NFL Playoffs

[theshiek]

Reg Season 90-82-3
52.3% -0.2 units

Should have quit after wk 14, but oh well. On to the playoffs. Don't feel great bout many of these. Good lines.

Buff +3 Thought long and hard about going w/ Hous due to possible Willis Reed moment w/ JJ Watt, and a playoff game on
Watson's resume. However, i'm going w/ more complete team, albeit less exp'd QB. Also wonder about Watson's ankle.

Tenn +4- Hate going against Brady, but this is not a Pat's team of old. They are beat up and could really have used the bye. D is
getting worn down, and that's not good vs Tenn rushing attack. Plus a lot of ex-Pats on Tenn sideline, and they know
the ins and outs of Pats. Pats may sneak out a win, but tempted to add Tenn ML.

Tenn <45 Both teams need to establish run. Unless there's a fluke TD or 2 I see both teams sticking to run

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Minny +7- I'm expecting a decent game from Cousins. He's got all the weapons back this week. Looking for a shoot out. Neither
teams secondary inspire confidence.

Minny >50 Since neither team secondary inspires confidence, of course have to take the over

Phil +1 Taking the hotter team with the better D.

Phil <44- A lot of injuries on both sides. Like last night think both teams want to be run heavy. Barring fluke TD's they should
stay the course.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 4-2-1

Minny <44 See both QB's as tentative. Thielen certainly makes Cousins better, SF pass rush will be tough. Both teams will try to
establish the run early.

Tenn +10 I need to see Jackson play well in the playoffs before laying the big #. Both teams look to establish the run. Think if
Balt gets ahead, Tannehill can keep it close.

Tenn >47 Despite the heavy run game on both sides, I'm not sure either D is that good. Their stats look good, but when I watch
'em there's something missing on both sides.

Hous +10 With Fuller expected back this one will be exciting. Just can't lay 10, so I'll take 10.

Hous >51 Huge number for a playoff game, but well deserved. KC will score at least 30, and Watson will need to keep up.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 7-4-1

KC -7 Really like Tenn and the way they play. If they win outright it won't disappoint me. But...I'm taking KC because Tenn has
been playing playoff games for last 3 weeks, all on the road. Yeah, 6 seeds have done it before, but it takes it's toll. Plus
at some point your QB has to win you one and I'm not sure Tannehill is that guy.

KC >52 KC good for 35. Tenn will get the rest.

GB <46- SF establishes the run, Rodgers struggles.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 9-5-1

Have gone back and forth and don't have a feel for the side. Think SF better overall team, but can't go against Mahomes. May make a prop bet that game goes to OT, just for the heck of it.

KC <54- A lot of talk about KC passing and SF running. Betting that both D's focus on taking those away, and will do so
successfully. Think both teams play it close to the vest for a awhile. Key will be if SF can prevent the big plays to KC
speedsters H&H. Think SF keeps Mahomes in the pocket with only rushing 4, and he's not as good in the pocket (he's
still really good, but not as good as when he's on the move). Jimmy G. will play well, but he's not going to set a SB
passing record. He'll be efficient.

GLA