over plays, per the Nick D system

NJO

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Apr 24, 2001
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Milwaukee, WI
the following games have both teams traveling, playing the 2nd of back to backs tonight:

char-atl
ind-clev
utah-nj
gs-denver
detroit-seattle

I know Nick refines it to both teams coming off of close games, where starters logged a lot of minutes - I'll use at least 3 starters with 35+ minutes as the gauge.

refining it to that, over leans look to be:

indiana-cleveland
detroit-seattle

something to think about!
 

vanbasten

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Nov 21, 2001
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pennsylvania
for what its worth, i look at that trend as well, but usually throw the game out if it's the lowest total on the board. (lowest total has a tendency to come in under). doesn't apply here, but food for thought down the road...

also, this system kicked ass 2 years ago, but was less than 50% last year. ( i'm including all games that fit this system), so, yes refining and tweeking, based on close games with alot of starters getting minutes, improves the system. good luck.
 
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