$$$$$ NCAAF Week Eight $$$$$

[NBA_Kid]

I have a strong feeling that these fade the public,line drop plays are going to do real well.

Kent st. at 5-1 and playing at home only laying 3 points to this 3-4 W.Michigan team. This line is down from 4. And Kent is the biggest home public play of the day at 72%.

Western Michigan +3

#14 Louisville is 6-0 playing at home and they are laying 6 points to South Florida. S.F. having a bad season at 2-4. This line opened up at 8. Big 2 point drop with 72% of the public on the Ville.

South Florida +6

68% of the public on Pittsburgh this line has gone from 11.5 to 9.5.

Buffalo +9.5

#17 Rutgers at 6-0 playing Temple 3-2. 67% on Rutgers this line has gone from 6 to 4. Only 4???? Wow!!!!

Temple +4

East Carolina is 4-3 they are playing this pretty bad UAB team at 1-5. This line has gone from 3.5 to 2.5 with the public on E.C. 62%. Line moving the wrong again.

UAB +2.5

#17 Cincinnati at 5-0 playing a MAC team in Toledo. 62% on Cincy they went from 7.5 to 5.5.

Toledo +5.5

This could be one of crystal ball games where Vegas already knows the winner. Stanford is only -2.5 in this game against Cal. Huge public play,actually the biggest road public play of the day at 74%.

California +2.5

I think Texas Tech will have a serious letdown after beating up W.Virginia. Texas Tech is also a pretty decent size public play at 58%.

TCU ML +111

Another letdown play is the LSU-A&M game. LSU bounced back nicely last week against South Carolina after losing to Florida. They left a lot on the field i believe. Also LSU should peeking ahead at Bama. No ML play. I`ll take the points. Should be a tight finish.

Texas A&M +3

I remember when the season started Michigan St. was ranked in the top 10. Catching 9.5 points from Michigan. Wow,that`s a lot of points. I`ll give them.

Michigan -9.5

 

[joefrog91]

Great insights as always Kid. Going to roll with you on some of these. :0074

 

[DB Killas]

Kid.....

I love what you have here. I haven't a clue why Louisville is -6 at home. They struggled for quite some time against a poor Pitt team and SF is bad as well.


Can you take a look at Indiana for me....Navy is pretty bad and Indiana can light up the board. I know they give up a lot, but to be dogs I think is a little much from the way they've been scoring.

 

[eeeerock]

This is the time of the yr they should hit,seems early on they do give it away,now they take it back after giving a bankroll!!!! GL any thought on Navy game,I LOVE navy just curious if u have anything on it?

 

[NBA_Kid]

I`m making Toledo,South Florida and Temple my 3 best bets.

BET ID=393817478
Straight Wager 10/20/12 07:47 ET
bet 125.00 to win 113.64 Result: Pending
SFlorida
Louisville 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
SFlorida +6

BET ID=393817444
Straight Wager 10/20/12 07:46 ET
bet 125.00 to win 113.64 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5

BET ID=393817401
Straight Wager 10/20/12 07:45 ET
bet 125.00 to win 113.64 Result: Pending
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +4.5

 

[NBA_Kid]

A few Teasers......


BET ID=393817730
6 Point Teaser (7 Teams) 10/20/12 07:52 ET
bet 100.00 to win 1,000.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +11
MichiganSt
Michigan 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
Michigan -3.5
PittsburghU
BuffaloU 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
BuffaloU +15.5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +10.5
SFlorida
Louisville 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
SFlorida +12
Stanford
California 10/20/12(15:05 ET)
California +9
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +9.5


BET ID=393817867
6 Point Teaser (5 Teams) 10/20/12 07:56 ET
bet 50.00 to win 225.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +11
EastCarolina
UAB 10/20/12(19:05 ET)
UAB +8.5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +10.5
Stanford
California 10/20/12(15:05 ET)
California +9
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +9.5


BET ID=393817997
7 Point Teaser (6 Teams) 10/20/12 07:59 ET
bet 75.00 to win 375.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +12
EastCarolina
UAB 10/20/12(19:05 ET)
UAB +9.5
MichiganSt
Michigan 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
Michigan -2.5
PittsburghU
BuffaloU 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
BuffaloU +16.5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +11.5
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +10.5

 

[NBA_Kid]

A Few Parlays.......


