NFL Week 6 [ROI +40.0%]

MasterTX

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Apr 9, 2002
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ATS 4-0-1 +4.00u
Dog ML 4-4 +1.40u

Total Risked=13.50u
Profit/Loss=+5.40u
ROI=+40.0%

Week 6
I am showing a lot of dogs this week, and will typically play them on the ML if they are +7.0 or less. Historically, you will make more money doing this (let me know if you want more info). Could be a make or break week depending on how loud they bark. Still waiting on my outs to post moneylines. I have already played:

Atlanta -4.0
Dallas +7.5*
Miami +7.5* (MNF)

*If Dal/Mia drop to +7, I will consider buying back the favorite at -7 and playing the dog on the ML.
 

MasterTX

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Adding:
Houston +7.5

Figured this one would move off of 7, but I still think the Mario Williams injury is causing an over-reaction. Also, loss to Oakland at home looks ugly, but they had 2 solid chances at winning near the end of game that most bettors will not see. Crazy thing is that it opened @ Bal -6 (-105). I have to believe Vegas knew they would get hit with Ravens $ at that number. I will take the hook for now and see if sharps attack this line back down. Play has ML potential still.
 

MasterTX

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Baltimore -7.0
New England -7.0
*Buying back on my Houston/Dallas bets with a slight middle opp on the TD. Looking to take these 2 on the ML later in week.
 

MasterTX

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Sorry with the buy back confusion, was mis-reading my spreadsheet and it threw me off.

Here is the current card:
Atlanta -4.0
Detroit -4.0
Buffalo ML +165
Cleveland ML +215
Tampa Bay ML +175

Waiting for Sunday AM to play the rest:
PHI/WAS --- will play the DOG on the ML depending on which team is getting points closer to kick-off, should be a very small dog near even money
IND & MIA --- will play them ATS if line is +7.0 or higher, ML @ +6.5 or lower
HOU & DAL --- looking to play these on the ML if line closes +7.0 or lower, not interested in these ATS
 

MasterTX

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Thanks Vicc, you too!

Adding 1/2 unit on Tampa Bay ML +175 (now a 1.5*) play
 

MasterTX

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Biting on this one, don't think the line will pop above 7.5 at this point:

Dallas ML +240
 

MasterTX

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FINAL CARD
Atlanta -4.0 -110 1.0*
Tampa Bay ML +175 1.5*
Detroit -4.0 -110 1.0*
Buffalo ML +165 1.0*
Cleveland ML +215 1.0
Washington ML +130 1.5*
Indianapolis ML +250 1.5*
Houston ML +265 1.0*
Dallas ML +240 1.0*
[MNF]Miami ML +240 1.5*
 
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