Noticed something about Week 15 each year...

[GM]

Take it for what it's worth, but as far back as my records go Favorites and Overs have always had the upper hand in Week 15's...

2002: Favs 10-6 ATS. Overs 10-5-1
2001: Favs 7-4-3 ATS (plus 1 Pick 'Em game). Overs 8-7.
2000: Favs 9-6 ATS. Overs 10-4-1.
1999: Favs 8-7 ATS. Overs 8-6-1.

Cumulative record: 59.6% Favs, 62.1% Overs.

I don't have the data for prior to '99...but thought I might just post this as I seemed to recall a favorite "bump" each year. Doesn't mean it will happen this year...but...

 

[GM]

Furthermore...

Furthermore...

Home favorites:

2002: 7-4 ATS
2001: 7-3-3 ATS
2000: 9-4 ATS
1999: 7-4 ATS

Cumulative record: 66.7% ATS

Road favorites went 4-8 (33.3%) over the same period.

 

[Billy Barooooooo]

Yeah I noticed that. Have a feeling I'm going to get killed today. I'm a hugh Home dog player and Anti-Consensus player.

Only thing keeping me to my guns is last week

Week 14 : 10 - 5 - 1 Favorites rolled

Thanks Again

BB

 

[Hotduck]

Good info GM. The favs look good this week but I am always worried about loading up on them. Hope this trend continues. Good luck

 

[GM]

Home dogs have done well in Week 15's Billy, see my post above yours. Home teams period have done well in Week 15.

It could mean nothing, but 67% over 57 games to me means it's something to keep an eye on. Maybe because it's just that time of year when certain teams have packed it in. If you're out of it but at home you will probably give it an effort for the home fans... but if you're toast and on the road you are probably not going to care a whole lot about the outcome.

I count a minimum of 3 teams starting rookie QB's today too (Chi, NYG, Ariz).

 

[parlayinn]

the early part of the season went against recent history, so maybe this week will too?

 

[GM]

Early games... home teams won every single game. Favs 5-3-1. Unders only 4-5.

Damn Cinci non-cover cost likely cost me at least a grand in an online contest.