NFL Week #12...Two More Winners!!!

[FirstnGoal]

10 winning weeks...1 losing week...1 wash.



:00hour



Like the energizer bunny....I keep winning and winning! :142smilie



As for this week:

I really like this one!


Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Best Bet

Miami Dolphins -3
Over Bills
The Dolphins have had 3 extra days to prepare for this game and will be catching the Bills with a depleted offensive line?RG Eric Wood was injured at Tampa last week and is OUT for the season?his backup Seth McKinney was also hurt at Tampa and is also OUT for the season?the Bills Offensive line is a true mash unit at this time since both starting OT?s (Demetrius Bell and Brad Butler) from the beginning of the season are OUT as well?the Bills signed journeyman OG Kendall Simmons this week for a health body to suit up?I liked the Bills with the points last week as they caught a Jaguars team with a depleted secondary and almost pulled the upset?but this week they will be overmatched by a Dolphins team that has won 3 straight in the series including a 38-10 romp back in week #4?TRENDS - Miami is an impressive 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East?.4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the AFC?.and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games?.Buffalo is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0?.but?3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win?1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games?.0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0?.and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Miami 24 Buffalo 16

LOSS


I will be adding at least one more play.


Happy Thanksgiving to my fellow Madjackers
:toast:

 

[FirstnGoal]

2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
14-10

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
7-0

Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
4-2

Small 1 Unit Plays:
6-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
1-3

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
10-4-1

+10.7 Units

 

[CartersCubs]

thanks FnG.. keep up your winning ways. BOL this week

 

[FirstnGoal]

thanks FnG.. keep up your winning ways. BOL this week

Thanks CC!

:toast:

 

[FirstnGoal]

Small 1 Unit Play:

Monday Night

New England Patriots +3
Over Saints
The Patriots passing game led by Tom Brady has a very favorable matchup this week as they play a Saints team with a very banged up secondary?CB Tracy Porter is OUT, backup Leigh Torrance is also OUT? while their other starting CB Jabari Greer and Randall Gay will likely have to play less than 100%...The desperate Saints signed CB Mike McKenzie to serve as the Saints' # 4 corner this week but McKenzie will have to learn DC Gregg Williams scheme in less than a week since the Patriots run a spread offense, requiring opponents to have a plethora of healthy DBs?on the flip side?I can?t say enough about Drew Brees and the Saints offense?but the Patriots offense has a much more favorable matchup in this one?In my opinion, the Patriots are poised to hand the Saints their first loss of the season?Trends ? Both teams have plenty of favorable trends?but the Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between these two.
New England 38 New Orleans 33

LOSS

 

[FirstnGoal]

Small 1 Unit Play:

Monday Night

New England Patriots +3
Over Saints
The Patriots passing game led by Tom Brady has a very favorable matchup this week as they play a Saints team with a very banged up secondary?CB Tracy Porter is OUT, backup Leigh Torrance is also OUT? while their other starting CB Jabari Greer and Randall Gay will likely have to play less than 100%...The desperate Saints signed CB Mike McKenzie to serve as the Saints' # 4 corner this week but McKenzie will have to learn DC Gregg Williams scheme in less than a week since the Patriots run a spread offense, requiring opponents to have a plethora of healthy DBs?on the flip side?I can?t say enough about Drew Brees and the Saints offense?but the Patriots offense has a much more favorable matchup in this one?In my opinion, the Patriots are poised to hand the Saints their first loss of the season?Trends ? Both teams have plenty of favorable trends?but the Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between these two.
New England 38 New Orleans 33

I'm glad I hopped on this on Wednesday because the line has dropped to Saints-2...the oddsmakers must have read my writeup. :142smilie

 

[FirstnGoal]

Leans:
10-4-1 on the year

Seattle Seahawks -3 over Rams
The Seahawks looked bad last week at Minny?but they should look much better this week facing QB Kyle Boller.
Seattle 27 St. Louis 17
WINNER

Atlanta Falcons -12 over Bucs
The Falcons need this game?this one could get ugly!
Atlanta 30 Tampa Bay 14
LOSS

 

[Cie]

Seattle Seahawks -3 over Rams
The Seahawks looked bad last week at Minny?but they should look much better this week facing QB Kyle Boller.
Seattle 27 St. Louis 17

No doubt they should, but Seattle is out of playoff contention, playing 3rd straight on road on Thanksgiving week. Can't imagine these guys will be sky high. GL

 

[FirstnGoal]

No doubt they should, but Seattle is out of playoff contention, playing 3rd straight on road on Thanksgiving week. Can't imagine these guys will be sky high. GL

Excellent point Cie...However...I'm "Leaning" toward the Seahawks -3 since they have owned the Rams winning the last 9 games...plus Rams HB Steven Jackson is listed as questionable for the game.
Jackson has missed the entire week of practice this week while recovering from back spasms.

The Line has since moved to Seattle -4.

 

[FirstnGoal]

I had my first losing week in a while going 0-2 on the week losing 3.3 units in the process

I guess I was due :shrug:

The Pats loss was easier to take last night since they were outclassed by the Saints...but the Dolphins won the time of possession and first down battle and had a 14-7 lead in the fourth quarter...but...4 interceptions sealed the deal.

Looking forward to next week.

 

[FirstnGoal]

2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
14-12

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
7-1

Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
4-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
6-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
1-3

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
11-5-1

+7.4 Units