NFL Week 13 Best Bet and Leans

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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2011 NFL Plays Record:
8-5-1

Best Bets:
7-2-1

Teasers:
7-3

Straight Plays:
1-2-1

Breakdown:

Medium Size Plays:
2-1

Small 1 Unit Plays:
6-3-1

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
0-1

Leans:
6-5-1

+3.7 Units



I picked up 2 units on an ez teaser win last week!



One Play for this week!


Small 1 Unit Play

Best Bet
3 Game 10 Point Teaser:
Atlanta Falcons +8.5
over Texans
New Orleans Saints -1/2 over Lions
Dallas Cowboys +6 over Cardinals

Falcons +8.5...The Falcons have won 2 in a row and 5 out of their last 6 games and face a Texans team that has won 5 straight but has their third string QB TJ Yates under center this week... The Texans defense will keep them in this game, but the Falcons are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games and should come out on top in the end without the generous points in this teaser.
Atlanta 20 Houston 17

Saints -1/2...The Saints have won 4 out of their last 5 games, are a perfect 5-0 at home and beat the Lions in NO 45-27 in 2009...The Lions had an extra few days to prepare for this game but will likely be without their best defender in Suh and have an offense that has been struggling as of late because of injuries to their RB's and the finger injury to QB Stafford which has caused him to turn the ball over the last few weeks...the Saints offense has scored a whopping 138 points in their last 3 home games and should be clicking on all cylinders in this one as Drew Brees takes advantage of a poor Lions secondary...The Saints are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
New Orleans 37 Detroit 23

Cowboys +6...The Cowboys have won 4 straight games and face a Cards team that has won 3 of their last 4 but those 3 wins have come over the likes of the Rams twice and the Eagles...the Cards in fact are 0-4 SU this season when they step up in class against teams with a winning record losing to the Ravens, Steelers, Giants and 49ers... The Cowboys have good matchups on both sides of the ball and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Cards while the Birds are just 2-6 ATS vs a team with a winning record...The Boys won't need the points!
Dallas 27 Arizona 20
 

Old School

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Mar 19, 2006
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excellant tease..

well thought out..

Lions not even in the same universe as Saints..


Cowboys game is actually a home game for them in Ariz.
There will be as many or more "America's Team" fans there as there are Ariz.'s " we only support winners fans."
In fact "The Boys" fans will be far louder than Ariz. fans.

Atl. a serious threat to visit GB for the NFC Championship..a straight up W is expected as the line has moved from -1 to -3 for a road dog in a supposed tuff house with a franchise that was on the verge of a breakthrough prior to these injuries.



:0074
 

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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excellant tease..

well thought out..

Lions not even in the same universe as Saints..


Cowboys game is actually a home game for them in Ariz.
There will be as many or more "America's Team" fans there as there are Ariz.'s " we only support winners fans."
In fact "The Boys" fans will be far louder than Ariz. fans.

Atl. a serious threat to visit GB for the NFC Championship..a straight up W is expected as the line has moved from -1 to -3 for a road dog in a supposed tuff house with a franchise that was on the verge of a breakthrough prior to these injuries.



:0074

I agree with all your points!

:toast:
 

FirstnGoal

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Leans:

New York Jets -2
over Skins...The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record.
New York 24 Washington 17
 

Four Corners

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Nov 23, 2010
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Always enjoy you your writeups and logic and sharp capping..This is my third 3 teamer in the last 4 weeks where I have pushed (lost) on one of the three teams (Dallas +6)...Both my online accounts classify three teamers as "special" teasers and ties lose. Do you have a good online book for teasers? THanks for all your insight!
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
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Always enjoy you your writeups and logic and sharp capping..This is my third 3 teamer in the last 4 weeks where I have pushed (lost) on one of the three teams (Dallas +6)...Both my online accounts classify three teamers as "special" teasers and ties lose. Do you have a good online book for teasers? THanks for all your insight!

5 Dimes

I use them exclusively for my teaser plays. They give you a choice on all teaser plays up to 9 pts to win, lose or reduce...10 point teasers either lose or reduce...I always choose reduce at -115 juice for 10 pointers and win for the rest of the teasers. The choice to reduce saved me some money yesterday.
 

FirstnGoal

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Monday Night Lean:

San Diego Chargers -3 over Jaguars...The Chargers beat the Jaguars 38-13 in San Diego last year and face a Jaguars team with a very poor offense and an interum head coach in Mel Tucker tonight...The Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in December, while the Jaguars are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Monday night games...The Chargers have a much better offense and should finally break their 5 game losing streak tonight in front of a national TV audience.
San Diego 24 Jacksonville 17
 

Four Corners

Registered User
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Nov 23, 2010
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Raleigh, NC
5 Dimes

I use them exclusively for my teaser plays. They give you a choice on all teaser plays up to 9 pts to win, lose or reduce...10 point teasers either lose or reduce...I always choose reduce at -115 juice for 10 pointers and win for the rest of the teasers. The choice to reduce saved me some money yesterday.

THanks...I will look into it..GL for the rest of the season!!:0074
 
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