 U 5.5
11/20/2002 at Pittsburgh J.Hackett J.Aubin W 3-2 W 0.5 105 U 6
11/18/2002 Pittsburgh J.Theodore J.Hedberg W 5-4 W -0.5 105 O 6
11/16/2002 New Jersey J.Theodore M.Brodeur W 3-1 W 0.5 -135 U 5
11/15/2002 at New Jersey J.Hackett M.Brodeur L 1-5 L 0.5 110 O 5
11/12/2002 Dallas J.Theodore R.Tugnutt L 2-4 L 0.5 -130 O 5.5
11/9/2002 Los Angeles J.Hackett F.Potvin W 3-1 W -0.5 -110 U 5.5
The Habs PK has been awesome, as well, giving up 1/17 PP goals over last 4, and 2/30 last 6 games, all vs some pretty damn good teams except the Yotes.
It's a long shot, probably. But just thought I point it out so you guys can laugh at me.:lol2
GOOD LUCK TONITE!!
Celyas has some great trends in his post that made me think twice about backing the Habs. After going over the game a little, I decided to go for it anyways.
Can't argue the great record Sens have at home and losing only 2 in their L16. But taking a closer look, only 3 of those teams can really be called Playoff Contenders (NJ, Tor, Bos). The Habs have taken 3 of last 4 from the Sens, the loss was 11/21, when the Habs were playing B2B on the road, coming off of an OT win at Pitt. Even that game was a close win (3-2)
12/14/2002 New Jersey P.Lalime M.Brodeur W 4-3 W -0.5 -110 O 5
12/12/2002 at Boston P.Lalime S.Shields W 5-2 W 0.5 -110 O 5.5
12/10/2002 at Buffalo M.Prusek M.Biron W 4-2 W -0.5 105 O 5
12/7/2002 Carolina P.Lalime A.Irbe W 5-2 W -0.5 -170 O 5
12/5/2002 at St. Louis P.Lalime F.Brathwaite T 2-2 W 0.5 -105 U 5
12/4/2002 at Chicago P.Lalime J.Thibault L 0-1 L -0.5 -110 U 5
11/30/2002 N.Y. Islanders M.Prusek C.Osgood W 4-2 W -0.5 -150 O 5.5
11/29/2002 at Washington P.Lalime O.Kolzig W 6-2 W -0.5 130 O 5
11/27/2002 at N.Y. Islanders P.Lalime C.Osgood T 2-2 L -0.5 -105 U 5.5
11/25/2002 Toronto P.Lalime E.Belfour W 2-0 W -0.5 -125 U 5.5
11/23/2002 Columbus M.Prusek JF.Labbe W 5-2 W -0.5 -220 O 5.5
11/21/2002 Montreal P.Lalime J.Hackett W 3-2 W -0.5 -160 U 5.5
11/19/2002 at Carolina P.Lalime K.Weekes T 4-4 W 0.5 -145 O 5
11/16/2002 Buffalo P.Lalime M.Biron W 4-1 W -0.5 -170 U 5.5
11/14/2002 Florida P.Lalime J.Hurme W 3-2 W -0.5 -200 U 5.5
11/12/2002 at N.Y. Islanders M.Prusek C.Osgood W 5-3 W -0.5 -105 O 5.5
The Habs, on the other hand. Don't have the great record the Sens have over the same stretch, but they've played some tough opponents, so they're a little more battle tested, IMO.
12/14/2002 Boston J.Theodore J.Grahame W 4-2 W 0.5 -130 O 5.5
12/12/2002 Tampa Bay J.Hackett N.Khabibulin L 2-3 L -0.5 -110 U 5.5
12/10/2002 at Boston J.Hackett J.Grahame W 4-2 W 0.5 130 O 5.5
12/7/2002 at Phoenix J.Hackett B.Boucher W 4-2 W 0.5 -115 O 5
12/6/2002 at Colorado J.Theodore P.Roy L 6-7 L 0.5 130 O 5
12/4/2002 at Dallas J.Theodore M.Turco L 1-5 L 0.5 160 O 5
11/30/2002 Philadelphia J.Hackett R.Cechmanek L 1-2 L -0.5 120 U 5
11/29/2002 at Boston J.Theodore S.Shields L 2-4 L 0.5 140 O 5.5
11/26/2002 Atlanta J.Theodore B.Dafoe W 3-2 W -0.5 -185 U 6
11/23/2002 Carolina J.Theodore A.Irbe L 3-7 L -0.5 100 O 5
11/21/2002 at Ottawa J.Hackett P.Lalime L 2-3 L 0.5 140 U 5.5
11/20/2002 at Pittsburgh J.Hackett J.Aubin W 3-2 W 0.5 105 U 6
11/18/2002 Pittsburgh J.Theodore J.Hedberg W 5-4 W -0.5 105 O 6
11/16/2002 New Jersey J.Theodore M.Brodeur W 3-1 W 0.5 -135 U 5
11/15/2002 at New Jersey J.Hackett M.Brodeur L 1-5 L 0.5 110 O 5
11/12/2002 Dallas J.Theodore R.Tugnutt L 2-4 L 0.5 -130 O 5.5
11/9/2002 Los Angeles J.Hackett F.Potvin W 3-1 W -0.5 -110 U 5.5
The Habs PK has been awesome, as well, giving up 1/17 PP goals over last 4, and 2/30 last 6 games, all vs some pretty damn good teams except the Yotes.
It's a long shot, probably. But just thought I point it out so you guys can laugh at me.:lol2
GOOD LUCK TONITE!!
