NBA TUE 120809 early thoughts - value hunting

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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Taxachusetts
Greetings,

First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :)

This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow.

NBA [510] TOTAL u192
(NEW JERSEY vrs CHICAGO)

BOLTA
 

ChumpChange

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Mar 23, 2009
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Greetings,

First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :)

This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow.

NBA [510] TOTAL u192
(NEW JERSEY vrs CHICAGO)

BOLTA

Let's look closer at that NJ / Chi game ... number opened at 189 and immediately went to 192.5 ... when that happens I need to know why !!! Yhe Phoenix / Dallas number 214.5 is a bit high ... I will comtinue to review tomorrows numbers with one hand and cheer for Utah minus 1.5 with the other hand !!!

We will talk tomorrow ............
 

grindstone

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Mar 18, 2009
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Greetings,

First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :)

This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow.

NBA [510] TOTAL u192
(NEW JERSEY vrs CHICAGO)

BOLTA

Glad we are the same page Sir, huge discrepency from opening will wait and see what happens with the public.
 

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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Taxachusetts
I also saw that opening number and was thinking the same thing. There's some inside info I'm not privy to since I would have bought the under at 189.

I agree with you and have a lean on PHO/DAL U.

My other lean is on SAC/NOH U.


Rooting for your live action buddy! BOL
 

easterntimezone

Shieh-sen
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Mar 18, 2009
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Ax -

Was the jump to 192.5 fairly quick after the line was initially posted? It opened at that number at the books I use...
 

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY 11-7

Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 2-2

NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: Evansville +14.5 @ Western Kentucky

WKU living on their name right now, 3-3 on the year with all 3 victories coming at home vs. Tulane by 14, CS Northridge by 1 and Wisc-Mil by 4. Total for the year 1-5 ATS.

Led by AJ Slaugter (6'3 guard, 16.5 ppg) the Hilltoppers run primarily a 1 guard, 4 F rotation, averaging 63 ppg, shooting under 30% from 3pt land.

The Evansville Aces come into the contest at 4-2 (1-1 Away) led by 6'5 guard Colt Ryan 14.7 ppg) The Aces run a 2 guard, 3 F rotation but have a deeper bench with 9 players averaging over 11 min per game. The Aces are averaging 73ppg and shooting 32.7% from 3 pt land and 72.5% from the charity stripe. While their strength of schedule is not on par with WKU they did play Butler to 4 points holding them to 28% from the field but the difference in that game was the FT line where Butler went 31-44 to Evansville's 15-20.

So advantage to Evansville on shooting %, 3 pt %, FT %, size advantage, deeper bench, rebounding and lack of name recognition +14.5 points.

And hopefully these refs won't moose me back to back nights :s5:
 

40seven

Registered User
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Mar 18, 2009
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Va Beach
Da Bulls number

Da Bulls number

It was the only Under play on my first go!

I really like OM LAC OVER along with the Suns plus the points, Denver - a few and Toronto - 8... I know enough already.

BTW I like this early stuff....BOLTA
 

ChumpChange

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Mar 23, 2009
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Locked in on Minn / Toro under 211 ... I come up with 207 ... Toro doesn't play any defense but Minn will not break 100 and Toro just wants to pick up a win and get on a late night flight to Milw for tomorrows game ...

Looking at other games but need to take a mental break ... numbers are confusing today !!!
 

barts185

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Feb 9, 2005
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FWIW, one winning tout service released the over in the NJN/CHI game as a strong play.

I'll still take Ax's plays anyday over any service, just an explanation as to why the number moved back up.
 

compita_luigi

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Mar 18, 2009
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Locked in on Minn / Toro under 211 ... I come up with 207 ... Toro doesn't play any defense but Minn will not break 100 and Toro just wants to pick up a win and get on a late night flight to Milw for tomorrows game ...

Looking at other games but need to take a mental break ... numbers are confusing today !!!

my book has it at 206.5 very wierd
 

JCWhy

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Mar 17, 2009
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Indiana
leans on these:
Nets/Bulls Under 192
Magic/Clippers Under 191.5

Locked in Kings/Hornets Under 211 already


any thoughts on Magic/Clippers?
 
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