NFL Divisional Round Thread W/Underdog Special

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
2010 NFL Playoffs Record:
1-0

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
1-0


Small Plays:
1-0

+1.0 Units


Playoff Predictions SU:
3-1




2009 Final Regular Season NFL Record:
20-13

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
9-1


Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0


Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
9-5


Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-4

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit Plays:
0-1

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
16-8-1

+12.9 Units

13 weeks of showing a profit

2 losing weeks
1 wash
1 pass


I won my teaser easily last week so on to this:


All my Postseason Plays will be Small 1 Unit Plays, but My Units have quite a few Benjamins on the line.


I hit this already because I have a hunch this line is going to move toward the Cowboys much like the line moved in the Packers/Cards game last week.


*Best Bet*
Dallas Cowboys +3 (buy the ? point -130)

Over Vikings
As I pointed out last week, teams entering the postseason with momentum can be dangerous and a tough out in the postseason?The Cowboys are on a roll and have arguably been the hottest team the past 4 weeks?this week they face a Vikings team that lost 3 of it?s last 4 games SU before beating a Giants team that had already packed their bags and had the bus running in the parking lot?the Cowboys offensively will have a tough time running the ball consistently in between the tackles against the Williams clan so look for them to dip and bounce the ball outside of the tackles with the speedy Felix Jones?but make no mistake the Vikings defense hasn?t been as effective since LB E. J. Henderson was lost for the year with a leg injury?the biggest mismatch in this game in my opinion is the Cowboys hot passing game going up against a Vikings secondary that has struggled against the pass and will have a very tough time matching up against Miles Austin, Roy Williams, Kevin Ogletree and Jason Witten?the Vikings will need to keep constant pressure on Tony Romo to have a chance in this game?on the flip side?the Vikings offense faces a tough matchup against a Cowboys defense that is playing as good as any team in the league?the Vikings need Adrian Peterson to have success early and often to keep the Vikings from coming one-dimensional, but the Cowboys have been tough to run on since they yet to allow a 100 yard rusher all season long and Adrian Peterson has lost 6 fumbles this season?the Vikings passing game with Brett Favre also faces a tough task since both of their tackles (Bryant McKinnie and Phil Loadholt) are better going forward than they are dropping back against the pass?they will be facing a Cowboys defense that has been all over the QB as of late with DeMarcus Ware and Anthony Spencer bringing the heat?this could be a huge problem for the Vikings if they aren?t able give Favre time to throw the ball since he needs to get in a rhythm to be successful?as for special teams?the Vikings have struggled as a unit most of the season defending the return game which could also get them in trouble this weekend?All in All?I just feel the Cowboys and their ability to throw the football against a suspect Vikings secondary will be enough to put more points on the board than a Vikings team that may have trouble holding on to the football and protecting their QB this weekend?The Vikings will certainly have a loud Metrodome crown on their side, but the Cowboys already experienced a loud dome crowd having beat an undefeated Saints team on Monday Night five weeks ago...If this game were played about ten weeks ago, I?d favor the Vikings, but momentum is crucial at this time of the year...as the Cowboys send Brett Favre packing (possibly for the last time) and advance into the Championship round next week.
Dallas 30 Minnesota 20
BLOWOUT LOSS!
Note- Even though I like the Cowboys outright, I bought the ? point because it gives me a better chance of winning.
 
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Livin'tillthEnd

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 7, 2008
5,466
47
0
Dallas
been killing it man--congrats

been killing it man--congrats

gl this weekend as well, bc I am a Cowboys fan evidently my views are bullshit--so interesting to see a non-biased opinion:toast:

2010 NFL Playoffs Record:
1-0

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
1-0


Small Plays:
1-0

+1.0 Units


Playoff Predictions SU:
3-1




2009 Final Regular Season NFL Record:
20-13

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
9-1


Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0


Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
9-5


Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-4

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit Plays:
0-1

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
16-8-1

+12.9 Units

13 weeks of showing a profit

2 losing weeks
1 wash
1 pass


I won my teaser easily last week so on to this:


All my Postseason Plays will be Small 1 Unit Plays, but My Units are pretty large in size.


I hit this already because I have a hunch this line is going to move toward the Cowboys much like the line moved in the Packers/Cards game last week.


