- Oct 15, 2004
- 1,803
- 2
- 0
2011/2012 NFL Plays Record:
14-7-1
Best Bets:
12-3-1
Teasers:
11-4
Straight Plays:
3-3-1
Breakdown:
Playoff Plays 1-0
Playoff Leans: 1-0
Game Predictions 1-1
Medium Size Plays:
3-1
Small 1 Unit Plays:
9-4-1
Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
2-2
Leans:
11-8-1
+7.8 Units
The Texans ez beat down of the Bengals made for another profitable week!
I have one play for now for this week that I already hit and it's my best bet for this week.
Best Bet
Small 1 Unit Play
New Orleans Saints -3 (-135)
over 49ers
The Saints enter this game having won 9 games in a row and face a 49ers team that's 7-1 SU at home and has won 4 of their last 6 games...to cut to the chase,the mismatch in this game is the Saints passing game with Drew Brees going against a 49ers secondary that allows an average of 230 yds in the air per game...the best QB's they faced all season long was Eli Manning who threw for 302 yds in a 27-20 loss when the Giants were banged up and in a funk, Big Ben who threw for 330 yds when he played on his injured ankle and Joe Flacoo in a 16-6 loss...they also beat the Lions and Stafford when he was out of sync but were torched for 427 passing yds in their 27-24 loss to the Cowboys in week 2...even John Skelton found success vs the Niners secondary throwing for 282 yds in the Cards 21-19 upset win over them just four weeks ago...the Niners D had the luxury of facing the likes of the Rams, Seahawks, and Cards twice this year along with the Browns and Bucs...all in all, the Niners defense is stout vs the run, but can be torched by a team that can throw the football, and the last time I checked Drew Brees and the Saints passing attack is elite...The Niners as a team were plus 28 in the turnover battle this year as Alex Smith enjoyed his best season as a pro,but make no mistake the Niners are a run first team and must run the ball successfully early and often to have a chance in this game, however, the Saints are much better at defending the run than they are vs the pass which also plays into their hands...both teams have some nice trends pointing their way as the Saints are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs the NFC, while the Niners are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 vs the NFC and are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall...the Trump Card is the Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings with the Niners and have beaten the Niners in their last 6 meetings between the two teams...plus QB Drew Brees is a perfect 4-0 SU vs the Niners as the Saints QB...Bottom Line -The Saints to a man have talked this week about how they are being perceived as a Dome team and want to state their case on the road on Saturday, add to that the fact that they still have the taste of a road playoff upset in their minds from their loss to the Seahawks last season...I don't expect the Niners to roll over at home, but Ill take the hotter team right now with a much better QB and the experience of playing in big games and in the playoffs over a Niners team that will struggle to stop the Saints passing attack and one that could be feeling the butterflies some Saturday...The Saints advance to the NFC Championship game!
New Orleans 27 San Francisco 20
14-7-1
Best Bets:
12-3-1
Teasers:
11-4
Straight Plays:
3-3-1
Breakdown:
Playoff Plays 1-0
Playoff Leans: 1-0
Game Predictions 1-1
Medium Size Plays:
3-1
Small 1 Unit Plays:
9-4-1
Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
2-2
Leans:
11-8-1
+7.8 Units
The Texans ez beat down of the Bengals made for another profitable week!
I have one play for now for this week that I already hit and it's my best bet for this week.
Best Bet
Small 1 Unit Play
New Orleans Saints -3 (-135)
over 49ers
The Saints enter this game having won 9 games in a row and face a 49ers team that's 7-1 SU at home and has won 4 of their last 6 games...to cut to the chase,the mismatch in this game is the Saints passing game with Drew Brees going against a 49ers secondary that allows an average of 230 yds in the air per game...the best QB's they faced all season long was Eli Manning who threw for 302 yds in a 27-20 loss when the Giants were banged up and in a funk, Big Ben who threw for 330 yds when he played on his injured ankle and Joe Flacoo in a 16-6 loss...they also beat the Lions and Stafford when he was out of sync but were torched for 427 passing yds in their 27-24 loss to the Cowboys in week 2...even John Skelton found success vs the Niners secondary throwing for 282 yds in the Cards 21-19 upset win over them just four weeks ago...the Niners D had the luxury of facing the likes of the Rams, Seahawks, and Cards twice this year along with the Browns and Bucs...all in all, the Niners defense is stout vs the run, but can be torched by a team that can throw the football, and the last time I checked Drew Brees and the Saints passing attack is elite...The Niners as a team were plus 28 in the turnover battle this year as Alex Smith enjoyed his best season as a pro,but make no mistake the Niners are a run first team and must run the ball successfully early and often to have a chance in this game, however, the Saints are much better at defending the run than they are vs the pass which also plays into their hands...both teams have some nice trends pointing their way as the Saints are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs the NFC, while the Niners are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 vs the NFC and are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall...the Trump Card is the Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings with the Niners and have beaten the Niners in their last 6 meetings between the two teams...plus QB Drew Brees is a perfect 4-0 SU vs the Niners as the Saints QB...Bottom Line -The Saints to a man have talked this week about how they are being perceived as a Dome team and want to state their case on the road on Saturday, add to that the fact that they still have the taste of a road playoff upset in their minds from their loss to the Seahawks last season...I don't expect the Niners to roll over at home, but Ill take the hotter team right now with a much better QB and the experience of playing in big games and in the playoffs over a Niners team that will struggle to stop the Saints passing attack and one that could be feeling the butterflies some Saturday...The Saints advance to the NFC Championship game!
New Orleans 27 San Francisco 20
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