NFL Week 12 Keeping it HOT! $$$$$

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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I'm coming off a perfect 4-0 week!!!

:00hour


And have been on Fire as of Late!


:bigun:


For this week:


A One Unit Small Play on:


3 game 10 point teaser
Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5

Over Bengals
New England Patriots +11
Over Dolphins
Green Bay Packers +13.5
Over Saints

Steelers -0.5?The Bengals have extra motivation for this game since Steelers WR Hines Ward put Bengals rookie LB Keith Rivers out for the season with a legal hit back in the Steelers 38-10 win in Cincy earlier in the season?in some ways this is probably the Bengals Super Bowl since they are playing on prime time and facing their hated rival?however? the Bengals are just 0-5 on the road this season and have lost 4 straight to the Black and Gold going 0-4 ATS in the process?plus the Bengals will be without four starters tonight two apiece on offense and defense as well as a top backup tonight?on offense starting LT Levi Jones and LG Andrew Whitworth are both out along with their backup OG Scott Kooistra?Rookie Anthony Collins and Nate Livings will make their first NFL starts facing a Steelers team ranked #1 in the league in total defense...on the flip side Steelers QB Ben Roethisberger hasn?t thrown a TD pass in the last 3 games but he faces a Bengals defense that ranks second last in the league in sacks?I expect a healthy dose of Willie Parker and Mewelde Moore churning out yardage on the ground tonight to let Big Ben pick his spots?the Steelers defense facing a banged up Bengals O-Line with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB gets the nod tonight.
Pittsburgh 24 Cincinnati 13 WINNER!

Patriots +11?This is a huge revenge game for the Patriots after the Dolphins caught them unprepared for the wildcat attack in their earlier meeting in week 2?the Pats have also had a few extra days to prepare for this game coming off of Thursday Night?the Pats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games off an ATS loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing more than 30 pts and 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU loss?while the Fins are 6-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 versus the AFC?the generous 11 points in this teaser is a bonus since I feel the Patriots have a chance at an outright victory.
New England 24 Miami 23 WINNER!

Packers +13.5?The Packers found their running game and pounded the Bears last week 37-3 after two tough road losses to Minny (28-27) and Tennessee (19-16) in the two previous weeks?I expect the Packers offense to once again have success as they face a Saints team that?s banged up in their secondary and has allowed an average of 235 yards through the air?on the flip side the Packers defense faces a Saints team that can move the ball with Drew Brees at QB and they?re banged up in the front seven? but their secondary is one of the best in the league?this game should be a barn-burner likely decided in the forth quarter?the Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November, 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road tilts and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS win?the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday Night contests.
New Orleans 31 Green Bay 30 Pending
 
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FirstnGoal

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Overall 2008 Recap

Record:

22-13-4

Breakdown:

Teasers:
12-7-3

Sides:
10-6-1

Big 3 unit plays:
1-1

Medium 2 unit plays:
8-3

Small 1 unit plays:
7-6-1

Very Small 1/2 unit plays:
6-2-1

Total = +10.25 units @ $3000 a unit = +$30,750

Leans:
11-3-1
 

FirstnGoal

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Adding this Very Small 1/2 Unit Play:

Cleveland Browns -3
over Texans
The Browns are coming off of a Monday Night win over the Bills but face a Texans team that has lost 3 straight games and is 0-5 on the road this season?plus the Texans could be without HB Steve Slaton (their spark-plug) for this contest since he didn?t practice Thursday because of a bruised chest?the Browns still have an outside shot at the playoffs (a long-shot) while the Texans have packed it in for the year and will be facing a rowdy crowd in inclement weather this weekend ?the Browns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, 13-5 ATS versus the AFC and 7-2 ATS versus a team with a losing record?while the Texans are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after a SU loss, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road contests.
Cleveland 27 Houston 20
Loss
 
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FirstnGoal

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Leans:
11-3-1 on the year!

Buffalo Bills -3 over Chiefs EEEZZZ Winner!

San Diego Chargers -135 moneyline
over Colts
 
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trolln4walii

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Jul 11, 2004
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Stay hot FnG!! (well, except for your lean on the Bills);) I have the Patriots, Packers, and Browns on my card today :) Congrats on your week #11 results and the great season. Continued success :toast:
 

FirstnGoal

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Stay hot FnG!! (well, except for your lean on the Bills);) I have the Patriots, Packers, and Browns on my card today :) Congrats on your week #11 results and the great season. Continued success :toast:

Thanks Trollin! :toast:

I only have a unit and a half at risk this week so I'm kinda playing it safe :shrug: ...looking back I should have put 2 units on my 3 game teaser. :yup
 

FirstnGoal

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The Patriots covered the +11 easily setting me up with the Packers +13.5 for MNF.

Lost the 1/2 unit Browns play... but will pickup a unit on the teaser for another profitable week! :00hour

The Bills -3 covered easily making my leans 12-3-1 for the year!
 
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