NFL Big Week 3

[DeadPrez]

This is a big week for me, kind of a turning point in my season and gonna let it fly. I've had success in the past playing against public favorites that are favored by less than 3 and even more so when the public fave is a dog of 3 or less. Especially when my side is at home. That scenario sets up 7, count 'em, 7 times this weekend. I usually will play a double play when my side is the favorite and at home. That includes Carolina, NYJ, Miami and Tennessee this week. I haven't posted much in this forum the last few years but I used to love these type situations and they were kinda rare. See if this "scenario" play still works for me. A lot of folks will be high on the Chargers, Bills, Falcons, Houston, GB and Chicago this week due to their performance last week. I'm going the other way.

6-5 ytd


Tennessee -3 (double)
NYJ -1 (double)
Carolina pk (double)
Miami moneyline (double)
Baltimore +3
Cincinnati +3
Pittsburgh +3


gl

 

[yanno]

Thanks for sharing your thinking! Mostly agree, especially about the small Home Dogs.

As a really articulate lines-maker once said:

"A lot of you walk off cliffs and shout "TRAP" all the way down."

He was talking about talking public favorites OTR vs Home Dogs.

The only game that makes me wonder is taking Pitts vs Chicago. Pitts is a mess and Chicago might well have got their act together.

In any case, good luck this year and keep sharing your thoughts!

:0008