BET ID=393818070
Parlay (5 Teams) 10/20/12 08:01 ET
bet 25.00 to win 625.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5
PittsburghU
BuffaloU 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
BuffaloU +9.5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +4.5
SFlorida
Louisville 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
SFlorida +6
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +3.5


BET ID=393818152
Parlay (5 Teams) 10/20/12 08:03 ET
bet 25.00 to win 625.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Over 65
MichiganSt
Michigan 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
Michigan -9.5
SFlorida
Louisville 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
SFlorida +6
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +3.5


BET ID=393818204
Parlay (3 Teams) 10/20/12 08:04 ET
bet 50.00 to win 300.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +4.5
SFlorida
Louisville 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
SFlorida +6

 

[NBA_Kid]

BET ID=393818287
Parlay (10 Teams) 10/20/12 08:06 ET
bet 15.00 to win 10,500.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Over 65
MichiganSt
Michigan 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
Michigan -9.5
PittsburghU
BuffaloU 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
BuffaloU +9.5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +4.5
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Under 42
SFlorida
Louisville 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
SFlorida +6
Stanford
California 10/20/12(15:05 ET)
California +3
VirginiaTech
Clemson 10/20/12(12:05 ET)
VirginiaTech +8
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +3.5

 

[NBA_Kid]

BET ID=393818423
Parlay (5 Teams) 10/20/12 08:09 ET
bet 15.00 to win 375.00 Result: Pending
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5
EastCarolina
UAB 10/20/12(19:05 ET)
UAB +2.5
Marshall
SMississippi 10/20/12(19:05 ET)
Over 65
Rutgers
Temple 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Temple +4.5
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +3.5


BET ID=393818489
Parlay (7 Teams) 10/20/12 08:11 ET
bet 15.00 to win 1,125.00 Result: Pending
BallSt
CMichigan 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
Over 65.5
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Toledo +5
CincinnatiU
Toledo 10/20/12(19:00 ET)
Over 65
EastCarolina
UAB 10/20/12(19:05 ET)
UAB +2.5
MichiganSt
Michigan 10/20/12(15:35 ET)
Michigan -9.5
NIllinois
Akron 10/20/12(12:00 ET)
Akron +17
WMichigan
KentSt 10/20/12(15:30 ET)
WMichigan +3.5

 

[Giambi-Juice]

Hey Kid, as a faithful follower of your picks and style of picking. I have to tell you that you are confusing me. A while back, you posted a response to somebody saying that you were that good that you did not have to buy points or play teasers?

What up?:lol:

Good Luck with your plays!

I do have to add that S.Fla. is probably a big winner today. I loved Louisville when i first saw that line and always end up on the wrong side of S.Fla games with their inconsistent QB Blow Job Daniels. So with South Fla. off of a bye, they should make a game of it and I will fade my dumb ass and take the points as you are probably spot on in this spot!!! :0corn

 

[crmsontide14]

Hey Kid...

First off let me say I don't post much at all but do follow your plays and love some of your insight and numbers and do love playing the %'s like you do on the FTP. I like your top 3 plays today too but just wanted to give you a heads up on the LSU game. I have grown up in the South, watch these games every week, am a huge Bama fan and am obsessed with good defensive teams. I would rather watch LSU play all day than Oregon because I love defense.

With all that said, LSU should roll today against A&M. I've seen it all too often. A flashy high powered offense meeting up with a fast, hard hitting defense. In this scenario, Defense wins 9 times out of 10. Look at Texas A&M this year...only time they struggled scoring was against UF...solid D. I know they have developed since that game but they were dominated up front. Look at why the SEC wins the BCS...2006 - UF holds OSU offense to 0 points...only TD was Ted Ginn KO return, 2007 - LSU beats OSU again by 2 TDs, 2008 - OU scored 60+ points 5 games in a row before playing UF in the championship...Bradford and Co. held to 14 that day, 2009 - Bama rolls over Texas, 2010 - this is the one that gets me...an average SEC D in Auburn holds high powered Oregon to 19, 2011 - SEC v SEC so don't count it, 2011 - LSU v Oregon in Dallas...OU had some late TDs to keep it respectable but LSU dominated.

