NCSU Vs. C. Fla

ajoytoy

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Gary Hahn's Scouting Report: Central Florida

C STATE (0-0) vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA (0-0)



DATE: Saturday, September 1, 2007



TIME: Kickoff: 6:00 p.m. (EDT) Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC (57,500)



RADIO: Wolfpack Sports Network: 5:00 p.m. (EDT)



TELEVISION: ESPN 360



OPPONENT?UCF is an experienced team with a proven coach that is looking to rebound from a 4-8 campaign in 2006. Three losses of seven points or less kept the Knights from a winning season and possibly a second straight bowl appearance under former Georgia Tech coach, George O?Leary.



O?Leary has cause for optimism in ?07 with stability on both lines. Eight starters return on offense, including four linemen and two tight ends. Defensively, the entire secondary is back along with five members of the front-seven.



There was no quarterback controversy for O?Leary to handle either. Kyle Israel (6-2, 223) who started four games last season and saw action as a reserve in five others, won the job in the spring. The senior played extremely well in his final two appearances in ?06 (Memphis and UAB), completing 35-of-44 passes for a combined 443 yards and two touchdowns. For the season, Israel completed 65 percent of his throws and led the team with 1,420 yards.



One of the most pressing needs for the Knight?s offense entering camp centered on finding more receiving targets for Israel. Play-making machine Mike Walker is with the NFL?s Jacksonville Jaguars and that has left a big hole in the Knight?s receiving corps. Walker?s 90 catches and 1,178 yards were nearly more than the entire UCF receiving corps combined in ?06.



Three wideouts with meaningful playing time return in junior Rocky Ross, senior Javid James and redshirt junior Willie Thornton, but can any of them rise to Walker?s level? Ross was the team?s No.2 receiver in ?06, compiling 531 yards and two touchdowns on 36 catches.



O?Leary wants more downfield passes this year and having additional receivers at tight end could be a valuable weapon. Sophomore Corey Rabazinski caught 12 passes for 145 yards as a true freshman. Dom

Ignelzi, another sophomore, was impressive catching the ball in traffic in preseason. The former lineman was converted to tight end when he dropped 40 pounds during summer conditioning.



UCF's offense the past three seasons was more ball-control than deep threat. And with a solid line and a proven runningback returning the Knights have the ability to methodically move the chains again.



Kevin Smith?s playing time was limited in the spring due to injury, but the veteran tailback (6-1, 211, Jr.) was the workhorse last season, gaining 934 yards and scoring 7 TDs in 9 games. Smith ranks eighth in the nation among returning junior rushers in career yardage (2,112).



Among the front-seven on defense, five starters return. However, there are some areas of concern for defensive coordinator, John Skladany, one of three new coaches on that side of the ball.



In 2006, a lack of speed, depth and tackling ability plagued the linebackers, and UCF's defense suffered. The unit seemed vulnerable to opponents who threw underneath. Inexperienced players trying to fill a void caused by an injury to middle linebacker Steven Baker were part of the problem.



Baker is healthy now, but outside linebacker Jordan Richards, isn?t. Richards, who made five starts in ?06, is expected to miss this season with a shoulder injury. Two other outside linebackers left the program.



Those losses forced linebackers coach Dave Huxtable to move some players around. Baker is now outside along with Cory Hogue, a junior who led the linebackers with four sacks last season. Sophomore Chance Henderson, a starter for the final three games of ?06, is expected to man the middle.



The other UCF defensive unit under some pressure is the veteran secondary. After two consecutive years of up-and-down play, O?Leary is looking for consistency.

Johnell Neal, Joe Burnett and safeties Sha'reff Rashad and Jason Venson -- all juniors ? are the team?s most experienced group on defense with 79 combined starts. Neal has not missed a start for the past two seasons.



However, the numbers don?t line up with all the experience. As freshmen DBs in 2005, UCF?s pass defense was ranked No. 81 in the nation and ninth in Conference USA. Last season, with an older unit, the Knights dropped to 111th and 10th in the league.



The kicking game is anchored by senior Michael Torres. Last season, the UMass transfer made only one of his first four field goal attempts, but rebounded by nailing 16 of his last 20, including a 51-yarder. Like NC State, the Knights will have a new punter this season, but the return game looks solid.



Senior Curtis Francis averaged nearly 21 yards per kickoff return last season while Burnett was the Conference USA Special Teams Player of the Year after averaging compiling a 12 yard punt return average. Burnett has two career punt returns for touchdowns.



