12-10 (+1.12)
First up is a couple of system plays...
Road teams with 2 or more wins are 26-5 against home teams with just one win.
As we all know, winning in pre-season is almost more about the coaches want to win, rather than the talent on each team, so it makes sense that coaches/teams who have been making the effort to win usually continue to do so...and of course, getting them on the road usually means getting them as 'dogs...esp. against teams who apparently aren't trying to win so much.
NE +3 (2.00)
This is not a team that likes to lose anytime...so I'm pretty confident the defense has been stewing all week about giving up big points last week.
BB has hinted that the starters may play 1/4...unlikely, but either way the offense will score. Hoyer alone lead them to a 38-27 win v. the Giants in this game last year (as home dogs).
NYG have been struggling with both lines...and although the starters will play for 1/4 they've done nothing so far anyway! 5 of their total 7 TD have come in the last 20 minutes of games when the opp has stopped...[NE won't stop!]...They've allowed the 4th most y/pass so far which is bad news v. NE...
...no Sorgi leaves Bomar to mop up. Can't see them winning buy more than 3 if at all.
Atlanta +3
Speaking of bad D's...the Jags giving up the 3rd worst y/pass av, while Atl are (suprisingly) no. 1! (Best that is!)
Now the Jags are also having O-line problems having losst 2 centres last week to injury, and I've read they will be 'experimenting' with players in different positions this game which doesn't bode well for their offense.
Just seems they've got more to worry about than winning this game.
NO +7.5 is also a system play for this week, but I won't be taking it. No Brees, and due to them having only a week break before their opening game they are leaving a whole host of (mainly defensive) starters at home.
Miami @ Dallas under 37.5
Surprised by this line. No Romo, means McGee is starting for the Cowboys...a team that is content to sleep walk thru to the real stuff...av'ing just 12 ppg...
...Miami making some noise about wanting the starters to be 'more urgent' than last week, but they have been held by 2 solid D's so far, which Dallas certainly is at this stage.
No Dallas game so far has topped 30.
Pittsburgh v. Carolina under 37.5
Surprising lines! I would have played this @ 36.5, but have no idea why it jumped a pretty important point to this number.
Again, 3 Carolina games haven't topped 29 so far, with their very solid D, but total lack of offense.
Steelers have played a couple of high scoring games, but have played 3 bad D's so far...even last week Dixon and Leftwich both struggled, so expecting more of the same this week.
These teams have played each other 8 times in the pre-season (last week even) since 2000...the highest scoring game was 21-17 in 2005...[when Pits flea-flickered the winning TD with 1.30 left in the game! Nasty! :facepalm: :142smilie ]
Chicago @ Cleveland under 37.5
Neither Delhomme nor Wallace will play for the Browns...both McCoy and Ratliff have been terrible so far.
Bears will start newly signed Todd Collins, and presumably end with LeFevour...av'ing just 12 ppg and haven't topped 17...
...Browns dominated a similarly poor scoring team SL at home, holding them to 115 yards in the air and less than 2 y/carry.
Browns certainly with nothing to prove here...Bears a would like to see some points from Collins, but either way 37 looks a fair way off to me.
Good Luck all
First up is a couple of system plays...
Road teams with 2 or more wins are 26-5 against home teams with just one win.
As we all know, winning in pre-season is almost more about the coaches want to win, rather than the talent on each team, so it makes sense that coaches/teams who have been making the effort to win usually continue to do so...and of course, getting them on the road usually means getting them as 'dogs...esp. against teams who apparently aren't trying to win so much.
NE +3 (2.00)
This is not a team that likes to lose anytime...so I'm pretty confident the defense has been stewing all week about giving up big points last week.
BB has hinted that the starters may play 1/4...unlikely, but either way the offense will score. Hoyer alone lead them to a 38-27 win v. the Giants in this game last year (as home dogs).
NYG have been struggling with both lines...and although the starters will play for 1/4 they've done nothing so far anyway! 5 of their total 7 TD have come in the last 20 minutes of games when the opp has stopped...[NE won't stop!]...They've allowed the 4th most y/pass so far which is bad news v. NE...
...no Sorgi leaves Bomar to mop up. Can't see them winning buy more than 3 if at all.
Atlanta +3
Speaking of bad D's...the Jags giving up the 3rd worst y/pass av, while Atl are (suprisingly) no. 1! (Best that is!)
Now the Jags are also having O-line problems having losst 2 centres last week to injury, and I've read they will be 'experimenting' with players in different positions this game which doesn't bode well for their offense.
Just seems they've got more to worry about than winning this game.
NO +7.5 is also a system play for this week, but I won't be taking it. No Brees, and due to them having only a week break before their opening game they are leaving a whole host of (mainly defensive) starters at home.
Miami @ Dallas under 37.5
Surprised by this line. No Romo, means McGee is starting for the Cowboys...a team that is content to sleep walk thru to the real stuff...av'ing just 12 ppg...
...Miami making some noise about wanting the starters to be 'more urgent' than last week, but they have been held by 2 solid D's so far, which Dallas certainly is at this stage.
No Dallas game so far has topped 30.
Pittsburgh v. Carolina under 37.5
Surprising lines! I would have played this @ 36.5, but have no idea why it jumped a pretty important point to this number.
Again, 3 Carolina games haven't topped 29 so far, with their very solid D, but total lack of offense.
Steelers have played a couple of high scoring games, but have played 3 bad D's so far...even last week Dixon and Leftwich both struggled, so expecting more of the same this week.
These teams have played each other 8 times in the pre-season (last week even) since 2000...the highest scoring game was 21-17 in 2005...[when Pits flea-flickered the winning TD with 1.30 left in the game! Nasty! :facepalm: :142smilie ]
Chicago @ Cleveland under 37.5
Neither Delhomme nor Wallace will play for the Browns...both McCoy and Ratliff have been terrible so far.
Bears will start newly signed Todd Collins, and presumably end with LeFevour...av'ing just 12 ppg and haven't topped 17...
...Browns dominated a similarly poor scoring team SL at home, holding them to 115 yards in the air and less than 2 y/carry.
Browns certainly with nothing to prove here...Bears a would like to see some points from Collins, but either way 37 looks a fair way off to me.
Good Luck all
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