NCAA Baskets 3/27

edludes

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 25, 2001
3,592
38
0
alaska
Sweet 16 is here. In the first 48 games I show the favorites going 27-20-1 ( I grade against the opening, NOT closing lines Distorted by gambling action.) I show 27 overs, 20 under and one push on the totals.because these numbers usually come out reasonably close to even, I will look closely for dogs and under plays. I forecast final scores using Lem Bankers method based on the last four games each team plays, dropping the high and low averaging the middle two for each team. I also factor in each teams performance vs the spread and total the first two games of the tournament.i am not saying this is always right, but it points me in the right direction more often than not. I also factor in what I've seen on the floor, how I think the two teams will match up . I am starting with playing UCLA+4-. They pencil out to winning the game outright. I will play Arizona under 121- game and under 56- first h. Will add more later.
 

HoopsGuru

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2004
1,478
5
0
Thought you might be taking day/stan ov since both teams have played two unders so far. Thanks for the write up.
 

edludes

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 25, 2001
3,592
38
0
alaska
Hoops Guru- U r right, I am playing Dayton Stanford over 133-. Good prediction and I'm now posting the play.it pencils out to 100 points but look for them to do the opposite and break out here.
 

edludes

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 25, 2001
3,592
38
0
alaska
Taking Dayton +3 vs the Tree. Tree coming off upset of Kansas and New Mexico and are opened as a mere 2 point favs vs fn Dayton? The numbers I do show this as dead even and the now three points should cover the margin of victory, which may well b in favor of the flyers. If Stanford plays their best game they will win, but I think they played their best game on Sunday and could well expect to throw their jocks out on the floor and win this one. I believe Dayton to b the unlikely side again.
 

edludes

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 25, 2001
3,592
38
0
alaska
Got it at 3-. Lots of love for Stanford and they sure have the size advantage . Sticking w the unlikely dog here anyway.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top