Sorry for the ramble and love your picks as always (esp NFL) but just offering advice on that SEC game today. LSU has a bye week before Bama so look ahead shouldn't be a problem and their running game looks to be back on track. Expect LSU to control the tempo with the ground game and defense and pull away middle of 3rd quarter with a 31-17 type win.

Good luck as always and keep posting!

 

[LUNCH PAIL]

LOVE YOUR CARD AND PLAYED MANY OF THE SAME GAMES FOR THE SAME REASONS YOU POSTED.

LET'S GET PAID KID

 

[Grama]

LSU has a bye week before Bama so the peek ahead should not be the case. Love the line movement plays. Good luck today.

 

[crmsontide14]

Agreed Grama. Take a look at my post a couple up...LSU rolls today and then rests for the big showdown in 2 weeks.

 

[NBA_Kid]

Hey Kid, as a faithful follower of your picks and style of picking. I have to tell you that you are confusing me. A while back, you posted a response to somebody saying that you were that good that you did not have to buy points or play teasers?

What up?:lol:

Good Luck with your plays!

I do have to add that S.Fla. is probably a big winner today. I loved Louisville when i first saw that line and always end up on the wrong side of S.Fla games with their inconsistent QB Blow Job Daniels. So with South Fla. off of a bye, they should make a game of it and I will fade my dumb ass and take the points as you are probably spot on in this spot!!! :0corn

I played my 1st teaser like 2 months.....Played maybe 8 days of teasers in my life.....Teasers and parlays do suck for the most part.

Buying points.....I have NEVER and i mean NEVER, EVER have bought a 0.5 point or full point in my gambling lifetime....So i don`t know where that comes from.

 

[NBA_Kid]

Hey Kid...

First off let me say I don't post much at all but do follow your plays and love some of your insight and numbers and do love playing the %'s like you do on the FTP. I like your top 3 plays today too but just wanted to give you a heads up on the LSU game. I have grown up in the South, watch these games every week, am a huge Bama fan and am obsessed with good defensive teams. I would rather watch LSU play all day than Oregon because I love defense.

With all that said, LSU should roll today against A&M. I've seen it all too often. A flashy high powered offense meeting up with a fast, hard hitting defense. In this scenario, Defense wins 9 times out of 10. Look at Texas A&M this year...only time they struggled scoring was against UF...solid D. I know they have developed since that game but they were dominated up front. Look at why the SEC wins the BCS...2006 - UF holds OSU offense to 0 points...only TD was Ted Ginn KO return, 2007 - LSU beats OSU again by 2 TDs, 2008 - OU scored 60+ points 5 games in a row before playing UF in the championship...Bradford and Co. held to 14 that day, 2009 - Bama rolls over Texas, 2010 - this is the one that gets me...an average SEC D in Auburn holds high powered Oregon to 19, 2011 - SEC v SEC so don't count it, 2011 - LSU v Oregon in Dallas...OU had some late TDs to keep it respectable but LSU dominated.

Sorry for the ramble and love your picks as always (esp NFL) but just offering advice on that SEC game today. LSU has a bye week before Bama so look ahead shouldn't be a problem and their running game looks to be back on track. Expect LSU to control the tempo with the ground game and defense and pull away middle of 3rd quarter with a 31-17 type win.

Good luck as always and keep posting!

You could disagree no problem :toast:

LSU looks like shit :0074

 

[NBA_Kid]

LSU has a bye week before Bama so the peek ahead should not be the case. Love the line movement plays. Good luck today.

Believe me their peeking ahead....:0074

 

[capping-guru]

You have some great looking dog plays. I am on Toledo and Temple myself. Seeing that USF line dropping from 7.5 to 5.5 has me scared now as I am on UL. GL today!

 

[capping-guru]

You could disagree no problem :toast:

LSU looks like shit :0074

Tigers really look flat man! Agreed......

 

[NBA_Kid]

You have some great looking dog plays. I am on Toledo and Temple myself. Seeing that USF line dropping from 7.5 to 5.5 has me scared now as I am on UL. GL today!

That is a big drop....Hopefully it works out in my favor.