Bowl Record
Sides: 14-14 +6.6
ML: 8-9 +12.0
Totals: 26-24 -3.7
That late TD in the Rose Bowl put me in the red on totals for Bowl Season. Not the greatest couple weeks, but still a solid profit.
Sorry, not gonna delve into the numbers for this game. We know who these teams are. Magical run by TCU this season. I think it ends tonight. Well, duh, of course it's going to end. I should be a football broadcaster, with Captain Obvious statements like that. But you mean what I know.... I think they get blown out.
It's funny. While I was doing my write-up of the TCU-Michigan game, I started seeing some red flags re: Michigan. But I was so dead set on betting against TCU, I ignored them. Hopefully I'll learn my lesson for next time. And hopefully that next time isn't tonight. Because I was still pretty dead set on betting against TCU. They have certainly caught lightning in a bottle, but they really are not that good of a team.
My biggest concern on Georgia... do they still have the same hunger as they did last year? It's hard to regain that level, now that you've won the NC. Obviously there's a reason why so few teams repeat. Even those that return to the NC game.
But the cream rises to the top. I think there's a huge talent gap between these teams, especially on the defensive side of the ball. There goes Captain Obvious again. I'm betting on Kirby Smart having the dawgs ready to play tonight. And the key, as it usually is, is the ground game. Ok, one stat... TCU gives up 4.14 yards/carry. I'm too lazy to look up the national rank right now, but that's very middle of the pack, tied with Houston, Indiana, and West Virginia. Hardly defensive stalwarts. Georgia has a very balanced offense. When they run, they average 5.51 yards/carry, which is 6th in the country. And that wasn't against Big12 "defenses."
I hate laying double digits, but Georgia is the play.
As far as the total... it seems like NC games always go over. Well, any sort of championship games in football. I think the under is the right play, but can't bring myself to bet it. But, obviously, I have to give myself a chance to get my totals record into the black.
Just to be clear.... these bets are doubled just because it's the NC game. So my actual confidence is half of what I'm betting. Yes, I know it's dumb to wager more just because it's a big game. I'm not recommending anyone else do it. I just want to make that clear, in case anyone is actually following these picks.
Georgia (-13) 4 units
TCU TT under (24.5, -125) 5 to win 4
1H under (31.5) 2 units
1Q under (13.5, +100) 2 units
Sides: 14-14 +6.6
ML: 8-9 +12.0
Totals: 26-24 -3.7
That late TD in the Rose Bowl put me in the red on totals for Bowl Season. Not the greatest couple weeks, but still a solid profit.
Sorry, not gonna delve into the numbers for this game. We know who these teams are. Magical run by TCU this season. I think it ends tonight. Well, duh, of course it's going to end. I should be a football broadcaster, with Captain Obvious statements like that. But you mean what I know.... I think they get blown out.
It's funny. While I was doing my write-up of the TCU-Michigan game, I started seeing some red flags re: Michigan. But I was so dead set on betting against TCU, I ignored them. Hopefully I'll learn my lesson for next time. And hopefully that next time isn't tonight. Because I was still pretty dead set on betting against TCU. They have certainly caught lightning in a bottle, but they really are not that good of a team.
My biggest concern on Georgia... do they still have the same hunger as they did last year? It's hard to regain that level, now that you've won the NC. Obviously there's a reason why so few teams repeat. Even those that return to the NC game.
But the cream rises to the top. I think there's a huge talent gap between these teams, especially on the defensive side of the ball. There goes Captain Obvious again. I'm betting on Kirby Smart having the dawgs ready to play tonight. And the key, as it usually is, is the ground game. Ok, one stat... TCU gives up 4.14 yards/carry. I'm too lazy to look up the national rank right now, but that's very middle of the pack, tied with Houston, Indiana, and West Virginia. Hardly defensive stalwarts. Georgia has a very balanced offense. When they run, they average 5.51 yards/carry, which is 6th in the country. And that wasn't against Big12 "defenses."
I hate laying double digits, but Georgia is the play.
As far as the total... it seems like NC games always go over. Well, any sort of championship games in football. I think the under is the right play, but can't bring myself to bet it. But, obviously, I have to give myself a chance to get my totals record into the black.
Just to be clear.... these bets are doubled just because it's the NC game. So my actual confidence is half of what I'm betting. Yes, I know it's dumb to wager more just because it's a big game. I'm not recommending anyone else do it. I just want to make that clear, in case anyone is actually following these picks.
Georgia (-13) 4 units
TCU TT under (24.5, -125) 5 to win 4
1H under (31.5) 2 units
1Q under (13.5, +100) 2 units
