wednesday: 18-22 (-6.2 units)
ytd: 72-78-1 (-13.8 units)
I'm hitting the board again today...seeing what happens. I will edit in the lines tomorrow when I put these plays in with my local.
One unit each *...........local lines
Marquette -6 (Seems a little too easy....but I think the fact that USF has covered their last 4 while Marquette has failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 is the reason for the short spread here. Marquette has been playing less than spectacular ball, but they are still hanging on by a thread in their hopes of an NCAA bid...they must win their remaining games and then make some noise in their conference tournament....this is a must win.)
Detroit -10 (Detroit has been playing great ball of late winning 6 in a row. Green Bay on the other hand has lost its last two...both home games....and now must take a trip to one of the toughest home courts in mid-major ball. Detroit has been solid at home posting a 9-3 SU record while Green Bay is nothing special on the road at 6-6 SU. I think this is a case of two teams going in opposite directions, I'll ride the hot team.)
New Orleans -7 (New Orleans should be a little feisty tonight as they are coming home off of an embarassing loss at Florida International. North Texas has played 4 straight tough games...winning 2 SU and covering all 4 ATS.....they now must take their 3-10 road record to New Orleans....think they come back to earth tonight against a team in New Orleans who should be ready to play.)
Arkansas St. +11 (Even though at home, Lafayette is playing their 6th game tonight in the last 14 days.... with all 5 previous games coming on the road. Arkansas St., who is 15-9 seems to match-up quite well with Lafayette who is 15-8. I'll take the points against what could be a road worn Lafayette team.)
Cleveland St. +8 1/2 (Cleveland St. is 4-22 SU and 6-14 ATS. Loyola is 7-19 SU and 8-13 ATS. Cleveland St. is only 2-7 ATS on the road but Loyola is only 2-5 ATS at home...when chit meets chit, take the points.)
Wright St. +12 (both teams sport a 10-4 conference record. Wright St. has been a covering machine going 14-7 ATS....with a 7-4 ATS record on the road. UIC has been on fire winners of their last 8 in a row SU and 7 of those ATS. Wright St. won the earlier meeting this year by a point....with UIC sporting a less than spectacular 5-4 ATS home record, I'll take Wright tonight to stay within the #.)
La Tech +1 1/2 (UTEP is a different team on the road....only 4-4 SU as compared to their 16-1 SU home record. La Tech while sporting a bleak 13-11 SU record is 8-3 SU at home. La Tech put up a great fight in a 3 point loss earlier this year at UTEP...in what is more or less a pick'em game tonight, I'll take the techsters.)
Western Kentucky -P (With home court worth about 3 points and this game lined at a pick, I feel that to be an indication of Western being the better team....I'm playing them.)
Denver +4 (Denver won the first meeting this year 78-59 and now they are catching points....I'll take the points.)
Boise St. +1 1/2 (Boise St. has a pretty impressive 17-8 SU record and a money making 14-7 ATS record. They have proven themselves more than capable of winning on the road going 7-4 SU....but even more impressive is their 8-2 ATS record on the road. SMU is 5-5 both SU and ATS at home....I'll take the broncos to take care of business on the road again tonight.)
Washington +14 (This is a scary bet going against Arizona on their home court with revenge on their minds from an earlier whipping at the hands of washington, but I like the way this washington team competes and the way they can score the ball. If they aren't too worn from traveling back from a hard fought game at NC State, I think they can match athletes with 'zona and give them another tough game.)
Arizona St. -7 (I never get this team right. If I bet with them, they kill me....against them, they kill me. They are coming home off a nice win at Oregon...thinking that will carry over here against a Washington St. team that has lost 4 in a row.)
Arkansas Little Rock +3 (playing what I believe to be the better team here catching a couple of points.)
Oregon St. +19 (Oregon St. has been quite competitive in their last 10 games....only losing by more than this spread in 1 of those 10 games and that was to Arizona more than a month ago. They turned that outcome around by beating Arizona SU in their last game. Stanford is #1 and has a tough game saturday against Oregon...I'll take the points and hope the Cardinal sticks this somewhere in the middle of this large spread.)
St. Mary's -16 (St. Mary's is coming home off of two road destructions....beating Santa Clara by 30 and San Diego by 20. Loyola won the first meeting this year....however Loyola isn't playing that well right now having lost 3 of their last 5 SU and 4 of 5 ATS in that same span....thinking St. Mary's gets revenge tonight against Loyola.)
Portland -6 (Two bad teams here...both losers of their last 4 games. Usually I take the points in games like these but Santa Clara is only 2-8 on the road...and with Portland coming home off of 3 road games at St. Mary's, San Francisco, and Gonzaga....this could be a chance for them to avenge an earlier loss to Santa Clause.)
Cal Santa Barbara -3 (Cal Santy beat Fullerton 77-44 earlier this year.....I'll try them again here laying a pretty short number.)
