first 8-12 games or first 3 weeks play under,under,under- teams are fresher,haVE NeW PLAYERS IN MANY CASES NEW SYSTEMS TO PLAY IN AND are usually not upto snuff on their jump shot- meanwhile vegas inflates the totals a bit knowing people like the overs or look at trends from last year to cap totals. if you are going to play a over you really need to like it because more times than not the game will come under the number.