NCAA Week #4 MONEYLINE WATCH/PLAYS

UT-Longhorn

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Looks like our first game may be Friday night, Nevada is -7, -280, 40 cents light at the moment. will continue to monitor it.

Plays on the Radar-

Northwestern +7
Minnesota -2.5
Miami Ohio +7
Kent State +7
ASU +7.5
Washington +3
Eastern Michigan +4.5
NC State +7
Wake Forest +3
Michigan State +3

Last week 5-1 +24 units. Will be back closer to gametime to give final picks.
 

Costanza NY

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Sep 12, 2006
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Chase

Chase

UT,

Really enjoyed your baseball chase and played it all year. Do you have any type of football system that is similar???
 

UT-Longhorn

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no chase system per se, but do have this moneyline system. It does make $ over the season. Keep an eye on this.
 

dummy

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guess I'm missing the point> Is this play moneyline bets or play the pts thks
 

baltimore buc

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..........I have -300 as well.......UT, is the only parameter you use "light" on the favorite; therefore play the dog? What would make the favorite a play? Heavy on the favorite? or do you look at the moneyline being light on the dog as well? This is interesting, looking forward to your reply



2 -130/+110
2? -140/+120
3 -155/+135
3? -175/+165
4 -185/+165
4? -200/+170
5 or 5? -220/+180
6 -240/+190
6? -270/+210
7 -300/+220
7?, 8 or 8? -330/+250
9 or 9? -360/+280
10 400/+300
11 -450/+325
12 -500/+350
13 -550/+375
 

UT-Longhorn

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-7 is supposed to be -320, 7.5 -340, -8 -360. I give a variance around that number of up to +/- 10 cents. but really start looking when its atleast 20 off or more. When the fav is light on the ml, dog play, when the fav is heavy on the ml, fav play, although ill play the mL.
 

UT-Longhorn

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First play looks to be Northwestern +7.5 (-120) to win 5 units

Moneyline on Nevada just dropped some more, line remained at -7.
 

UT-Longhorn

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adding another 5 units to NW +7.5

recap-

NW +7.5 -120 to win 10 units


Public is on Nevada yet ML is falling.
 

big joe

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UT, take a look at this one----

9/23 151 UTEP 9 9? 9?-15 -415
2:00p 152 NEW MEXICO 54 53? +345

Looks like El Paso is heavy on the ML, so this would be the play,,right?
Thanks!!
 

UT-Longhorn

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correct, it is atleast 10 cents heavy, if not 50 cents, still trying to get a set # for these lines over 8.5. But either way, UTEP is heavy.
 

UT-Longhorn

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hey UT, on my site, i got nev -7 and ML +330 on NW, wats does that tell u ?


hey, I follow just one book's moneyline, so with that it appears heavy at that site, but for the one I follow this system by, it is still very light. good luck
 

UT-Longhorn

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i'm in lubbick, do you go to jakes to watch the longhorns, my girlfriend does all the time

hey man, I typically watch it at my house. Just got a house with a media room and 65" 1080p DLP HD tv so I make use of that quite a bit. How long you gonna be in town?
 
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