6-1 +$890 yesterday
9-2 +$1,990 for the season
I've had a great start to the season and I will not be deterred when tonight's game concludes.
The ONLY reason for my plays tonight is with regard to public betting stats for both the side and the total. Most books here in Vegas opened with GB -3.5 and the O/U at 47.5. Those same books are now offering GB -3 (-115) and have the O/U set at 46. Some books also have GB -3 (-125) and/or GB -3 EV. Several books are adding or subtracting juice to entice the bettor to side with GB.
With that said, MadJackers here can vouch that there are two sports that I am very knowledgeable about and follow very closely. Those two sports are the NBA and the NFL. I have only been betting for three years now but my betting patterns and wager amounts/types follow very strict systems that I stick to consistently throughout each season. I have weeded through and picked out the strategies that I use every season to help produce high winning margin, great W-L records and nice profits. I am a huge advocate for doing my homework on public numbers and reverse line movements when applicable. This does not mean that I base my bets purely off of this information as I still use my head on whether or not the public weight and line movement will be the single most determining factor in a specific bet.
There is one thing that remains and will always remain constant when it comes to sports betting here in Vegas: VEGAS DOES NOT LOSE. Monday night football games are usually one of the best days to focus on public betting weight and line movement. Bettors always spend all day Monday trying to talk themselves out of taking the clear cut favorite for MNF so that they can make up for their horrible Sunday losses. MNF is always used as a bail-out plan and bettors love siding with the favorite.
Now that's it clear:
77% are on Green Bay ATS
65% are on the Over
69% are on Green Bay ML
Obviously one of two things will happen tonight.
1) If Green Bay wins, Vegas will lose their ass on this game (much like they did week 1 when the Patriots easily covered the 6 against the Titans).
2) Seattle covers, the sharps win their bets, the public lose their bets, and Vegas smiles and waits to collect more money from the public on Thursday night.
I am going to say it's the latter of the two tonight. This is a perfect situational play to take an underrated Seahawks team getting points at home against a publicly loved Green Bay Super Bowl team.
I may lose all of my plays tonight or I may win all of my plays tonight. Regardless of what happens, I will ALWAYS continue to use my strategies without hesitation. You're going to win some and lose some but I will take the subliminal advice that Vegas is giving to me tonight.
Stay true to your betting strategies and it will work out.
My plays:
Seattle Seahawks +3.5 $220/$200
Seattle Seahawks ML +155 $100/$155
Green Bay/Seattle under 46 $220/$200
Seattle Seahawks 1H +2.5 $110/$100
Two team parlay - Seattle Seahawks +3.5 and under 46 - $100/$260
Two team 7 point teaser - Seattle Seahawks +10.5 and under 53 - $300/$230
And on the side, I have two parlays that have Seattle at the end of each of them. One is a 5-teamer and the other is a 6-teamer. I did not post those parlays though so I will not count them as W-L.
As always, let's get this! :0074
9-2 +$1,990 for the season
I've had a great start to the season and I will not be deterred when tonight's game concludes.
The ONLY reason for my plays tonight is with regard to public betting stats for both the side and the total. Most books here in Vegas opened with GB -3.5 and the O/U at 47.5. Those same books are now offering GB -3 (-115) and have the O/U set at 46. Some books also have GB -3 (-125) and/or GB -3 EV. Several books are adding or subtracting juice to entice the bettor to side with GB.
With that said, MadJackers here can vouch that there are two sports that I am very knowledgeable about and follow very closely. Those two sports are the NBA and the NFL. I have only been betting for three years now but my betting patterns and wager amounts/types follow very strict systems that I stick to consistently throughout each season. I have weeded through and picked out the strategies that I use every season to help produce high winning margin, great W-L records and nice profits. I am a huge advocate for doing my homework on public numbers and reverse line movements when applicable. This does not mean that I base my bets purely off of this information as I still use my head on whether or not the public weight and line movement will be the single most determining factor in a specific bet.
There is one thing that remains and will always remain constant when it comes to sports betting here in Vegas: VEGAS DOES NOT LOSE. Monday night football games are usually one of the best days to focus on public betting weight and line movement. Bettors always spend all day Monday trying to talk themselves out of taking the clear cut favorite for MNF so that they can make up for their horrible Sunday losses. MNF is always used as a bail-out plan and bettors love siding with the favorite.
Now that's it clear:
77% are on Green Bay ATS
65% are on the Over
69% are on Green Bay ML
Obviously one of two things will happen tonight.
1) If Green Bay wins, Vegas will lose their ass on this game (much like they did week 1 when the Patriots easily covered the 6 against the Titans).
2) Seattle covers, the sharps win their bets, the public lose their bets, and Vegas smiles and waits to collect more money from the public on Thursday night.
I am going to say it's the latter of the two tonight. This is a perfect situational play to take an underrated Seahawks team getting points at home against a publicly loved Green Bay Super Bowl team.
I may lose all of my plays tonight or I may win all of my plays tonight. Regardless of what happens, I will ALWAYS continue to use my strategies without hesitation. You're going to win some and lose some but I will take the subliminal advice that Vegas is giving to me tonight.
Stay true to your betting strategies and it will work out.
My plays:
Seattle Seahawks +3.5 $220/$200
Seattle Seahawks ML +155 $100/$155
Green Bay/Seattle under 46 $220/$200
Seattle Seahawks 1H +2.5 $110/$100
Two team parlay - Seattle Seahawks +3.5 and under 46 - $100/$260
Two team 7 point teaser - Seattle Seahawks +10.5 and under 53 - $300/$230
And on the side, I have two parlays that have Seattle at the end of each of them. One is a 5-teamer and the other is a 6-teamer. I did not post those parlays though so I will not count them as W-L.
As always, let's get this! :0074

