Natale expected to start at quarterback for Rutgers

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Here's an assessment of the Rutgers quarterback situation from Neward Star-Ledger reporter Brendan Prunty:

The question about Rutgers' quarterback situation isn't so much with who will be playing, but when and how much they'll be playing. While Greg Schiano hasn't tipped his hand in the least bit this summer and this last week, chances are Domenic Natale will get the nod for Monday's game against the Bearcats. Natale isn't the flashiest or the sexiest choice, but he is a senior, knows the playbook well and most importantly ? Schiano trusts him in a game situation. When he was a recruit coming out of high school, Natale was ranked ninth, while some dude named Colt McCoy was ranked 15th. (Seriously, look it up.) So far, that hasn't exactly panned out. But you don't get that highly rated for nothing and we know Natale has talent.The question is whether he can put it together.

Which brings us to the second question about Natale: How long can he hold off true freshman Tom Savage? The most highly-touted prospect who's ever hit Piscataway, Savage has shown a remarkable ability to "get it," despite being only a freshman. The only thing that has to concern Schiano is that we've never seen Savage do it in a live game setting. He's been pretty good in the three scrimmages this training camp, but those are only scrimmages ? it's pretty tough to get a full and complete picture. The thing is, from a purely offensive standpoint, Savage probably gives Schiano the best chance to have the pro-style passing attack that we've seen for the last three years with Mike Teel at the helm. But will he start him in a first game with so much on the line? Probably not. But there's a solid chance that Savage gets some snaps.

As for the other two quarterbacks ? Jabu Lovelace and D.C. Jefferson ? don't expect much. Jefferson, in fact, has made the switch to tight end in the last three weeks in order to finally see the field. So unless there's a direr emergency at quarterback, he won't be throwing a pass this season. Lovelace, a senior, just simply isn't an every-down quarterback. He can throw the ball well enough, but he's simply not accurate enough to be a starter in a league like the Big East. He will certainly get snaps in many of the games this year, but outside of being the Wildcat/running option behind center, he's not going to make much of an impact.
 

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UC-Rutgers scouting report


When Rutgers runs

Rutgers is one of 13 teams nationally to return all five starters on the offensive line, led by junior left tackle Anthony Davis. Last year, the running game was by committee, with Kordell Young (554 yards) Jourdan Brooks (516 yards) and Joe Martinek (404 yards). Brooks, a 6-foot-1, 230-pound sophomore, is listed as the starter. With Mike Teel at quarterback last season, the Scarlet Knights were primarily a passing team, but they enter this season without such an offensive identity. A lot will depend on who plays quarterback, with Jabu Lovelace considered more of a running threat than the other two contenders.


When Rutgers passes

True freshman quarterback Tom Savage was a big-time recruit for head coach Greg Schiano and has made great progress during the preseason, but he might not be ready to play in a game of this magnitude so early in the season. That leaves Lovelace and fifth-year senior Dom Natale, who has only eight career passing attempts, but is expected to start, although Rutgers coach Greg Schiano would not made a formal announcement. The Scarlet Knights also lost their top three receivers off last year's team. Senior Tim Brown caught 27 passes for 565 yards last season with six touchdowns. UC will attempt to disrupt the Rutgers passing game with its new 3-4 defensive alignment.


When UC runs

Senior Jacob Ramsey, coming off a 664-yard season last year, is listed as the starter at running back, but the Bearcats figure to rotate at least three backs, maybe four, as the season unfolds. Junior John Goebel, who gained 607 yards a year ago, was hindered during training camp with a hamstring pull and as a result probably has slipped to No. 3, at least for this game. That means sophomore Isaiah Pead, who's considered UC's breakaway running threat after averaging 6.5 yards on 30 carries last year, could be a factor in this game.


When UC passes

After his breakthrough last season, quarterback Tony Pike, who passed for 2,407 yards and 19 touchdowns in 2008, begins this season as the primary reason for the optimism surrounding the UC offense. Even though Dominick Goodman is gone, the receiving corps remains strong, led by first-team all-Big East selection Mardy Gilyard, who averaged 15.8 yards per catch for 11 touchdowns last year. Armon Binns, Marcus Barnett, D.J. Woods and newcomer Jamar Howard give the Bearcats plenty of depth and versatility.


Special teams

The kicking game is considered one of Rutgers' strengths, with both punter Teddy Dellaganna and kicker San San Te returning. Te connected on a career-long 50-yard field goal last season vs. the Bearcats. He was 12-for-17 overall in field goals, but 0-for-3 from 40 to 49 yards. Dellaganna averaged 41.2 yards per punt. Jake Rogers is expected to take over the punting chores vacated by All-American Kevin Huber, but he's being pushed by freshman Patrick O'Donnell. Rogers will also kick field goals and handle kickoffs. Mardy Gilyard, the Big East special teams player of the year in 2008, is back to return kicks.


Game keys

Aside from having to hit the road for their season opener, UC may actually have an advantage in playing a conference game right off the bat because it enters the season with an established quarterback and a potentially powerful offense that should hit the ground running. In addition, because the Bearcats are using a new defensive alignment, Rutgers doesn't really know what to expect, especially without an established quarterback. The Bearcats will have to play in a tough atmosphere, however, in the first game at renovated Rutgers Stadium, which has been expanded to 52,454 seats and is sold out.
 

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Keys to the Game: What Rutgers Must do to Win


Kick-off is almost here finally, and this Rutgers/Cincinnati Labor Day tilt has the chance to skew the entire Big East landscape for the rest of the season. For more than a month the rest of the league will be looking up at the winner of this game, while the loser will have an ugly 0-1 Big East record all the way into October.



With that said, here's what I see being the keys for a RU "W" and the Big East Lead:



1. Play with emotion, but play smart: With the opening of the Rutgers Stadium expansion, and a raucous Labor Day crowd, RU should ride the home-field advantage to a victory. RU will need to play fast and with emotion, but can not afford to let their emotions get the best of them. RU needs to avoid any penalties that prolong Cincinnati drives (roughing the passer, late hits, unsportsmanlike conduct, etc.). There's nothing worse than making a big stop on 3rd down, but giving away a free 1st with a dumb penalty.

2. Run the ball effectively: Rutgers will need both Jourdan Brooks and Joe Martinek to have big days for 2 reasons. Obviously the first reason is to take some pressure off of QB Dom Natale (or whomever is in the game at that time). If Rutgers can run the ball well, Cincinnati will need to stack the box and leave single coverage on the outside. The other reason is to control the clock and keep Tony Pike, Mardy Gilyard, and the fast-strike UC offense off the field.

3. Avoid the big play: Sounds easy, but it's not going to be against the quick strike offense that Cincinnati employs. Devin McCourty will have his hands full with All-Big East WR Mardy Gilyard, and needs to avoid letting Gilyard run past him down the flank. If he's open, Tony Pike will find him. Rutgers also needs to avoid the big play on special teams. Kickoff and punt coverage was not a strong point for the Knights last year, and needs to improve. One big kick or punt return for the Bearcats could suck the air out of the stadium, and swing the momentum in UC's favor.



It looks like we're going to have a great day for football today as the weather looks absolutely perfect.
 
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