NCAA Sweet 16 Thursday

[edludes]

2-0 in the nit posts yesterday,my first here since the NFL playoffs.I use two things to help play this tournament:the teams record ATS and o/u since the onset of thr tourney.This is to try and anticipate when a team is emotionally pointing towards a better then usual performance in a particular game or a particular o/u result.The second is a method I was taught (originated by Lem Banker,tweeked by me) for coming up with a very accurarte final score prediction.It gets functionally close lots of the time,ie leading to a team or total winner,but it sometimes gets really close in the later rounds to the actual final score.Need another round of tourney games before I trust it to that extent.Anyway,heres what both methods point to for me:Though Pitt hasn't covered yet in the tourney,normally making them a close look for a play,the score forecast thing shows a closer game than the number about a three point win.I personally think Pitt will go all the way if they win and don't cover vs Xavier,they will crush Duke on Saturday if it pans out in this way.I bought Xavier a point up to 8 just before it went down to 6- tonight.Also played the under 139 bought half a point here to get up tothe original opener of 139.Pitt won't have a high scoring fiasco like they did vs Okla st last sunday,and they will have one eye one the saturday matchup with Duke,this one with the xmen will be around 127 points I show.Xavier +8,under 139. Duke is 1-1 vs the number tourney to date and are coming off a non cover vs Texas in thier last game.Villanova is 1-1 vs the number,both games going over.Both Dukies games were overs as well.I show Duke covering in a very close to the number game,bought them down to minus 1 for 130 juice.Feel Villanova's chances of playing as great as they did against Ucla two games in a row is not strong.)Played missouri vs memphis bought an extra point up to +5-.Show them losing a close game.Hope this happens(a Memphis win and non cover) and I will play them on Saturday vs Uconn/Purdue winner.GL to all handicappers

 

[bleedingpurple]

Thanks for the info and good luck. I will definitely use this info to help me filter out these games.

 

[edludes]

Xavier line and total now at 6- 138,looked like it was headed to six a few minutes ago,but Xavier is receiving more play at 6- than Pitt so far at Pinnacle.Duke is at 2-Pinnacle juice has made duke the more expensive buy at 2- all day,I showed three as the final number in that game,it'll likely be tight.Money has been flying back and forth on Missouri/Memphis,each taking turns being bearing more the expensive juice,thats been an evenly bet game for sure.Got into the one point buy for these games only because I already feel I have an edge,this give me even a touch more(and sometimes less anxiousness at the end.)I wanted to betmarquette last sunday,even though my final score prediction method showed missu by 6,so I waited 'til my guys had it at four and bought the point with Marquette +5.Was never so glad to have done so,the bonehead mistake at the end didn't cost me.The opening line was 3 so I was in effect getting an extra two.It made a losing play a winner for me,and thru the end of the tourney I will continue the practice in most cases.GL

 

[nyraider]

nice call, on the xavier game.... i agree pitt will cover over duke on saturday

 

[edludes]

2-0 thanks to the brave xmen,and I got the first half of my wish,a Pitt win and no cover they have advanced three games without covering.Do not even think of betting against them Saturday vs the second half of my wish..............Duke.Pitt will put a big hosin' on whomever they face on Saturday GL