NFL PICKS w/commentary

MasterTX

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 9, 2002
811
1
0
San Diego/Oakland Over 45 5 units (ACE OF THE WEEK)
My prediction says 51---I have to take it with a 6 point cushion. My largest play last week was Over 42.5 (prediction was 48, actual final 49) on the Monday Night total with SF @ SEA. This play looks just as good.

Oakland -7 2 units
Yeah, I lost my bet with Oakland last week, but that makes this week's bet a little sweeter. They were embarrassed by STL and they are coming back to the dog pound against in-state rivals in San Diego. Public will ride on San Diego and the +7(even better), but I think Oakland brings their A-game in this one and makes a statement.
Oakland 31 San Diego 20

San Francisco +2.5 2 units
I took the ML at +120 myself. +2.5 doesn't mean much to me...if they lose by 1 or 2, I deserve it, and I didn't have to pay any vig.
San Francisco 28 New Orleans 26

Miami -4 1 unit
Don't worry about all the hype surrounding Fiedler being injured...line only shifted one point after that was announced. Ray Lucas is a good back-up QB, semi-mobile and good arm, has experience in this league. Not to mention, Miami's offense centers around Ricky Williams...he will bruise this Buffalo D that struggled to win against the Texans last week. Defensively, Miami is solid all around, and they are also playing at home. Miami plays VERY well in the heat compared to other teams that aren't as accustomed to it.
Miami 28 Buffalo 20

Washington/Green Bay Under 48 1 unit
Trends are pretty worthless to me, but just saw this one that stood out: Under is 10-2 when WAS is home 'dog of 3.5 - 7. Aside from that, we have a classic match-up between a high powered offense (Favre) and a very inconsistent, wanna-be high powered offense (Spurrier). 48 points is 6 TD's and 2 FG's...I just don't see it happening. Washington's passing D is not bad...they have some athletes in the secondary that will challenge Favre. Also, the GB offense has been evolving the last few weeks...I think Coach Lewis will be well prepared for them this week. What else? These teams are a combined 7-3 OVER this year...take the under and run.
Green Bay 27 Washington 17

Pittsburgh -4.5 (Monday Night) 1 unit
Pittsburgh is starting to mesh...very good win for them last week against a weak Cincy team, helped them gain some momentum going into the Monday night game. That was their first cover in the regular season. Indianapolis isn't bad, but the 4-1 record is very deceiving. Wins against Houston (shouldn't count), Cincinnati (by 7) and Baltimore (by 2). Give me a break! Indy has failed to cover all year except against Houston. Another nice trend: PIT is 10-3 ATS last 13 following division win.
Pittsburgh 27 Indianapolis 20


Good luck as always!

MasterTX
 

HighRoller

Registered
Forum Member
Apr 30, 2002
2,464
1
0
71
master tx

master tx

very nice right ups:

tend to agree on a few...

I think san diego might just beat Oakland (not sure that was 1 week debacle).

Also New Orleans could very well beat San Fran.

I love you Miami call (of course).

Lots of Luck !

:thumb:
 

boilermaker

Bud Man
Forum Member
Feb 7, 2001
16,363
26
48
70
Marion ,Indiana
MasterTX, I have to agree with you on the Pitt/Indy game. I really thought this would be Pitt-6' line. Indy is a farce. Manning over rated, James not the same since the injury and their defense has not been tested. Looking for Bettis to have a huge game against them. Luckey for me (I hope),I will be arriving in Vegas monday morning to bet and watch the Steelers run all over the Colts.
Good Luck
 

MasterTX

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 9, 2002
811
1
0
Mr Christo-pulled that trend off of covers.com---didn't really even think about it...thanks.

boilermaker-good luck to you...have fun in Vegas, I only wish I could be there. Like Pitt even more now.
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
Not a problem MasterTX.....But if you got it off Covers then you would have also noticed that Green Bay are 8-1 over v. losing teams :eek:

Just stiring :D , hope you do well, in fact, I hope we all do well, because I'm on a couple of those also.

Pits can be found at -4 ;)
 

Pujo21

Registered
Forum Member
May 14, 2002
2,772
2
0
TEASER OAKLAND + OVER

TEASER OAKLAND + OVER

I like a teaser Oakland - 1 over 39.

Oakland at home should rebound. Oakland got astounded by St Louis Rams speed and dome.

good luck Master Tx
:D
 

MasterTX

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 9, 2002
811
1
0
Z-Man-
That is wonderful...I am glad we are on the same side on those 3.

MrChristo-
Thanks again for your comments...as I was saying, for every good trend there is one that negates it and for that reason they have really no weight in my selections.

Pujo-
I like that idea..I have a 3 team parlay where I bought MIA, OAK, and PITT down to -2.5, don't really tease very often and usually take one parlay for fun every week. Good luck to you with that though.
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
At the risk of becoming a 'regular'......

I've just found a 'trend' that Washington are 2-10 under as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points ;)

Maybe this is what they were on about :cool:

I've watched a replay of the Green Bay game last week, and find it hard to believe they only scored 28 with all the breaks they got in that game!!...starting to be drawn to the under myself....some cold snowy weather on the weekend might just tip me :D
 

MasterTX

Registered User
Forum Member
Apr 9, 2002
811
1
0
MrChristo-

I would assume that is what they were referring to...and I agree, a little snow would be nice.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top