Line's moved a full point since I first liked the PACK in this one. Wrote about this one in last week's thread but haven't changed any of my thoughts in spite of the line moving a full point...reason I like the PACK is the Eagles really aren't a better team than the PACK...Eagles are a young exciting team with a future stud QB and a capable young head coach...what I've seen, however, is the Eagles really don't have any threats at the skill positions for this new young QB to get the ball or handoff to...Eagles must win by having a total team concept including special teams and defense...so collectively the Eagles are just OK...the PACK don't really have any go to guys either...maybe Jordy Nelson but he's not a game changer really anymore...but I did like what I saw last week in Rogers...the score in the PACK's Redskins game was misleading...the PACK and Rogers were matching the Skins score for score through 3 1/2 quarters...the lousy Pack D finally gave way at the end...but the Skins have a ton of fire power...which the Eagles do not...so I give the edge to Rogers at QB and think he has a repeat good game...when he's the Rogers of old, they Pack is tough to beat...having Clay Matthews back full time is also a plus...think he gets a sack or two tonight...Eagles line play on both sides of the ball average...Pack Offensive line is average at best but Rogers' mobility will help that..Pack D line is really good...so see something like Pack 31, Eagles 28...Play ML as well
As far as parlays and other lines
1) Like the Pack +4 1/2 with Skins +2 1/2 with the Dolphins + 3 1/2 with the Falcons - 3 1/2 at 4:1 odds
Skins 2 and 1/2 and ML once available I'd take as well...Cardinals are a shell of their former team....Skins can score just like Atlanta did handing it to the Cards...Skins pretty routinely put up 28 points each week...will Carson put up 28? I doubt it...Cards have all kinds of weapons except no QB to get it to them...Cousins exactly the opposite...Skins can't afford to trip up in this one if they are to make the playoffs...last year they put a Dec push on and won the division...something similar is needed this year....there doesn't appear to be anything to suggest otherwise...Skins 34, Cards 20
Dolphins ML small and 3 1/2...this is a tough game to call...both teams play within themselves meaning they lelt their Defense and running game dictate the pace of the game...both have tremendous defensive fronts...both teams will try to run and neither will get anywhere...so then it comes down to passing...Flacco a slightly better QB than Tannahill..but both have strong arms...Tannehill is more inclined to get first downs running on this own which actually may come into play...where the edge goes to the Dolphins is the Ravens have very average D backs...they give huge cushions to the receivers they cover...so I could see the Dolphins marching down the field and kicking FGs.....on the other hand, the Dolphins will play the Ravens receivers tight...and think they can shut them down as a result...Flacco will be hurried all day and won't be able to dump off with these guys playing as tight as they do...Raven games all seem alike...plogging slug it out games where they try to win with their great FG kicker...they may win, but by 3 stays within the point spread..I like the Dolphins to continue their playoff chase with a 24 to 16 score or something like that.
Falscon's -3 1/2 ....Chiefs have a great front 7 for sure...but their D backs are very average...which doesn't hurt when you play Denver in the cold...but in Atlanta, watch out....Chiefs on the other hand really can't run the ball and have only one receiver that looks any good to me..the tight end...who caught about 12 balls last night...but there's no way the Chiefs can compete throwing to one receiver all night against a team full of weapons who can also run the ball...special teamsa also about the same....for Chiefs to win, they'll have to return two punt or kckoff returns and a pick six...I say they don't...Chiefs win last night keeps them in the chase but think they hit a big thud this week....Falcons 38, Chiefs 10.
As far as parlays and other lines
1) Like the Pack +4 1/2 with Skins +2 1/2 with the Dolphins + 3 1/2 with the Falcons - 3 1/2 at 4:1 odds
Skins 2 and 1/2 and ML once available I'd take as well...Cardinals are a shell of their former team....Skins can score just like Atlanta did handing it to the Cards...Skins pretty routinely put up 28 points each week...will Carson put up 28? I doubt it...Cards have all kinds of weapons except no QB to get it to them...Cousins exactly the opposite...Skins can't afford to trip up in this one if they are to make the playoffs...last year they put a Dec push on and won the division...something similar is needed this year....there doesn't appear to be anything to suggest otherwise...Skins 34, Cards 20
Dolphins ML small and 3 1/2...this is a tough game to call...both teams play within themselves meaning they lelt their Defense and running game dictate the pace of the game...both have tremendous defensive fronts...both teams will try to run and neither will get anywhere...so then it comes down to passing...Flacco a slightly better QB than Tannahill..but both have strong arms...Tannehill is more inclined to get first downs running on this own which actually may come into play...where the edge goes to the Dolphins is the Ravens have very average D backs...they give huge cushions to the receivers they cover...so I could see the Dolphins marching down the field and kicking FGs.....on the other hand, the Dolphins will play the Ravens receivers tight...and think they can shut them down as a result...Flacco will be hurried all day and won't be able to dump off with these guys playing as tight as they do...Raven games all seem alike...plogging slug it out games where they try to win with their great FG kicker...they may win, but by 3 stays within the point spread..I like the Dolphins to continue their playoff chase with a 24 to 16 score or something like that.
Falscon's -3 1/2 ....Chiefs have a great front 7 for sure...but their D backs are very average...which doesn't hurt when you play Denver in the cold...but in Atlanta, watch out....Chiefs on the other hand really can't run the ball and have only one receiver that looks any good to me..the tight end...who caught about 12 balls last night...but there's no way the Chiefs can compete throwing to one receiver all night against a team full of weapons who can also run the ball...special teamsa also about the same....for Chiefs to win, they'll have to return two punt or kckoff returns and a pick six...I say they don't...Chiefs win last night keeps them in the chase but think they hit a big thud this week....Falcons 38, Chiefs 10.
