One Prop Play Today (4 Unit Play)

[yyz]

I like one wager on a prop today, more than the rest.

I think it has some good value based on the way the game should shake out.

In the late game with Green Bay playing Atlanta, I think the Packers will have their hands full. I don't think, or at least I HOPE, Coach McCarthy doesn't get the Packers into a spot where they can "coast" with a half, or a quarter to play.

I seriously doubt that will happen. As good as the run game worked for the Packers last week, I think they will be forced back into more passes this week. To that end, I think Rodgers gets back in the game.

The Falcon defense, IMO, will force Green Bay to have plenty of little "dump" passes in their game plane, too. I think Starks could be quite effective in this situation.

The Packers defense will make sure that Aaron gets plenty of shots with the ball.

All that factoring in.......I like this wager:


Aaron Rodgers Over 23 Completed Passes +120

4 Unit Play

 

[gardenweasel]

I like one wager on a prop today, more than the rest.

I think it has some good value based on the way the game should shake out.

In the late game with Green Bay playing Atlanta, I think the Packers will have their hands full. I don't think, or at least I HOPE, Coach McCarthy doesn't get the Packers into a spot where they can "coast" with a half, or a quarter to play.

I seriously doubt that will happen. As good as the run game worked for the Packers last week, I think they will be forced back into more passes this week. To that end, I think Rodgers gets back in the game.

The Falcon defense, IMO, will force Green Bay to have plenty of little "dump" passes in their game plane, too. I think Starks could be quite effective in this situation.

The Packers defense will make sure that Aaron gets plenty of shots with the ball.

All that factoring in.......I like this wager:


Aaron Rodgers Over 23 Completed Passes +120

4 Unit Play

4 units,eh?...

i`m going to follow along on this(you f-cking homer ).....i suspect that starks comes back down to earth and struggles running the ball here....

so,i too see lot`s of dump offs and screens(if mccarthy does due diligence)....

:mj09:

 

[yyz]

Wise old rodent!

 

[AR182]

Very nice reasoning y....I may follow you on this play since I don't have a bet in this game....

Good luck....

 

[redsfann]

5dimes has this prop at Over 21.5 completions -140....anyone for a middle.....:142smilie

-140 a bit steep, but think its the right side to be on....

 

[MrChristo]

I wrote this for myself earlier on...


Atl do concentrate on taking away the deep ball, which inevitably leaves short patterns and check downs open.
They are 29th on the season for allowing completed passes (28th for %), and v. similar D's Rodgers has completed 34 passes v. Chic (27th and 20th), 27 v. Wash (30th and 23rd), 27 v. Dallas (22nd and 26th), 21 and 22 v. Minni (20th and 21st)...and 26/35 v. Atlanta the first time.

Atlanta's numbers add up too...Gave up 35 and 30 to Brees (2nd most completions, 1st%), 27 to Bradford (7th! , 20th), 36 to Palmer (4th, 13th)...22/34 to Flacco (11th, 10th)...Rodgers is 10th and 5th.

Right on the limit for me...as Flacco and the Minni results show...positive being 2.20 is certainly above the odds...negative being they may well have found a running game (he went just 19/28 v. Chic in week 17 and 18/27 last week)


BOL. :0074

 

[yyz]

I wrote this for myself earlier on...


Atl do concentrate on taking away the deep ball, which inevitably leaves short patterns and check downs open.
They are 29th on the season for allowing completed passes (28th for %), and v. similar D's Rodgers has completed 34 passes v. Chic (27th and 20th), 27 v. Wash (30th and 23rd), 27 v. Dallas (22nd and 26th), 21 and 22 v. Minni (20th and 21st)...and 26/35 v. Atlanta the first time.

Atlanta's numbers add up too...Gave up 35 and 30 to Brees (2nd most completions, 1st%), 27 to Bradford (7th! , 20th), 36 to Palmer (4th, 13th)...22/34 to Flacco (11th, 10th)...Rodgers is 10th and 5th.

Right on the limit for me...as Flacco and the Minni results show...positive being 2.20 is certainly above the odds...negative being they may well have found a running game (he went just 19/28 v. Chic in week 17 and 18/27 last week)


BOL. :0074

Very nice!


The key to me is I think Atlanta will shut the door on the run, and Green Bay will be behind.

Thanks for the input!

 

[Theismann]

I think you have a winna!!!!:0074 I think GB wins straight out though but what do I know? :facepalm: Good Luck :toast:

 

[Deucer]

props for NFL >>> 1/15

props for NFL >>> 1/15

Wallace scores a receiving TD +167 (pinny) 1 unit

more to come

 

[Deucer]

Sorry bro, didn't mean to post in your thread...
My bad.:toast:

 

[Zamo]

Great write up YYZ!! :0074

 

[ripken8]

good luck with your play. i think the short dump offs will work and GB brings home the W... :0008

 

[JIMMYBOY]

Going great so far 13 completions and we have 6 minutes left on the second quarter

 

[redsfann]

Going great so far 13 completions and we have 6 minutes left on the second quarter

Huh? Might be OK if Driver had caught a pass so far, but he is 0-fer so far...:facepalm:

 

[JIMMYBOY]

We have the ball and the two minute warning is coming , so that will give us at least i think 3 more completions

 

[JIMMYBOY]

14 and couting

 

[elmer fudd]

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ cash it!!

 

[JIMMYBOY]

We are going to need just 6 more for the whole second half

 

[JIMMYBOY]

15

 

[JIMMYBOY]

16