Oregon

JEFF

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Dec 30, 2001
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ytd 31-26, -3.9*


Oregon -155, 4* to win 2.5*

OK, first off, don't even ask me why I'm taking ML and not the -3...probably stupid, but just a gut feeling :shrug: . Also, I think it should be a shootout, but total is up to 58 and that's just too many points. I wouldn't take the under either, though.

Anyways...this shapes up as a great matchup for the Ducks. Their ppowerful pass O against a suspect pass D, their great run D (56 yards per game) against a team that has to run it to win.

Trends in this one favor both teams: Oregon is 9-0 on grass, 6-0 as road fave, while Utah 9-0 ATS as dog and 10-2 ATS non-conf. But Utah has only won five of those games straight up.

Utah and Warfield have controlled ball and clock for 33 minutes a game, but they won't be able to do that tonight. Meyer says they're gonna open up the spread and throw it around, and they'll have to. But then can they beat Oregon at its own game? The backup (the current starter) is going to be feeling some pressure in this one, with Elliott all but healthy.


Lots of other stats here but suffice to say that Oregon pasing game has beaten opponents pass D by more than 60 yards than their average allowed, while Utah D has pretty much allowed everyone to gain their average. Oregon averages 34 ppg and 448 yards.


I hate betting against this Utah team (4-0 ATS), but Oregon should out-talent them in this one. Plenty of motivation involved too for the Ducks.
 
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