Pitcher revenge

Valuist

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Aug 21, 2001
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This angle came up Wednesday as Pavano and Montreal turned the tables on Penny/Florida at +150. Today, its Jason Bere and the Cubs (-118) taking on Dave Williams and the Pirates, who beat them last week. The rules for pitcher revenge are this:

1) The two pitchers face each other again no more than 2 starts after the initial meeting; preferably in both of their next start.

2) The starter for the losing team in the first matchup must be credited with the loss. For instance, if Bere got a no-decision last week and the Cubs lost to the Pirates, they would not qualify as a play today.

In Mike Lee's book "Betting the Bases", he did a 3 year study and it produced the results of 65-31 with a ROI of 15%.
 

PerpetualCzech

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Feb 24, 2002
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GREAT idea for an angle and nice to see results from a study that supports it.

I love it even more when it's the road pitcher in the second game who is going for revenge. Getting embarassed at home in front of your fans has to only add fuel to the motivation.
 
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