sorry, i mean Fiesta Bowl
let me start out by saying that i'm on tilt right now. if anyone was watching gulfstream park a few minutes ago... i had that 6 horse flying at the end to get into the dead heat at 14-1. i'm on tilt because if he stuck a nose in front, i would have won about $1,500 more.
although i was almost REALLY on tilt... because i also had him on my pick 6 ticket along with the 35-1 shot that won the first leg. but i only had the winner of the 5th leg on a different ticket. so with some different ticket construction, that dead heat would have cost me thousands more.
ok, i'm done whining about just missing a huge payout. time to move on to football. the reason why we're all here tonight.
anyone who has read any of my college football posts the last two years probably knows who i'm taking tonight.
kansas state (+8) 2 units. i'll try to keep it as brief as possible, because it's mostly the same stuff i've been saying about k st for 2 years. primarily - this team continues to be undervalued by the linesmakers and the public. they have gone 18-5-1 ATS over the last 2 years. that includes a 9-2 record STRAIGHT UP as an underdog. apparently both the computers and the bettors don't believe this team is for real.
i absolutely trust coach snyder to have this team ready to play.
i haven't watched oregon play much this year, but i don't think their offense is all that different from what k st has faced all year in the big 12. feel free to correct me if i'm wrong.
oregon thrives on forcing turnovers, much like florida. they forced 38 TO's which tied for the most in the country. but much like louisville, k st doesn't turn the ball over. only one team turned the ball over less this season than k st.
k st has the type of offense that can grind out long possessions. that is the best way to slow down an offense like oregon's that likes to keep coming at you. the less they are on the field. the less rhythm they can build.
mariota is a freshman qb. this is really his first game on a really big stage. who knows how he'll handle it?
under (73.5) 1 unit. hard to believe this line has dropped. that tells me we're going to see less scoring than most people expect.
hey, whatever we lose tonight we can get back on oklahoma tomorrow night. :toast:
let me start out by saying that i'm on tilt right now. if anyone was watching gulfstream park a few minutes ago... i had that 6 horse flying at the end to get into the dead heat at 14-1. i'm on tilt because if he stuck a nose in front, i would have won about $1,500 more.
although i was almost REALLY on tilt... because i also had him on my pick 6 ticket along with the 35-1 shot that won the first leg. but i only had the winner of the 5th leg on a different ticket. so with some different ticket construction, that dead heat would have cost me thousands more.
ok, i'm done whining about just missing a huge payout. time to move on to football. the reason why we're all here tonight.
anyone who has read any of my college football posts the last two years probably knows who i'm taking tonight.
kansas state (+8) 2 units. i'll try to keep it as brief as possible, because it's mostly the same stuff i've been saying about k st for 2 years. primarily - this team continues to be undervalued by the linesmakers and the public. they have gone 18-5-1 ATS over the last 2 years. that includes a 9-2 record STRAIGHT UP as an underdog. apparently both the computers and the bettors don't believe this team is for real.
i absolutely trust coach snyder to have this team ready to play.
i haven't watched oregon play much this year, but i don't think their offense is all that different from what k st has faced all year in the big 12. feel free to correct me if i'm wrong.
oregon thrives on forcing turnovers, much like florida. they forced 38 TO's which tied for the most in the country. but much like louisville, k st doesn't turn the ball over. only one team turned the ball over less this season than k st.
k st has the type of offense that can grind out long possessions. that is the best way to slow down an offense like oregon's that likes to keep coming at you. the less they are on the field. the less rhythm they can build.
mariota is a freshman qb. this is really his first game on a really big stage. who knows how he'll handle it?
under (73.5) 1 unit. hard to believe this line has dropped. that tells me we're going to see less scoring than most people expect.
hey, whatever we lose tonight we can get back on oklahoma tomorrow night. :toast:
