San Diego/Oakland Over 45 5 units (ACE OF THE WEEK)
My prediction says 51---I have to take it with a 6 point cushion. My largest play last week was Over 42.5 (prediction was 48, actual final 49) on the Monday Night total with SF @ SEA. This play looks just as good.
Oakland -7 2 units
Yeah, I lost my bet with Oakland last week, but that makes this week's bet a little sweeter. They were embarrassed by STL and they are coming back to the dog pound against in-state rivals in San Diego. Public will ride on San Diego and the +7(even better), but I think Oakland brings their A-game in this one and makes a statement.
Oakland 31 San Diego 20
San Francisco +2.5 2 units
I took the ML at +120 myself. +2.5 doesn't mean much to me...if they lose by 1 or 2, I deserve it, and I didn't have to pay any vig.
San Francisco 28 New Orleans 26
Miami -4 1 unit
Don't worry about all the hype surrounding Fiedler being injured...line only shifted one point after that was announced. Ray Lucas is a good back-up QB, semi-mobile and good arm, has experience in this league. Not to mention, Miami's offense centers around Ricky Williams...he will bruise this Buffalo D that struggled to win against the Texans last week. Defensively, Miami is solid all around, and they are also playing at home. Miami plays VERY well in the heat compared to other teams that aren't as accustomed to it.
Miami 28 Buffalo 20
Washington/Green Bay Under 48 1 unit
Trends are pretty worthless to me, but just saw this one that stood out: Under is 10-2 when WAS is home 'dog of 3.5 - 7. Aside from that, we have a classic match-up between a high powered offense (Favre) and a very inconsistent, wanna-be high powered offense (Spurrier). 48 points is 6 TD's and 2 FG's...I just don't see it happening. Washington's passing D is not bad...they have some athletes in the secondary that will challenge Favre. Also, the GB offense has been evolving the last few weeks...I think Coach Lewis will be well prepared for them this week. What else? These teams are a combined 7-3 OVER this year...take the under and run.
Green Bay 27 Washington 17
Pittsburgh -4.5 (Monday Night) 1 unit
Pittsburgh is starting to mesh...very good win for them last week against a weak Cincy team, helped them gain some momentum going into the Monday night game. That was their first cover in the regular season. Indianapolis isn't bad, but the 4-1 record is very deceiving. Wins against Houston (shouldn't count), Cincinnati (by 7) and Baltimore (by 2). Give me a break! Indy has failed to cover all year except against Houston. Another nice trend: PIT is 10-3 ATS last 13 following division win.
Pittsburgh 27 Indianapolis 20
Good luck as always!
MasterTX
My prediction says 51---I have to take it with a 6 point cushion. My largest play last week was Over 42.5 (prediction was 48, actual final 49) on the Monday Night total with SF @ SEA. This play looks just as good.
Oakland -7 2 units
Yeah, I lost my bet with Oakland last week, but that makes this week's bet a little sweeter. They were embarrassed by STL and they are coming back to the dog pound against in-state rivals in San Diego. Public will ride on San Diego and the +7(even better), but I think Oakland brings their A-game in this one and makes a statement.
Oakland 31 San Diego 20
San Francisco +2.5 2 units
I took the ML at +120 myself. +2.5 doesn't mean much to me...if they lose by 1 or 2, I deserve it, and I didn't have to pay any vig.
San Francisco 28 New Orleans 26
Miami -4 1 unit
Don't worry about all the hype surrounding Fiedler being injured...line only shifted one point after that was announced. Ray Lucas is a good back-up QB, semi-mobile and good arm, has experience in this league. Not to mention, Miami's offense centers around Ricky Williams...he will bruise this Buffalo D that struggled to win against the Texans last week. Defensively, Miami is solid all around, and they are also playing at home. Miami plays VERY well in the heat compared to other teams that aren't as accustomed to it.
Miami 28 Buffalo 20
Washington/Green Bay Under 48 1 unit
Trends are pretty worthless to me, but just saw this one that stood out: Under is 10-2 when WAS is home 'dog of 3.5 - 7. Aside from that, we have a classic match-up between a high powered offense (Favre) and a very inconsistent, wanna-be high powered offense (Spurrier). 48 points is 6 TD's and 2 FG's...I just don't see it happening. Washington's passing D is not bad...they have some athletes in the secondary that will challenge Favre. Also, the GB offense has been evolving the last few weeks...I think Coach Lewis will be well prepared for them this week. What else? These teams are a combined 7-3 OVER this year...take the under and run.
Green Bay 27 Washington 17
Pittsburgh -4.5 (Monday Night) 1 unit
Pittsburgh is starting to mesh...very good win for them last week against a weak Cincy team, helped them gain some momentum going into the Monday night game. That was their first cover in the regular season. Indianapolis isn't bad, but the 4-1 record is very deceiving. Wins against Houston (shouldn't count), Cincinnati (by 7) and Baltimore (by 2). Give me a break! Indy has failed to cover all year except against Houston. Another nice trend: PIT is 10-3 ATS last 13 following division win.
Pittsburgh 27 Indianapolis 20
Good luck as always!
MasterTX