Expectations are high and to meet them the Knights are looking for a signature victory. UCF has not earned a win over a BCS conference school under O?Leary, but will get two opportunities this season. The first is Saturday against NC State. A date with Texas will be Sept. 15 at home.


NOTES: The Wolfpack has won 9 of its last 10 season openers...Darrell Blackman led the ACC in kickoff returns in ?06 with a 28.9 yard average and one touchdown. He also returned a punt for a TD...Blackman was No.4 in the ACC in All-Purpose yardage at 105.5 yards a game... Since 2000, NC State is 24-6 against non-conference foes... State scored only one touchdown on its opening drive of the game in 2006 and that came in the season finale vs. East Carolina... Last season Boston College under Tom O?Brien was 7-2 when scoring first while NC State was 1-1...State scored only 22 first quarter points last season... State has been held to 24 points or less in 23 of its last 24 games and has a 10-14 record during that span...Since 2000, the Pack is 30-17 at home, but was 3-4 in ?06... State has lost seven straight games?its longest losing streak since the 1959 season...Wolfpack runningbacks tallied only three, 100-yard rushing performances last season...Andre Brown has rushed for 100-yards or better four times in his career...Toney Baker led the Pack in rushing in ?06 (688) and was 10th in the ACC...Daniel Evans threw for more than 200 yards four times in ?06, including a 270 yard performance against Georgia Tech...The Pack offense scored only 17.5 points a game last season (10th in the ACC)...State tied for last in the ACC with a -11 turnover margin last season while Boston College under Tom O?Brien led the league at +15...The Pack was also 11th in the ACC in penalty yardage per game (58.0) in ?06...The Pack has not had an ACC Coach of the Year award winner since Dick Sheridan in 1986... The Wolfpack?s last overtime game was a 27-21 win at home over Wake Forest in 2004...State is 6-4 in overtime games...This is the first meeting between the Wolfpack and Central Florida...Knight?s coach George O?Leary is 12-24 in three seasons at UCF, but was 0-11 in 2004.



INJURIES--NC State: CB Phillip Holloman (hamstring pull)-questionable; DT DeMario Pressley (elbow sprain)-questionable; TE Anthony Hill (knee)-out for season; FB John Kane (concussion)-out for season; TE Rashad Phillips (rehab from auto accident)-out for season. UCF: QB Mike Greco (chest injury)-questionable; LB Jordan Richards (shoulder)-out.
 
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ajoytoy

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Just an FYI

Just an FYI

As in past years I will post my lean or play on the Pack games each week

Also will post my plays for my football pool...3 normal plays and one Best Bet each week...plays get points for over the line posted...BB play does not mean a double play, just my strongest play:shrug:

Any other games I am personally playing will be posted as well....just like everyone should know being an adult, please do not follow anyone's picks blindly...do your own research...i might not give rationale for my plays, but they are not picked randomly:nono:

Just an FYI for anyone that reads these posts, I will be out of the country from Sept 10th thru Oct. 7th (for my wedding and honeymoon):00hour :142smilie

I will try my best to come on here and post my plays, but my first priority is finding the games i like and getting them into my pool...

best of luck out there this season

toy
 

ajoytoy

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Thursday Plays

Thursday Plays

Oreg State -6.5
Louisiana Monroe +3
Miami (Ohio) +6

Pool Plays:
Miami (Ohio) +6
La Monroe +3
Oklahoma St. +6.5
Uconn -4 (best bet)
 
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ajoytoy

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0-2 yesterday

Playing:
Uconn -4
Ok State +6.5

NCSU lean:
Would play the Under 47 and take the points...do not know how this team will play this year, so laying off week 1

gl out there
 

ajoytoy

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got this tease going

Football - 156 Miami Florida -11? for Game
Football - 170 Oregon -11 for Game
Football - 177 UCLA -10? for Game
Football - 192 Kansas -1? for Game
Football - 208 Arizona State -9? for Game
Football - 223 Texas Tech -2? for Game
 

ajoytoy

carpe vitam
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1-1 yesterday

trying to middle my tease with Smu +9 this afternoon...leaning Noles, but will wait till tonight before i pull the trigger...still do not know if i can trust all the new coaches for FSU and especially their QB

Pack showed some of the problems of last year with penalties in the FH...they showed some determinations with their 2nd half, but just not enough...if they can get more structure they look promoising for the rest of the year...total pushed with opening line, but would have lost if i played it at 47.5
 
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