*Best Bet*
Dallas Cowboys +3 (buy the ? point -130)

Over Vikings
As I pointed out last week, teams entering the postseason with momentum can be dangerous and a tough out in the postseason?The Cowboys are on a roll and have arguably been the hottest team the past 4 weeks?this week they face a Vikings team that lost 3 of it?s last 4 games SU before beating a Giants team that had already packed their bags and had the bus running in the parking lot?the Cowboys offensively will have a tough time running the ball consistently in between the tackles against the Williams clan so look for them to dip and bounce the ball outside of the tackles with the speedy Felix Jones?but make no mistake the Vikings defense hasn?t been as effective since LB E. J. Henderson was lost for the year with a leg injury?the biggest mismatch in this game in my opinion is the Cowboys hot passing game going up against a Vikings secondary that has struggled against the pass and will have a very tough time matching up against Miles Austin, Roy Williams, Kevin Ogletree and Jason Witten?the Vikings will need to keep constant pressure on Tony Romo to have a chance in this game?on the flip side?the Vikings offense faces a tough matchup against a Cowboys defense that is playing as good as any team in the league?the Vikings need Adrian Peterson to have success early and often to keep the Vikings from coming one-dimensional, but the Cowboys have been tough to run on and Adrian Peterson has lost 6 fumbles this season?the Vikings passing game with Brett Favre also faces a tough task since both of their tackles (Bryant McKinnie and Phil Loadholt) are better going forward than they are dropping back against the pass?they will be facing a Cowboys defense that has been all over the QB as of late with DeMarcus Ware and Anthony Spencer bringing the heat?this could be a big mismatch if the Vikings aren?t able give Favre time to throw the ball since he needs to get in a rhythm to be successful?as for special teams?the Vikings have struggled as a unit most of the season defending the return game which could also get them in trouble this weekend?All in All?I just feel the Cowboys and their ability to throw the football against a suspect Vikings secondary will be enough to put more points on the board than a Vikings team that may have trouble holding on to the football and protecting their QB this weekend?If this game were played ten weeks ago, I?d favor the Vikings, but momentum is crucial at this time of the year as the Cowboys send Brett Favre packing (possibly for good) and advance into the Championship round next week.
Dallas 27 Minnesota 17

Note- Even though I like the Cowboys outright, I bought the ? point because it gives me a better chance of winning.
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Lean Only:

New York Jets +9 over Chargers
I considered playing this (especially in a teaser) but would hit this ASAP (if playing it straight) because the line is already moving down...I love the way the Chargers finished the season winning their last 11 games in a row...but I'm just wondering if their momentum will be disrupted just a bit by the bye week...the Jets are on a roll and have a big matchup advantage with their running game going against a Chargers defense that can be gashed by the run...the Jets might just have the best offensive line of any of the playoff teams...I'm also not a big fan of Mark Sanchez playing in the cold , but that certainly won't factor in this week...I think the Jets success in running the football will keep them in this ballgame and keep the Chargers offense on the bench...All in All...I think this game will be decided in the fourth quarter, with the Chargers advancing on a late Nate Kaeding field goal.
San Diego 23 New York 20
Outright Winner!
 
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FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
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Just a game prediction:

Cardinals/Saints
Another game being played with one team playing with momentum (Cards) while the other is coming off a bye week?I think this game will really be interesting because everything I?ve been hearing on the tube and on the internet points to a very high scoring game?however?I don?t see it quite that way?I think the Cards offense will see a lot of zone from the Saints (because the Saints don?t want to be beaten by Warner on the deep ball) and not many blitzes because the Saints know how quickly Warner gets rid of the ball and thrives when teams blitz him?they will give up the short stuff and would rather get beat on a 10 play drive than a big play?on the flip side?The Saints offense will want to get the Cards in 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR) to get Cards CB Michael Adams on the field?Adams was beaten like a drum last week and Drew Brees already has his drum sticks picked out?with that I expect the Cards defense to try to get pressure without blitzing since Drew Brees (like Warner) can eat up the blitz?I think the Cards defensive front seven will win their battle against the Saints O-line and keep pressure on Brees throughout the game to keep them within striking distance?The Cards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in January and 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record?while the Under is 6-2 in ARI last 8 games overall?The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0?9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record?Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games overall..Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games as a home favorite...The Cards could win this outright?but the home crowd prevails.
New Orleans 30 Arizona 24
SU Winner
 
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FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Just a game prediction:

Ravens/Colts
These two teams played earlier in the season with the Colts winning a nail-biter 17-15 but face a Ravens team playing with momentum?on the flips side...the Colts starters haven?t played an entire game in 28 days?I think the Ravens will run the ball early and often controlling the clock and keeping them in the ballgame?Peyton Manning is 0-3 SU in the playoffs when coming off a bye week?the Ravens could spring an upset here?but..I'm not sure that Joe Flacco is healthy enough to spring the upset.
Indianapolis 20 Baltimore 17
SU Winner!
 
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FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
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I knew the Cowboys game was over at halftime which made it easier to take...they wasted too many opportunities in the first half of the game to win yesterday.

I guess I was well over-due to lose!

I should have put some cash on my lone winning lean as the Jets won outright!


2010 NFL Playoffs Record:
1-1

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
1-1

Small Plays:
1-1

-0.1 Units

Playoff Predictions SU:
5-3




2009 Final Regular Season NFL Record:
20-13

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
9-1

Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
9-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-4

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit Plays:
0-1

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
16-8-1

+12.9 Units

13 weeks of showing a profit
2 losing weeks
1 wash
1 pass
 
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