NBA MON 122809 early thoughts - value hunting
- Thread starter 40seven
- Start date
Only lean for me tonight
Wizards @ Grizzlies U209
But this
Wizards @ Grizzlies U209
But this
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
MonDay
MonDay
The card has a lt to pick from.
The Bucks have not looked good as of late and the Bob's have looked great. I like the Under here.
The Wiz, I think 6 is too many to give them...
Did you see the Nuggets last night it was my only loss yesterday and my biggest play...sick my loss and the Nug's performance. The Kings +2 look good, along with the Under.
PTB, no respect. No respect.
GSW +6, OK can you see it the Celtics lose two in a row to the Clippers and to the Dub's, OK i cannot pull the trigger on that but how about the Over only at 210...
So many to talk about and no one around...
Joe I have no read on the Wiz Under, I would lean Over because of the tempo and quality of the Griz
MonDay
The card has a lt to pick from.
The Bucks have not looked good as of late and the Bob's have looked great. I like the Under here.
The Wiz, I think 6 is too many to give them...
Did you see the Nuggets last night it was my only loss yesterday and my biggest play...sick my loss and the Nug's performance. The Kings +2 look good, along with the Under.
PTB, no respect. No respect.
GSW +6, OK can you see it the Celtics lose two in a row to the Clippers and to the Dub's, OK i cannot pull the trigger on that but how about the Over only at 210...
So many to talk about and no one around...
Joe I have no read on the Wiz Under, I would lean Over because of the tempo and quality of the Griz
Be careful tonight with the Kings. Tyreke Evans is banged up and I think may be worse than we're getting knowledge of.
I agree with the assesment of the Wiz and Grizz over though, and with the Wizz playing bad lately and the Griz playing some decent ball, I think the line may be a little overinflated and have some value with Washington. I hate to say this word, but the Wizz are "due" to play a good game.
I'm oppo you on the Bobs under though, as I like the over. Ever since the SJack trade, the Bobs have been going over, especially at home I think. Will dig a little deeper and check back in a bit,
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Agree w/ BB to tread lightly w/ the Kings if at all... Nuggets are now adrift/rudderless w/o Billups, but still a veteran squad and that experience has exploited the Kings' youthful exuberance in each of the last 2 games...
Charlotte may have it in 'em tonight - Redd's return continues to disrupt the Bucks: rest of the team plays together despite Jennings's time on the ball whereas Redd goes for his ALL of the time.
Do be aware of returning personnel elsewhere - Tyrus Thomas for instance in Chicago such that he relieves Noah of doing all the heavy lifting inside. Biedrins coming back tonight to the lineup for the Warriors likely does the same for Randolph and Hunter.
Agree w/ BB to tread lightly w/ the Kings if at all... Nuggets are now adrift/rudderless w/o Billups, but still a veteran squad and that experience has exploited the Kings' youthful exuberance in each of the last 2 games...
Charlotte may have it in 'em tonight - Redd's return continues to disrupt the Bucks: rest of the team plays together despite Jennings's time on the ball whereas Redd goes for his ALL of the time.
Do be aware of returning personnel elsewhere - Tyrus Thomas for instance in Chicago such that he relieves Noah of doing all the heavy lifting inside. Biedrins coming back tonight to the lineup for the Warriors likely does the same for Randolph and Hunter.
Changes my mind after some research
Final card
Wizards @ Grizzlies O208.5
Sixers @ Blazers O189.5
BOLTA :0corn
Joe
Plays
Plays
Locked in
Denver -2
Updated leans
Bobs-4.5 (Redd still not 100% and Bucks trying to work him back in. Charlotte on a nice ats run at home)
Philly +6.5 and over (Blazers going with the smaller lineup now with Howard at center, don't think oddsmakers have caught up yet, lmight tail Joe on this one)
BOL tonight fellas. Be back with one more play to add. kurby
Adding
Blazers over 191.5 (damn line shot up)
Bobs -4.5:toast:
Good luck fellas
Plays
Locked in
Denver -2
Updated leans
Bobs-4.5 (Redd still not 100% and Bucks trying to work him back in. Charlotte on a nice ats run at home)
Philly +6.5 and over (Blazers going with the smaller lineup now with Howard at center, don't think oddsmakers have caught up yet, lmight tail Joe on this one)
BOL tonight fellas. Be back with one more play to add. kurby
Adding
Blazers over 191.5 (damn line shot up)
Bobs -4.5:toast:
Good luck fellas
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Here is why I lean towards Philly. Plus the fact the Blazers have covered 4 in a row, the ole "due" not to cover.
