nfl plays for 9/27-9/228....

AR182

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7-9....


tenn.+3....

teams that allow less than 10 points (jets) in consecutive wins are 71-110-1 ats as favorites the next week....

dogs (tenn) that are coming off a su loss as a favorite of more than 6 points are 134-78-8 ats over the years....

0-2 teams (tenn) in game 3 that won 11 or more games this past season are 17-6-1 ats when facing an opponent who won less than 11 games last season....

play on - road teams (tenn) - off a home loss against a division rival, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses....

since 1983 the ats record for this system is....37-13....74%....


phil.-7(120)....

i know that they have injuries but can't see them not giving an all out effort after getting blown out by n.o.last week....

phil. is 8-0 ats off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992....

phil. is 17-4 ats after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992....

play on any team (phil.) that allowed 28 or more points last week if they have a bye week on deck.....

since 1995 the ats record for this system is....37-13-1....74%....


tampa bay+7....

this is the 2nd consecutive road game for the g-men & are coming off 2 tough division games against wash. & dallas....& their hurting & will be missing key players along the d-line & in the 2ndary....

so far this year the giants haven't been able to run the ball on offense (3.7 ypr) & haven't been able to stop the run on defense (6.7 ypr allowed).....meanwhile tb has a good rushing attack with 3 good backs in cadillac williams, former giant derrick ward & earnest graham, who have combined to run for 217 yards at 4.9 ypr....

over the years it has shown that home dogs that can run the ball are usually pretty good plays....


good luck....
 

Hooks

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With ya on Philly and TB. You actually gonna bet against the G-men ?

Have a great week 3 buddie. :00hour
 

AR182

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thanks guys....

dave my friend....of course i would bet against my giants if i thought it was a good bet...& i have a feeling you do the same with the skins...

adding....

denver..ml....

play against - home underdogs vs. the money line (oak.) - poor defense from last season - allowed 5.4 or more yards/play, versus division opponents....

since 1983 the record for this system is....58-15....79.5%....

the system's record this season is....2-0....

over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....10-2....83%....


play against - any team vs the money line (oak.) - poor offense from last season - averaged 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game....

since 1983 the record for this system is....20-6....76.9%....

over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....2-0....


good luck....
 

kneifl

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I like Tampa Bay, just don't have the cajones to pull the trigger.

Good to see you posting Al, we need to have a cap bet later this season. My Cowboys are out for revenge!!

kneifl
 

AR182

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thanks jon....as i once told bbc i don't bet clothing....i'll take you up on the bet if you come up with something else....
 

AR182

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adding....

over 41 gb/rams....

this is my first over bet this year....wish me luck..lol....

gb is 6-0 over in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.....the average score was gb 32.0, opponent 28.1....

mccarthy is 12-3 over in road games against conference opponents as the coach of gb....the average score was gb 26.3, opponent 24.7....


buffalo+7(125)....

we all know how potent the no offense has been so far this year....since 1980 there have been 11 teams that have played away from home after scoring more than 42points in each of their previous two games & those teams are just 3-8 su & 1-8-2 ats....


since 1992 jauron (buffalo coach) is 15-3 ats in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached....the average score was jauron 22.8, opponent 19.2....


good luck....
 

AR182

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adding....

sf+7....

minn.'s next game is a mnf vs greenbay....minn. 0-7 su/ats when favored before gb vs anyone with .500 record or better & 3-18 ats regardless the opponent's record.....


jax.+4(115)....

here is a system that i got from another capper....

houston def. allows 240 yards passing & 215 yards rushing per game....teams that allow 167+ yards rushing & over 191 yards passing per game, but under 40 points per game are 0-24 ats if on regular 6 days of rest with line from +1.5 to -7.5.....


good luck....
 

trolln4walii

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GL today AR. I was getting worried about my picks for awhile :mj07: Now I can get some back a bit with the Broncs and Niners ;) With you and Vicc both on that GB over I think I may just put a little on it :SIB
 
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