NC Game

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,410
1,992
113
Upstate NY
i don't love this game. but, because it's the nc game, i'm putting 8 units down.

clemson 1st H (+3.5) 2 units
clemson (ML) 4 units to win 6.8
over (69.5) 2 units. just feel like i'm getting some value on the tigers. no, the other tigers. i'm not entirely sold on lsu's defense. so i think clemson will have a puncher's chance. usually in huge games, both teams are a little tentative and it takes a while to get into a rhythm offensively. especially with a 16-day break. i thought about even playing the 1st half under, but decided against it. but once they start rolling, i think both offenses are going to put up a lot of points. maybe we'll even get OT.
 

ejthree

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 7, 2006
4,807
540
113
i don't love this game. but, because it's the nc game, i'm putting 8 units down.

clemson 1st H (+3.5) 2 units
clemson (ML) 4 units to win 6.8
over (69.5) 2 units. just feel like i'm getting some value on the tigers. no, the other tigers. i'm not entirely sold on lsu's defense. so i think clemson will have a puncher's chance. usually in huge games, both teams are a little tentative and it takes a while to get into a rhythm offensively. especially with a 16-day break. i thought about even playing the 1st half under, but decided against it. but once they start rolling, i think both offenses are going to put up a lot of points. maybe we'll even get OT.

Always hoping to see your inputs...GL
 

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,410
1,992
113
Upstate NY
gl buddy..

sorry to see you get such a horrible total...

thanks, os. gl to you as well.

yeah, i didn't think it would drop this much. oh well, not much i can do about it now. about all i can do, as i tend to do, is overanalyze it. and i came up with this gem yesterday...

we spend so much time worrying about the sharp money. the big money. and if we're on the other side, we feel like we already lost. but think about this a little bit. even the sharpest money is right, what, a little over 60% of the time? it's not like anyone out there is hitting 90% of their bets. so, sure, over a full season, or your entire wagering life, you would like to be aligned with the sharp money every time. but in an individual game? i've decided not to worry too much about it.

hell, after the last 2 weekends i've had, i can miss everything tonight and it won't bother me a bit. well, i mean, i hate losing money. but i ain't gonna lose any sleep over it.

so i'm hoping the sharp money was right, and there are 56 points in regulation. 28-28, and clemson wins in triple OT... 45-38. it's better to be lucky than good. :toast:
 
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