Playing These...
- Thread starter Anders
- Start date
glad to see we are on the same!!
what are your thoughts on...
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this is what I got down on...
TENN -4 for 5%
TENN OVER 43.5 for 1.5%
PHI -7 (bought the half) for 5.5%
PHI UNDER 40 for 1%
ATL under 15.5 team total for 2%
TB -5 for 5.5%
TB under 40 for 1.5% (bought the half)
NYJ +6 for 3%
NYJ ML - still waiting but should lay about 2%
leaning to the over on JETS, might pass.
what are your thoughts on...
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this is what I got down on...
TENN -4 for 5%
TENN OVER 43.5 for 1.5%
PHI -7 (bought the half) for 5.5%
PHI UNDER 40 for 1%
ATL under 15.5 team total for 2%
TB -5 for 5.5%
TB under 40 for 1.5% (bought the half)
NYJ +6 for 3%
NYJ ML - still waiting but should lay about 2%
leaning to the over on JETS, might pass.
atx
like your picks
Kind of went off the deep end today though.
round robin parlay with these
ten -4
over 44
philly -7.5
under 38.5
tb-5
under 39.5
jets +5.5
over 47.5
total of 28 bets
based on a 2.6 payout for a two team
8-0 72.8 units
7-1 63.2 units
6-2 26 units
5-3 8 units
4-4 -6.4 units
3-5 -17.2
did not want to do the math for the last two
My book was not to happy , why I don't know. Not like I have been in his pockets this year :thefinger Think he might not be too happy if I went 8-0 . :moon:
Should be a fun weekend of football.
Good luck
like your picks
Kind of went off the deep end today though.
round robin parlay with these
ten -4
over 44
philly -7.5
under 38.5
tb-5
under 39.5
jets +5.5
over 47.5
total of 28 bets
based on a 2.6 payout for a two team
8-0 72.8 units
7-1 63.2 units
6-2 26 units
5-3 8 units
4-4 -6.4 units
3-5 -17.2
did not want to do the math for the last two
My book was not to happy , why I don't know. Not like I have been in his pockets this year :thefinger Think he might not be too happy if I went 8-0 . :moon:
Should be a fun weekend of football.
Good luck
GL guys 
Way too many wagers even for a degenrate like me
At this stage, I feel u r on the right side with most of them but I'm leaning to the Raiders and under....
Season to Date:
Sides) 28-14-1 (66.67%) +22.30 units
Totals) 23-7 (76.67%) +18.10 units
O/all) 51-21-1 + (70.83%) +40.40 units
ML) 5-4 +9.10 units
All up) +49.50 units
Kick off time!!
Way too many wagers even for a degenrate like me
At this stage, I feel u r on the right side with most of them but I'm leaning to the Raiders and under....
Season to Date:
Sides) 28-14-1 (66.67%) +22.30 units
Totals) 23-7 (76.67%) +18.10 units
O/all) 51-21-1 + (70.83%) +40.40 units
ML) 5-4 +9.10 units
All up) +49.50 units
Kick off time!!
I place at least 3000 wagers per year, closer to 4500, usually risk between 1% and 2% on each.
am up over 150% on NFL this year so I made the decision to risk more on the playoff SUBSET.
I have noted a statistical phenomenon which is that the more wagers I place (to a certain point) the higher my win percentage. This approach minimizes bad breaks and makes your true edge apparent. In the NFL and NBA the points (sides) dont matter much (16%) and there are team tendencies that help a bit. The bottom line is that I cant make the 350% in the stock market that I make in this sports market.
love your views
young enough to learn, old enough to know
am up over 150% on NFL this year so I made the decision to risk more on the playoff SUBSET.
I have noted a statistical phenomenon which is that the more wagers I place (to a certain point) the higher my win percentage. This approach minimizes bad breaks and makes your true edge apparent. In the NFL and NBA the points (sides) dont matter much (16%) and there are team tendencies that help a bit. The bottom line is that I cant make the 350% in the stock market that I make in this sports market.
love your views
young enough to learn, old enough to know
Good work guys :toast:
ATX - a lot of good points. I must search thru my records and see how many games I play a year. Has changed a bit in recent months as I've made some significant alterations to the way I cap games.
Back later with Sunday plays :spotting:
ATX - a lot of good points. I must search thru my records and see how many games I play a year. Has changed a bit in recent months as I've made some significant alterations to the way I cap games.
Back later with Sunday plays :spotting:
anders, I appreciate your thoughts!!
ussrv, I went way off the deep end and had way too much tied up with PHI and ATL not scoring more than 10. I'm glad things worked out for me, I usually wager 1.5% or less on a game. I thought there were some big holes on the odds in that game fwiw.
I really like the 2nd half under 23 TB/SF. The halftime line when it comes out should be less than 20, I think most probably 17 or 17.5. I already have the under 40 for the game and I dont want to get squared in again. I like the under 23 as much as any game I've seen this year.
I also took PHI -3.5 over TB and the under 35.5, fwiw.
As far as the heavy volume of wagers that I play, I should hit my next 1000 or so in a row, LOL.
ussrv, I went way off the deep end and had way too much tied up with PHI and ATL not scoring more than 10. I'm glad things worked out for me, I usually wager 1.5% or less on a game. I thought there were some big holes on the odds in that game fwiw.
I really like the 2nd half under 23 TB/SF. The halftime line when it comes out should be less than 20, I think most probably 17 or 17.5. I already have the under 40 for the game and I dont want to get squared in again. I like the under 23 as much as any game I've seen this year.
I also took PHI -3.5 over TB and the under 35.5, fwiw.
As far as the heavy volume of wagers that I play, I should hit my next 1000 or so in a row, LOL.
Sat: 2-1
Sunday: Jets/Raiders u48
When I finally get out of this damn office - anyone else hate working at 9.36pm on a Sun nite :shrug: :moon: - I'm off with the missus and the rugrats for a few days hols at the beach with nothing but a few Heinekens, my board shorts and some sunglasses to hide my perving
GL 2 u all, back in time for next week's games...
Sunday: Jets/Raiders u48
When I finally get out of this damn office - anyone else hate working at 9.36pm on a Sun nite :shrug: :moon: - I'm off with the missus and the rugrats for a few days hols at the beach with nothing but a few Heinekens, my board shorts and some sunglasses to hide my perving
GL 2 u all, back in time for next week's games...
Mate got your mail and thanks for the soccer sites. Will get started this week. Took all of last week week off. Besides a few plays here and there for just a unit or 2 each. I feel the energy coming back
Talk to ya laterzzz
Forza Juve
Talk to ya laterzzz
Forza Juve
Cheers guys
Just got back from Waihi Beach - a man can only take so much surf, sand and sun
Weekend: 3-1
STD:
Sides: 29-15-1 65.91% +22.20 units
Totals: 25-7 78.13% +20.10 units
O/all: 53-22-1 70.66% +42.30 units
ML: 5-4 +9.10 units
All up: +51.40 units
Gotta improve my totals work
Tone - will be ripping into the soccer when I get back to work in 4 days - should have some more Oz Open tennis for tomorrow
Just got back from Waihi Beach - a man can only take so much surf, sand and sun
Weekend: 3-1
STD:
Sides: 29-15-1 65.91% +22.20 units
Totals: 25-7 78.13% +20.10 units
O/all: 53-22-1 70.66% +42.30 units
ML: 5-4 +9.10 units
All up: +51.40 units
Gotta improve my totals work
Tone - will be ripping into the soccer when I get back to work in 4 days - should have some more Oz Open tennis for tomorrow
