Oct. 2 plays

stagger lee

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Jun 29, 2003
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Toronto
LW: 2-0-1 (+2.0 units)
YTD: 2-0-1 (+2.0 units)

All plays for 1 unit

Purdue @ Notre Dame (+3)

Everyone loves offence and think that Boilers have caught the public?s attention with their one-sided wins early in the season. Seeing all this talk about Orton for Heisman, and while it may be justified, feel that has swayed the public with the extra media attention on the Boilers.

Tough to win on the road in college football and Purdue hasn?t won in South Bend since 1974.

Irish have forced 16 turnovers this season, 2nd only to Michigan (19)

Boilers are 1-9 in 2nd of back-to-back road games

Irish 5-1 as dog of 7 or less points, 8-3 hosting Purdue, series host is 7-2 and Irish are 10-5 in 2nd of back-to-back home.


UAB (+105 ML) @ Cincy

Blazers as dogs just seem to get it done (27-13 as a dog and 15-3-1 as conference dog less than 18 points)

Series dog is 5-1.

Turnover angle favours Blazers, which comes in at +5 for UAB while Bearcats are -1.


West Virginia @ Va Tech (under 48.5)

Not much of a totals player but when doing my pre-season ?research? noticed something that I jotted down to remember. This series has averaged 34 points per game.

Both defences are well below the league average of 23.9 points per game, Neers at 17.3 ppg allowed while Hokies come in at 14.5.

Both teams like to rush the ball which should keep the clock ticking.


Nevada (+6) @ UNLV

Last week, I asked why was Smoo favoured over San Jose St. Didn?t play the game but shows once again the ?makers know what they are doing.

I?m asking the same question again this week (why are Rebels favoured and by almost a TD) but will bite on the Wolfpack.

At least Nevada is scoring points, averaging 32 ppg while Rebels come in at 12.8 ppg.

UNLV comes in at -8 in turnover margin while Wolfpack is +4.

Like Nevada RB Kretschmer and think once again their offence should be able to control the clock against a Rebels defence allowing 202 rush yards per game (league avg. is 148.9).

Last two games in this series have been decided by 4 pts in both games.



other leans (thought I?d throw them out there if anyone has comments):

Wake (NC St shouldn?t be trusted as a double-digit fave with the way its offence has played so far, but for some reason shying away from the Deacs this week, probably because of Wolfpack defence)

Illinois (wisky not to be trusted as a fave, which probably led to the big line dip)

Army (ugly dog of the week but not sure how Ross?s comments will take with players - either they are motivated or fall deeper into the abyss)

Oregon St (Cal off for few weeks, could be rusty and another team that public is enamoured with)

Buffalo (line drop has me off this game)

Colorado (Buffs remind me of Carolina in NFL last year and Jax this season ? might be getting it done with mirrors but can?t argue with the results)
 

gman2

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Nov 12, 2002
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great call on the west virginia under. you were dead on the $$
 
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