nfl week #17.....

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
22-24....

n.o.+3 (125)....

carolina must be dejected after losing a very important game last week in ot to the giants....& this week's game is their 4th road game in 6 weeks..... they are 3-0 ats away vs losing teams & 0-4 ats away vs winning teams & are allowing 45,31& 34 pts in their last 3 road games....

n.o. is 2 completely different teams at home vs on the road.....they are 6-1 su/ats at home with brees completing 69% of his passes with a 19-4 ratio.....while on the road they are 1-6 su with brees having a 9-12 ratio..... they are averaging 33 ppg at home & have not been held to under 24 pts....

we all know by now how dominating the nfc home teams have been this year when hosting another nfc south team....they are 11-0 su & 9-1-1 ats...& don't see that changing in this game....

an angle supporting this play....

road teams with a win percentage above .600 on the season are just 7-25-1 ats since 1991 in week 17 vs. a team that is off a su win in their last game.....note that road favorites in this situation are 1-11-1 ats......

play on indy +3 over tenn. (1-11-1 subset applies)
play on buffalo +6.5 over new england (1-11-1 subset applies)
play on new orleans +3 over carolina (1-11-1 subset applies)

right now i am only taking the saints....


good luck...
 
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