'NBA 3rd in 4 Profile' for the week Oct 30 to Nov 5

Meestermike

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Apr 26, 2002
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'NBA 3rd IN 4'
1. A team you are looking at wagering against is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights.
2. The team you are looking at wagering against is playing this 3rd game as a 'back to back' and must have played the immediate day or night before the game in question.
3. The team you are looking at wagering against is on the road for the game in question.


Nov.
2 Sat New Jersey @ Washington 7:00 PM
2 Sat Chicago @ Atlanta 7:00 PM
2 Sat Minnesota @ Indiana 7:00 PM
2 Sat Orlando @ Milwaukee 8:30 PM
2 Sat Phoenix @ Dallas 8:30 PM
2 Sat Toronto @ Houston 8:30 PM
2 Sat Golden State @ Utah 9:00 PM
2 Sat Denver @ Portland 10:00 PM
3 Sun Utah @ Seattle 9:00 PM
3 Sun Portland @ L.A. Lakers 9:30 PM
4 Mon Milwaukee @ New York 7:30 PM
4 Mon Detroit @ Phoenix 9:00 PM
5 Tue Golden State @ San Antonio 8:30 PM

Overall 'NBA 3rd in 4' System Results if you had played along in the 2001/02 season...

2001 YTD RESULTS: 262 GAMES = 159 SU Wins/103 SU Losses= 60.84% *** 136 ATS Wins/121 ATS Losses/5 Push= 52.29%

But a beauty from within the angle...

'NBA 3rd in 4 Angle' "HOME UNDER-DOGS"...2001/02: 64 games = +82.75 units.
SU = +71.05 units \ ATS 39-26 = +12.7 units. Where you are wagering on the home team SU & ATS as a 'home underdog' & against a 'Road Favourite'.


To answer a few questions and to bring as many technical aspects of this profile to the forefront, I will attempt here to clear up any misleading aspects in my posts.

I play this profile because of one major factor. Scheduling is done by the league. There are a couple of teams in just the 1st half of the 2002/03 schedule, who play in this situation only 2 times. There are also a couple of teams who must play 7 or more games. The league average is 5 situation in the 1st half this year.
As I mentioned previously, there are some teams that play very well in this situation. When they are playing 3rd in 4 this year, I may fade the home team opponent because of these teams' past success but it is a game by game analysis.

As for coat-tailers, the profile has a winning SU record over a 7 year period:
Overall Profile Record - 6 YR Total 1995 to 2001.
League Total: SU : 1126/663 = .630 Win %

My play results are just that. Mine. All are 1 unit plays unless I specify more than 1 unit. I may suggest a play and I do play all my suggestions. I do not expect or even hope anyone will blindly follow my plays without their own research of each game. Again if people are coattaiiling, it's their money but I do restate: WAGER WISELY, IN EVERY THREAD.

Again, to re-affirm everyone's idea of what the 3rd in 4 situation play is:
- When a team plays their 3rd game in 4 nights.
- The 3rd game is an away/road game.
- The team must be playing this 3rd game as a Back to Back game whether the previous day's game was played at home or away.

Some days, I will only play a game SU while others I will play both SU & ATS.
 

Meestermike

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Apr 26, 2002
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8 '3rd in 4' games on tap tonight....

8 '3rd in 4' games on tap tonight....

ALL 1 UNIT PLAYS ON THE HOME TEAM SPREADS

NOV.
2 Sat New Jersey @ Washington 7:00 PM
2 Sat Chicago @ Atlanta 7:00 PM
2 Sat Minnesota @ Indiana 7:00 PM [Both teams playing 3rd game in 4 nites]
2 Sat Orlando @ Milwaukee 8:30 PM
2 Sat Phoenix @ Dallas 8:30 PM
2 Sat Toronto @ Houston 8:30 PM
2 Sat Golden State @ Utah 9:00 PM
2 Sat Denver @ Portland 10:00 PM


Again, to re-affirm everyone's idea of what the 3rd in 4 situation play is:
- When a team plays their 3rd game in 4 nights.
- The 3rd game is an away/road game.
- The team must be playing this 3rd game as a Back to Back game whether the previous day's game was played at home or away.

Saturday, 2 Nov 2002 -

501 07:05 PM Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers
Odds +186 -230
Points +5 -107 -5 -107
Totals Over 183 -107 Under 183 -107
1st Half Points +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110
1st Half Totals Over 91.5 -110 Under 91.5 -110

503 07:05 PM Chicago Bulls v Atlanta Hawks
Odds +268 -345
Points +8 -107 -8 -107
Totals Over 192.5 -107 Under 192.5 -107
1st Half Points +4 -110 -4 -110
1st Half Totals Over 96.5 -110 Under 96.5 -110

505 07:05 PM New Jersey Nets v Washington Wizards
Odds -115 -105
Points -1 -107 +1 -107
Totals Over 184 -107 Under 184 -107
1st Half Points -0.5 -110 +0.5 -110
1st Half Totals Over 92 -110 Under 92 -110

513 08:35 PM Orlando Magic v Milwaukee Bucks
Odds +120 -145
Points +3 -107 -3 -107
Totals Over 200 -107 Under 200 -107
1st Half Points +1.5 -110 -1.5 -110
1st Half Totals Over 99.5 -110 Under 99.5 -110

515 08:35 PM Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
Odds +426 -600
Points +10.5 -107 -10.5 -107
Totals Over 200 -107 Under 200 -107
1st Half Points +5.5 -110 -5.5 -110
1st Half Totals Over 100 -110 Under 100 -110

517 08:35 PM Toronto Raptors v Houston Rockets
Odds +136 -165
Points +3 -107 -3 -107
Totals Over 173.5 -107 Under 173.5 -107
1st Half Points +2 -110 -2 -110
1st Half Totals Over 87 -110 Under 87 -110

519 09:05 PM Golden State Warriors v Utah Jazz
Odds +305 -400
Points +9 -107 -9 -107
Totals Over 189.5 -107 Under 189.5 -107
1st Half Points +4.5 -110 -4.5 -110
1st Half Totals Over 95 -110 Under 95 -110

521 10:05 PM Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers
Points +16 -107 -16 -107
Totals Over 180 -107 Under 180 -107
1st Half Points +8 -110 -8 -110
1st Half Totals Over 90 -110 Under 90 -110
 

Meestermike

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Apr 26, 2002
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2 ~ '3rd in 4 Profile Plays' 2-0 ATS & SU = +4.00 last nite...

Final in OT = Portland 95 at L.A. Lakers 98 ~ Win ATS -2 -110 & Win ML -135

Final = Utah 77 Seattle 91 ~ Win -7? -110 Win ML -320

Today 1 more game...

Nov. 4 Mon. Detroit @ Phoenix 9:00 PM
-2.5 -110
Game MoneyLine -141

'3rd in 4 Profile Plays' 2002/03 YTD Results"
Sides ~ 7-3 ATS +5.70 units
ML's ~ 2-5 +2.15 units
 

nighthorse

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Nov 26, 2001
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When both teams are (3/4, 4/5, 4/6, 5/7) I really like to look at the over. Like the idea of tired legs leading to a lack of defense. Exceptions being teams who rely heavily on the jump shot (Boston being the most glaring example). What do you think?
 

genosays

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Sep 3, 2001
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Take Phoenix then ???

Take Phoenix then ???

Sorry but just want to clarify you are saying to take Phoenix ATS and ML tonight against Detroit?? Thanks.
 
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