MTSU, ULM have forward momentum

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MONROE, La. ? MTSU and Louisiana-Monroe caught the same wave for the last month, but only one can ride the tide any further.

Both are among the Sun Belt's hottest teams heading into tonight's conference matchup.



The Blue Raiders have won four of their last five games, and ULM has won three of its last four. Both started the season 0-4.

"Something has to happen for you to start winning like that, and both teams are doing it now," ULM quarterback Kinsmon Lancaster said. "I don't think it matters what you're doing, but how you're doing it. We're playing better now, and a lot of that has to do with confidence.

"Once you get that spark, things start going better for you. We've got our swagger back, and I'm sure Middle Tennessee thinks they got it, too."

Indeed, the Blue Raiders do. They've won three straight games overall and three consecutive conference games to climb back into the Sun Belt title race.

MTSU (4-5, 3-1 in Sun Belt) must win its remaining three games to share the league championship and have a chance at the New Orleans Bowl bid.

ULM (3-5, 3-2) is likely out of the championship chase, but would revel in a spoiler's role.

"Middle Tennessee definitely has a chance at winning the Sun Belt, but we would take pride in knocking them off and putting them out of it," ULM running back Calvin Dawson said. "We'd love to kill their hopes and dreams of winning a conference championship."

ULM beat FAU 33-30 in triple overtime last week, the Owls' only conference loss, but the Warhawks slipped up against North Texas before that.

"Monroe is a very confident team, and they beat FAU. We couldn't do that," MTSU coach Rick Stockstill said. "They got beat by North Texas, and we beat North Texas. So it will be two very evenly matched teams. I think we're very comparable. If you look at the statistics across the conference, you'll see that we're very close. It'll come down to who protects the ball better."

A late season surge is nothing new to MTSU or ULM. The Warhawks won three of their last four games after a 1-7 start last season. MTSU won four straight Sun Belt games last season, including a 35-21 victory at ULM, en route to a league co-championship.

"(ULM) won like this at the end of last year, too," Stockstill said. "Because of the teams we play out of conference, most (Sun Belt) teams don't show improvement as much until later in the year. Most teams in our conference get better as the season goes along, if they can stay injury free."

The Blue Raiders hope injuries don't derail their title shot. Starting freshman quarterback Dwight Dasher will likely miss tonight's game with a knee injury. If so, former starter Joe Craddock will be under center. Running back Phillip Tanner and safety Damon Nickson are also questionable with injuries.

The game's key matchup could come between ULM's offensive ground game versus MTSU's rush defense. Led by Sun Belt rushing leader Calvin Dawson, the Warhawks average 202 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, MTSU leads the league in rush defense and total defense.


The Blue Raiders have forced nine turnovers in the last two games and recorded two safeties last week.

"Middle Tennessee has a darn good offense, a darn good defense, and they're well coached," ULM coach Charlie Weatherbie said. "They showed that last year when they came here and beat us in our own backyard."
 

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KEYS TO VICTORY
Win the turnover battle
ULM was even at 2-2 last week in stealing its triple-overtime win over Florida Atlantic. The Owls came into that contest at plus-18 in turnover ratio. The Warhawks have 10 takeaways and nine turnovers overall in their five Sun Belt games.

Middle Tennessee has been extremely protective of the ball lately while collecting takeaways in flurries. MTSU has committed only three turnovers and forced 13 from its opponents during a three-game winning streak in Sun Belt play. In the past seven games overall, the Blue Raiders have made eight turnovers and forced 20.

?I think we are very comparable and if you look at the statistics throughout the conference, you will see those are pretty evenly matched,? MTSU coach Rick Stockstill said. ?These are two evenly-matched teams and it will come down to who protects the ball and who doesn?t, as it always does. When teams are close it usually comes down to turnover margin.?

TOP MATCHUPS
ULM running game vs. MT run defense
ULM?s rushing offense is the second-most productive in the Sun Belt at 202.4 yards per game. Calvin Dawson is chasing the school?s career rushing record and needs 121 yards to pass Roosevelt Potts at 3,061.

?I?m going to take care of it this Saturday,? Dawson said. ?No doubt in my mind about that.?

The Warhawks attack a Middle Tennessee rush defense that ranks as the best in the conference. The Blue Raiders allow just 155.4 yards per game.

GET IN THE GAME
ULM has been a slow-starting, strong finishing team in its Sun Belt games.
The Warhawks have been outscored 20-0 in the first quarter and 62-41 in the first half through five conference contests.

ULM picks up the pace in the second half. ULM holds a 31-17 scoring edge in the third quarter and a 38-27 advantage in the through quarter. The Warhawks also outlasted Florida Atlantic in overtime last week for a slight 119-112 scoring edge in their Sun Belt games.

?07 IMPLICATIONS
ULM can clinch its first non-losing season since 1993 by winning three of its last games. The Warhawks also have a chance to finish in the upper echelon of the Sun Belt Conference.

The motivation is certainly there for Middle Tennessee. A bowl participant in 2006, Middle Tennessee can claim a share of the Sun Belt title by winning its last three games. The Blue Raiders have games remaining against Louisiana-Lafayette and Sun Belt leader Troy after ULM.

?We?re both two teams that are hungry,? Dawson said. ?We really want to win outright to finish the season. We both need to get this next game.?
 
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