Pdawg's Sat (10/22) Plays

[Pdawg]

NCAA Record: 6-4, +4.0 Units


Purdue at Wisconsin (-8), 2 units.

Wisonsin has been solid at home this year, posting wins over Michigan (23-20) and Indiana (41-24). Their only loss was at Northwestern in an OT thriller. They went into Minny last week and came away with a tough win. Wisconsin has a share of the Big Ten lead and has a lot to play for here.

Purdue on the other hand is winless in the Big Ten and 2-4 overall. They lost at home last week to Northwestern and are in the midst of a 4 game losing streak. While their games have been relatively close, Purdue will have a tough time moving the ball against Wisconsin. More importantly, they'll have an even tougher time stopping the Badger attack. Wisconsin wins compfotably.

Some trends:

Purdue: 1-9 ATS off BB games allowing 450+ total yards

Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS in home games

WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992

 

[Pdawg]

NCAA Record: 6-4, +4.0 Units

Baylor (+14) at Oklahoma, 1 unit

Who would've thought that 6 games into the season, Baylor would have a better record than Oklahoma. While the meat of Baylor's schedule remains (home games vs. Texas and TT), they've shown they can play. Their only losses come at Texas A&M (16-13) and at home vs. Nebraska (23-14). Oklahoma's losses have been of the ugly variety. Blowouts at UCLA (41-24) and at Texas (45-12). A third loss at home to TCU doesn't help their image. This Oklahoma team isn't the Stopps teams of yester-year. Even at Kansas, the Sooners looked average at best against the sorry Jayhawks, winning 19-3.

Baylor covers easily and might even squeak out an upset win.

Some Trends:

Baylor: 8-0 ATS off an ATS loss

Oklahoma: 2-8 ATS off an Under

BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons

OKLAHOMA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992

BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons

 

[Pdawg]

NCAA Record: 6-4, +4.0 Units

Michigan at Iowa (-3), 1 unit

Iowa at home is a different beast. All games at home haven't even been close and tied for the Big 10 lead, Iowa will look to keep that going against a Michigan team that is having its worst season in many years. On the road this yea, Michigan has lost to Wisconsin and won at Michigan State. While the Michigan State game is a notch on the belt, intra-state games are tough to evaluate. Likewise, Iowa's early loss to Iowa St. was an anomaly. Iowa is a good team that is unbeatable at home. Look for Iowa to keep it going.

Trends:
Iowa: 12-2 ATS as a home favorite

IOWA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons

IOWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons

IOWA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

IOWA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

 

[MIPS]

good luck PDawg, I am on Iowa as well... :clap:

 

[MIPS]

Pdaw nice day... good call on Baylor. Iowa had it and blew so many chances to put it away... to be honest you got so lucky on the Wisky Play. Purdue outgained them by nearly 200 and that back up BUM QB gave WISKY so many free pts... better lucky than skill i guess..

lost on iowa n kent st but made a nice run in hold em to have a profitable day