Idaho +3 (Idaho has won 7 of their last 10 games SU and ATS while Irvine is a money burner going 2-8 SU and 1-7-2 ATS their last 10 games...0-6-1 ATS their last 7.... I won't bet into a streak like that....and with Idaho winning the earlier meeting this year, I'll take the points tonight.)
Cal Riverside -5 (both teams sport identical records of 8-14 but Cal Riverside is 7-3 at home while Cal Poly is only 2-9 on the road....I'll take the home team.)
San Francisco -2 (San Francisco won the earlier meeting this year by 12 points at Pepperdine....now they are laying what seems to be a very short #....San Fran is 10-2 at home while Pepperdine is 5-10 on the road.....if this is a trap, then I'm gonna be the mouse.)
Utah St. -15 1/2 (Hate to lay this many on the road, but Utah St. is head and shoulders above Long Beach St. Utah St. won the first meeting by 38 points
I wouldn't bet Long Beach in the hopes they can have a 24 point turn around just because they are at home so I'm gonna role with Utah St. to whack them again.)
California -3 1/2 (California is coming home off of two bad losses...a 10-point loss at USC and a 17-point loss at UCLA. Oregon is not doing too well right now either having dropped their last two both of which were at home....now must travel to a Cal team that should be hungry for a win. I like the fact that Oregon has #1 Stanford on deck saturday as well...could definitely be a look ahead spot here for the ducks. I'll take the bears tonight in hopes they can put a good home effort together.)
San Diego +33 (San Diego is horrible....they are 0-15 on the road!! They have lost at Utah by 43 points....and at Creighton by 35 points. A month ago, San Diego played Gonzaga to a 12-point game at San Diego....I wouldn't expect that again. It is very difficult to play a team this bad....but San Diego has not lost to Gonzaga by more than 24 points in any of their previous 10 meetings.....this is a very large # and there is always the possibilty of a backdoor should the game get above the # which it very well could do. I wanted to play the zags, but based on the previous games outcomes, I'm gonna take the huge # and hope the zags show some mercy to San Diego.)
Well, that is the board again.....23 games, each for a quarter which gives me $575 in action. Hopefully I won't go 0-23 in which case I would lose $632.50. :nono: Like I said yesterday, I wouldn't recommend betting the board as the chances of coming out ahead are pretty small....I am just fooling around here for a couple of days....betting very small and having some fun. Good luck to all in whatever you play.
ytd: 72-78-1 (-13.8 units)
I'm hitting the board again today...seeing what happens. I will edit in the lines tomorrow when I put these plays in with my local.
One unit each *...........local lines
Marquette -6 (Seems a little too easy....but I think the fact that USF has covered their last 4 while Marquette has failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 is the reason for the short spread here. Marquette has been playing less than spectacular ball, but they are still hanging on by a thread in their hopes of an NCAA bid...they must win their remaining games and then make some noise in their conference tournament....this is a must win.)
Detroit -10 (Detroit has been playing great ball of late winning 6 in a row. Green Bay on the other hand has lost its last two...both home games....and now must take a trip to one of the toughest home courts in mid-major ball. Detroit has been solid at home posting a 9-3 SU record while Green Bay is nothing special on the road at 6-6 SU. I think this is a case of two teams going in opposite directions, I'll ride the hot team.)
New Orleans -7 (New Orleans should be a little feisty tonight as they are coming home off of an embarassing loss at Florida International. North Texas has played 4 straight tough games...winning 2 SU and covering all 4 ATS.....they now must take their 3-10 road record to New Orleans....think they come back to earth tonight against a team in New Orleans who should be ready to play.)
Arkansas St. +11 (Even though at home, Lafayette is playing their 6th game tonight in the last 14 days.... with all 5 previous games coming on the road. Arkansas St., who is 15-9 seems to match-up quite well with Lafayette who is 15-8. I'll take the points against what could be a road worn Lafayette team.)
Cleveland St. +8 1/2 (Cleveland St. is 4-22 SU and 6-14 ATS. Loyola is 7-19 SU and 8-13 ATS. Cleveland St. is only 2-7 ATS on the road but Loyola is only 2-5 ATS at home...when chit meets chit, take the points.)
Wright St. +12 (both teams sport a 10-4 conference record. Wright St. has been a covering machine going 14-7 ATS....with a 7-4 ATS record on the road. UIC has been on fire winners of their last 8 in a row SU and 7 of those ATS. Wright St. won the earlier meeting this year by a point....with UIC sporting a less than spectacular 5-4 ATS home record, I'll take Wright tonight to stay within the #.)
La Tech +1 1/2 (UTEP is a different team on the road....only 4-4 SU as compared to their 16-1 SU home record. La Tech while sporting a bleak 13-11 SU record is 8-3 SU at home. La Tech put up a great fight in a 3 point loss earlier this year at UTEP...in what is more or less a pick'em game tonight, I'll take the techsters.)
