NBA TUE 120809 early thoughts - value hunting

axp59

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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Greetings,

First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :)

This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow.

NBA [510] TOTAL u192
(NEW JERSEY vrs CHICAGO)

BOLTA
 
C

ChumpChange

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Mar 23, 2009
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axp59 said:
Greetings,

First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :)

This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow.

NBA [510] TOTAL u192
(NEW JERSEY vrs CHICAGO)

BOLTA
Click to expand...

Let's look closer at that NJ / Chi game ... number opened at 189 and immediately went to 192.5 ... when that happens I need to know why !!! Yhe Phoenix / Dallas number 214.5 is a bit high ... I will comtinue to review tomorrows numbers with one hand and cheer for Utah minus 1.5 with the other hand !!!

We will talk tomorrow ............
 
grindstone

grindstone

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Mar 18, 2009
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axp59 said:
Greetings,

First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :)

This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow.

NBA [510] TOTAL u192
(NEW JERSEY vrs CHICAGO)

BOLTA
Click to expand...

Glad we are the same page Sir, huge discrepency from opening will wait and see what happens with the public.
 
axp59

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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I also saw that opening number and was thinking the same thing. There's some inside info I'm not privy to since I would have bought the under at 189.

I agree with you and have a lean on PHO/DAL U.

My other lean is on SAC/NOH U.


Rooting for your live action buddy! BOL
 
easterntimezone

easterntimezone

Shieh-sen
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Mar 18, 2009
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Ax -

Was the jump to 192.5 fairly quick after the line was initially posted? It opened at that number at the books I use...
 
S

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY 11-7

Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 2-2

NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: Evansville +14.5 @ Western Kentucky

WKU living on their name right now, 3-3 on the year with all 3 victories coming at home vs. Tulane by 14, CS Northridge by 1 and Wisc-Mil by 4. Total for the year 1-5 ATS.

Led by AJ Slaugter (6'3 guard, 16.5 ppg) the Hilltoppers run primarily a 1 guard, 4 F rotation, averaging 63 ppg, shooting under 30% from 3pt land.

The Evansville Aces come into the contest at 4-2 (1-1 Away) led by 6'5 guard Colt Ryan 14.7 ppg) The Aces run a 2 guard, 3 F rotation but have a deeper bench with 9 players averaging over 11 min per game. The Aces are averaging 73ppg and shooting 32.7% from 3 pt land and 72.5% from the charity stripe. While their strength of schedule is not on par with WKU they did play Butler to 4 points holding them to 28% from the field but the difference in that game was the FT line where Butler went 31-44 to Evansville's 15-20.

So advantage to Evansville on shooting %, 3 pt %, FT %, size advantage, deeper bench, rebounding and lack of name recognition +14.5 points.

And hopefully these refs won't moose me back to back nights :s5:
 
4

40seven

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Mar 18, 2009
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Va Beach
Da Bulls number

Da Bulls number

It was the only Under play on my first go!

I really like OM LAC OVER along with the Suns plus the points, Denver - a few and Toronto - 8... I know enough already.

BTW I like this early stuff....BOLTA
 
C

ChumpChange

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Mar 23, 2009
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Locked in on Minn / Toro under 211 ... I come up with 207 ... Toro doesn't play any defense but Minn will not break 100 and Toro just wants to pick up a win and get on a late night flight to Milw for tomorrows game ...

Looking at other games but need to take a mental break ... numbers are confusing today !!!
 
B

barts185

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FWIW, one winning tout service released the over in the NJN/CHI game as a strong play.

I'll still take Ax's plays anyday over any service, just an explanation as to why the number moved back up.
 
C

compita_luigi

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Mar 18, 2009
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ChumpChange said:
Locked in on Minn / Toro under 211 ... I come up with 207 ... Toro doesn't play any defense but Minn will not break 100 and Toro just wants to pick up a win and get on a late night flight to Milw for tomorrows game ...

Looking at other games but need to take a mental break ... numbers are confusing today !!!
Click to expand...

my book has it at 206.5 very wierd
 
JCWhy

JCWhy

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Mar 17, 2009
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Indiana
leans on these:
Nets/Bulls Under 192
Magic/Clippers Under 191.5

Locked in Kings/Hornets Under 211 already


any thoughts on Magic/Clippers?
 
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