The play of the year is MINNESOTA +6.5 I sure wish I could get the half point, but I honestly dont think we will need it. First of all....division home dogs of this high of a number are ALWAYS solid bets. Especially Minnesota in the dome, and especially against Green Bay in any dome. Always bet against road favs that put up 40 or more points in their last game (which GB did last week) Betting home teams that run the ball well are usually good bets this late in the season as well. This is a perfect spot for Minnesota as Green bay will play its first "real" opponant in awhile next week at Tampa. TAKE THE POINTS, they are a gift.
other plays....
Carolina +9
Tampa Bay is like 20% in covering any number of 8 the last 3 years. They just dont have the offensive weapons to do it. Nor do they have the desire when they can win games 20-13, 17-14, etc. The weather is very wet and windy in Tampa today...they will have an affect on the punting, field goal kicking, and passing game. It will be ugly, but look for Tampa Bay to pull off the 10-7 win.
Seattle +5
Bet on the home underdog if it won as an underdog in its last game, as seattle kicked Az's ass last week. Seattle will be able to keep this one close and maybe pull off the outright. Denver off the short week going on the road will also play a role in this outcome.
Detroit +3
Play the home dog that gave up 40 or more points in its last outing. Detroit has been playing decent ball before their debacle at GB last week, but they are back in the dome, where they are actually playing exceptional football. The Jets are overachieving, which is better than the crap they were doing at the beginning of the season, but to cover as a road fav in this spot is asking too much.
San Diego +2
This is just a gut play. I think that San Fran has been on the rope for two games now, and pulled both of them out against Oakland and KC. Now they get their third dose of the AFC West in as many weeks. They go to San Diego to play a team that gave up a loss on the road that they had in the bag. I look for them to try and impress the home crowd and get back on track.
Under Miami/Baltimore 34.5
WIND and RAIN, means lots of running. Both have great run D's with Ray Lewis coming back. The kicking games will not be so much of a factor with the wind, and the punts will be a lot shorter. Combined with the two backup QB's under center and this should be a boring game.
Under Tampa Bay/Carolina 34.5
Remember a few weeks back. These two teams havent been in the end zone against each other. It might not happen today either. The kicking game wont combine for 7 field gials in the wind either. The wind is worse in Tampa than in Miami, so this will be your typical 10-7 game.
GOOD LUCK
other plays....
Carolina +9
Tampa Bay is like 20% in covering any number of 8 the last 3 years. They just dont have the offensive weapons to do it. Nor do they have the desire when they can win games 20-13, 17-14, etc. The weather is very wet and windy in Tampa today...they will have an affect on the punting, field goal kicking, and passing game. It will be ugly, but look for Tampa Bay to pull off the 10-7 win.
Seattle +5
Bet on the home underdog if it won as an underdog in its last game, as seattle kicked Az's ass last week. Seattle will be able to keep this one close and maybe pull off the outright. Denver off the short week going on the road will also play a role in this outcome.
Detroit +3
Play the home dog that gave up 40 or more points in its last outing. Detroit has been playing decent ball before their debacle at GB last week, but they are back in the dome, where they are actually playing exceptional football. The Jets are overachieving, which is better than the crap they were doing at the beginning of the season, but to cover as a road fav in this spot is asking too much.
San Diego +2
This is just a gut play. I think that San Fran has been on the rope for two games now, and pulled both of them out against Oakland and KC. Now they get their third dose of the AFC West in as many weeks. They go to San Diego to play a team that gave up a loss on the road that they had in the bag. I look for them to try and impress the home crowd and get back on track.
Under Miami/Baltimore 34.5
WIND and RAIN, means lots of running. Both have great run D's with Ray Lewis coming back. The kicking games will not be so much of a factor with the wind, and the punts will be a lot shorter. Combined with the two backup QB's under center and this should be a boring game.
Under Tampa Bay/Carolina 34.5
Remember a few weeks back. These two teams havent been in the end zone against each other. It might not happen today either. The kicking game wont combine for 7 field gials in the wind either. The wind is worse in Tampa than in Miami, so this will be your typical 10-7 game.
GOOD LUCK
