nflx............................8-8.........+5.80*
nfl regular season.......45-30.......+39.70*
hopefully i will be able to rebound from little slump that i have been in.....
dallas-6(130)......
this is my best bet this week....but so was denver last week & minn. the week before..so i would recommend caution if anybody follows this play.
when i first saw this line i liked dallas, but i then started reading that dallas usually doesn't play well in games after they play the giants. so then i got off this play.then i started thinking about the matchups,reading injury reports & about a player on n.o. who will be suspended for the game...& finally because game will be played on prime time, i hopped back on the dallas bandwagon.i think parcells will have his team ready to play for a sunday night game.
the saints are one of the most improved teams in the nfl this year....they are 8-4 on the season. but they have played only 2 teams with a winning record this whole year. they lost to both of those teams (balt. & cin.) at home by an average margin of 14 points.
in looking at this matchup, i noticed that on the road n.o.allows an average of 147 yds. per game on the ground....at 5.5 ypr.(ranked 29th in rushing defense) and that was with hollis thomas playing at defensive tackle. now that he will be suspended for the remainder of the season, i think dallas (with 2 quality running backs) will be able to run all day on the n.o. defense.
in his 6 starts, tony romo has played very well...averaging a very high 8.94 yards per pass attempt.
on the other side of the ball, n.o. is ranked # 28th in running the ball. last week n.o. was without their top 2 receivers (horn left the game with a groin injury & colston missed last week with an ankle injury) & it was the first time in a long time that brees didn't throw for over 300 passing yards.so even if both receivers play, i question how effective they will be.if that's the case, the dallas defense will be able to key on bush.
over the course of the year the dallas defense has dramatically improved.they gave up 25 pass plays of 20 yards or more in the first 8 games of the season, or just over 3 per game. that number has been reduced to 6 plays in the last 4 games, or just 1.5 per game.they are ranked #4 in the league overall & against the run. they have not allowed more than 14 points in 4 of the last 6 games, including 3 of the past 4. they also rank near the top of the league in forced turnovers with 26, including 10 over the past 4 games.
n.o. has scored 31 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. i've read that teams in this situation have a tendency to have an offensive letdown (28-60 ats...1-3 ats this year).....especially the final 4 games of the season (6-21 ats).but again this is a prime time game so i don't expect too much of a let down by either team.
as a long time giant fan, it pains to say this...i think dallas is the best all around team in the nfc east....& i think they have a very good shot of playing in the super bowl.
i see dallas winning this game rather comfortably.
good luck.
nfl regular season.......45-30.......+39.70*
hopefully i will be able to rebound from little slump that i have been in.....
dallas-6(130)......
this is my best bet this week....but so was denver last week & minn. the week before..so i would recommend caution if anybody follows this play.
when i first saw this line i liked dallas, but i then started reading that dallas usually doesn't play well in games after they play the giants. so then i got off this play.then i started thinking about the matchups,reading injury reports & about a player on n.o. who will be suspended for the game...& finally because game will be played on prime time, i hopped back on the dallas bandwagon.i think parcells will have his team ready to play for a sunday night game.
the saints are one of the most improved teams in the nfl this year....they are 8-4 on the season. but they have played only 2 teams with a winning record this whole year. they lost to both of those teams (balt. & cin.) at home by an average margin of 14 points.
in looking at this matchup, i noticed that on the road n.o.allows an average of 147 yds. per game on the ground....at 5.5 ypr.(ranked 29th in rushing defense) and that was with hollis thomas playing at defensive tackle. now that he will be suspended for the remainder of the season, i think dallas (with 2 quality running backs) will be able to run all day on the n.o. defense.
in his 6 starts, tony romo has played very well...averaging a very high 8.94 yards per pass attempt.
on the other side of the ball, n.o. is ranked # 28th in running the ball. last week n.o. was without their top 2 receivers (horn left the game with a groin injury & colston missed last week with an ankle injury) & it was the first time in a long time that brees didn't throw for over 300 passing yards.so even if both receivers play, i question how effective they will be.if that's the case, the dallas defense will be able to key on bush.
over the course of the year the dallas defense has dramatically improved.they gave up 25 pass plays of 20 yards or more in the first 8 games of the season, or just over 3 per game. that number has been reduced to 6 plays in the last 4 games, or just 1.5 per game.they are ranked #4 in the league overall & against the run. they have not allowed more than 14 points in 4 of the last 6 games, including 3 of the past 4. they also rank near the top of the league in forced turnovers with 26, including 10 over the past 4 games.
n.o. has scored 31 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. i've read that teams in this situation have a tendency to have an offensive letdown (28-60 ats...1-3 ats this year).....especially the final 4 games of the season (6-21 ats).but again this is a prime time game so i don't expect too much of a let down by either team.
as a long time giant fan, it pains to say this...i think dallas is the best all around team in the nfc east....& i think they have a very good shot of playing in the super bowl.
i see dallas winning this game rather comfortably.
good luck.