Western Kentucky -P (With home court worth about 3 points and this game lined at a pick, I feel that to be an indication of Western being the better team....I'm playing them.)
Denver +4 (Denver won the first meeting this year 78-59 and now they are catching points....I'll take the points.)
Boise St. +1 1/2 (Boise St. has a pretty impressive 17-8 SU record and a money making 14-7 ATS record. They have proven themselves more than capable of winning on the road going 7-4 SU....but even more impressive is their 8-2 ATS record on the road. SMU is 5-5 both SU and ATS at home....I'll take the broncos to take care of business on the road again tonight.)
Washington +14 (This is a scary bet going against Arizona on their home court with revenge on their minds from an earlier whipping at the hands of washington, but I like the way this washington team competes and the way they can score the ball. If they aren't too worn from traveling back from a hard fought game at NC State, I think they can match athletes with 'zona and give them another tough game.)
Arizona St. -7 (I never get this team right. If I bet with them, they kill me....against them, they kill me. They are coming home off a nice win at Oregon...thinking that will carry over here against a Washington St. team that has lost 4 in a row.)
Arkansas Little Rock +3 (playing what I believe to be the better team here catching a couple of points.)
Oregon St. +19 (Oregon St. has been quite competitive in their last 10 games....only losing by more than this spread in 1 of those 10 games and that was to Arizona more than a month ago. They turned that outcome around by beating Arizona SU in their last game. Stanford is #1 and has a tough game saturday against Oregon...I'll take the points and hope the Cardinal sticks this somewhere in the middle of this large spread.)
St. Mary's -16 (St. Mary's is coming home off of two road destructions....beating Santa Clara by 30 and San Diego by 20. Loyola won the first meeting this year....however Loyola isn't playing that well right now having lost 3 of their last 5 SU and 4 of 5 ATS in that same span....thinking St. Mary's gets revenge tonight against Loyola.)
Portland -6 (Two bad teams here...both losers of their last 4 games. Usually I take the points in games like these but Santa Clara is only 2-8 on the road...and with Portland coming home off of 3 road games at St. Mary's, San Francisco, and Gonzaga....this could be a chance for them to avenge an earlier loss to Santa Clause.)
Cal Santa Barbara -3 (Cal Santy beat Fullerton 77-44 earlier this year.....I'll try them again here laying a pretty short number.)
Idaho +3 (Idaho has won 7 of their last 10 games SU and ATS while Irvine is a money burner going 2-8 SU and 1-7-2 ATS their last 10 games...0-6-1 ATS their last 7.... I won't bet into a streak like that....and with Idaho winning the earlier meeting this year, I'll take the points tonight.)
Cal Riverside -5 (both teams sport identical records of 8-14 but Cal Riverside is 7-3 at home while Cal Poly is only 2-9 on the road....I'll take the home team.)
San Francisco -2 (San Francisco won the earlier meeting this year by 12 points at Pepperdine....now they are laying what seems to be a very short #....San Fran is 10-2 at home while Pepperdine is 5-10 on the road.....if this is a trap, then I'm gonna be the mouse.)
Utah St. -15 1/2 (Hate to lay this many on the road, but Utah St. is head and shoulders above Long Beach St. Utah St. won the first meeting by 38 points
I wouldn't bet Long Beach in the hopes they can have a 24 point turn around just because they are at home so I'm gonna role with Utah St. to whack them again.)California -3 1/2 (California is coming home off of two bad losses...a 10-point loss at USC and a 17-point loss at UCLA. Oregon is not doing too well right now either having dropped their last two both of which were at home....now must travel to a Cal team that should be hungry for a win. I like the fact that Oregon has #1 Stanford on deck saturday as well...could definitely be a look ahead spot here for the ducks. I'll take the bears tonight in hopes they can put a good home effort together.)
San Diego +33 (San Diego is horrible....they are 0-15 on the road!! They have lost at Utah by 43 points....and at Creighton by 35 points. A month ago, San Diego played Gonzaga to a 12-point game at San Diego....I wouldn't expect that again. It is very difficult to play a team this bad....but San Diego has not lost to Gonzaga by more than 24 points in any of their previous 10 meetings.....this is a very large # and there is always the possibilty of a backdoor should the game get above the # which it very well could do. I wanted to play the zags, but based on the previous games outcomes, I'm gonna take the huge # and hope the zags show some mercy to San Diego.)
Well, that is the board again.....23 games, each for a quarter which gives me $575 in action. Hopefully I won't go 0-23 in which case I would lose $632.50. :nono:
Like I said yesterday, I wouldn't recommend betting the board as the chances of coming out ahead are pretty small....I am just fooling around here for a couple of days....betting very small and having some fun. Good luck to all in whatever you play.
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