76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
BUT they looked like crap the last 2 road games, so :shrug:
Might just go with over here. BOL to ya.
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY 19-14 YTD
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
Week 4 3-4
Week 5 3-2
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: Depaul/Pitt OVER 117
Depaul shoots well from the outside and with their #2 scoring player sidelined someone gets an opportunity to make a start tonight for the Blue Demons and come up Big in this Big East conference game.
Pitt should be able to get min of 65, so I'm banking on Depaul getting 50 mininum to cover this total.
Other Plays tonight: Vikes/Bears Under, OKC -6, Char -4.5 (solid home team, Bucks didnt impress me other night against SA, Phx/LAL Over 215.
NCAA: BYU -5.5 (Arizona was awful against mediocre NC State team, BYU should handle these guys), WF -16 (UNC-G gets blown out by 20+, almost my POD but I went with total today)
Best of Luck guys, been on a great 2 day roll on xmas day and day after.
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
Week 4 3-4
Week 5 3-2
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: Depaul/Pitt OVER 117
Depaul shoots well from the outside and with their #2 scoring player sidelined someone gets an opportunity to make a start tonight for the Blue Demons and come up Big in this Big East conference game.
Pitt should be able to get min of 65, so I'm banking on Depaul getting 50 mininum to cover this total.
Other Plays tonight: Vikes/Bears Under, OKC -6, Char -4.5 (solid home team, Bucks didnt impress me other night against SA, Phx/LAL Over 215.
NCAA: BYU -5.5 (Arizona was awful against mediocre NC State team, BYU should handle these guys), WF -16 (UNC-G gets blown out by 20+, almost my POD but I went with total today)
Best of Luck guys, been on a great 2 day roll on xmas day and day after.
I like OKC, just cant put money on the Nets ever, what the hell were they doing as favorites even to MN the other night? Durant is starting to get that team together, like where they are headed, if they play upright tonight they should be able to take the Nets imo.
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Thunder still in that youthful mode where they tend not to pass the ball, which leads to a lot of one-on-one basketball - as much as they usually deliver an honest effort, they're still learning on the fly (similar to Portland a few years back and slightly ahead of the curve of Sacramento currently), especially Westbrook and the newly acquired Maynor.
Nets frontline slightly more robust now (see above re: injury returnees)...
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Initially leaned w/ Portland when looking over the card, but have become less enthusiastic over the course of the day such that now a no play and more interested in seeing how the game unfolds.
Locked in
Denver -2
Updated leans
Bobs-4.5 (Redd still not 100% and Bucks trying to work him back in. Charlotte on a nice ats run at home)
Philly +6.5 and over (Blazers going with the smaller lineup now with Howard at center, don't think oddsmakers have caught up yet, lmight tail Joe on this one)
BOL tonight fellas. Be back with one more play to add. kurby
Adding
Blazers over 191.5 (damn line shot up)
Bobs -4.5:toast:
Good luck fellas
Meant to "quote", not "edit":director:
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- Jul 17, 2008
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Thanks
BOL to you
Only thing that scares me about this game is for some reason Philly plays well against Portland???Other then that they have showed me nothing that makes me think they can match Portlands intensity at home.
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Slicer - did u look at Air Force here? they run that Princeton offense that can frustrate an up-tempo team like Niagra -- neutral site game, but a long haul from Niagara to El Pasa giving Air Force advantage there too. +12 looks appealing. Thoughts?
