ytd 17-14 +200
Toledo -13.5 220/200
Love going against teams that were big dogs the week before and came close to winning. Really think Ohio has not completely gotten over the Marshall loss. Their defense has been playing very well and I usually side w/ strong 'D's over strong offenses but I just don't think they slow down this Toledo machine right now. Toledo is usually $ @ home as a fav last 3 yrs.
Wisconsin +7 220/200
ML +220 50/110
Here is a scenario where I do favor the strong defense going up against the strong offense. I just can't pass up getting a TD w/ a team that gives up less than 200 yds a game. No they haven't played an offense like this but Purdue hasn't played a defense like this either. The strength of the badger D is their DL and I think they have a great chance to rattle Orton and come away w/ the win or hopefully at least a close loss. Wisky is also 11-5 after Ohio St last 16 so no big worries about a letdown.
ASU +10.5 220/200
ASU ML +380 50/190
This might be my favorite play on the board. I do worry the line is dropping though. But ASU seems to be the forgotten team in the PAC10 as all I hear about is USC and Cal. Their stats on offense and defense are almost identical to USC and the trojans are off the big revenge game vs Cal. Cal very well could have won that game and even if the trojans win here I think it is another close game. ASU is 5-0 ats and after underacheiving last yr are playing to their potential this year. Maybe ASU gets blown out but this has upset written all over it to me.
Mich St +9.5 220/200
Mich St ML +300 50/150
Not a good matchup for the Spartans with their bad rush defense. But college fb is all about emotions and picking your spots. Minny is 1-10 ats after Michigan. And like last yr they lost to them in heartbreaking fashion. Maybe not as bad as last yr but they still had the lead late and lost it. Last yr (when Minny had the same power rushing attack) the played at Mich St as favorites and lost. No question their coach is reminding them of that but I still think they come out flat in this one.
Texas -14 220/200
Texas is 5-0 ats after Oklahoma the last 5 yrs and 11-2 ats after a straight up loss under Mack Brown. I also think Missouri is pretty overrated. They have 3 road wins in the last 3 yrs and only one of them vs quality teams: Baylor this yr, Ball St last yr and TX a&m the year before, but even that win was an OT comeback. Just think given their road woes and Texas' solid #'s after a loss and after OU this could be a blowout.
Utah St +22.5 220/200
Another dangerous play where the fav could have the spread easily beat by halftime. But Clemson has to be the most overrated team coming into the year. They are in the bottom 3 on offense and defense in the ACC. Tough schedule, yes but this team should be better. They are also 3-11 ats last 14 when favored by 19+ pts and 5-13-1 ats at home vs non conference teams. Utah St is pretty lousy but I just don't think the Tigers will be too up for this one.
Have leans to Ill +17 and Akron +2.5 but this should be it for today..gl to all!
Toledo -13.5 220/200
Love going against teams that were big dogs the week before and came close to winning. Really think Ohio has not completely gotten over the Marshall loss. Their defense has been playing very well and I usually side w/ strong 'D's over strong offenses but I just don't think they slow down this Toledo machine right now. Toledo is usually $ @ home as a fav last 3 yrs.
Wisconsin +7 220/200
ML +220 50/110
Here is a scenario where I do favor the strong defense going up against the strong offense. I just can't pass up getting a TD w/ a team that gives up less than 200 yds a game. No they haven't played an offense like this but Purdue hasn't played a defense like this either. The strength of the badger D is their DL and I think they have a great chance to rattle Orton and come away w/ the win or hopefully at least a close loss. Wisky is also 11-5 after Ohio St last 16 so no big worries about a letdown.
ASU +10.5 220/200
ASU ML +380 50/190
This might be my favorite play on the board. I do worry the line is dropping though. But ASU seems to be the forgotten team in the PAC10 as all I hear about is USC and Cal. Their stats on offense and defense are almost identical to USC and the trojans are off the big revenge game vs Cal. Cal very well could have won that game and even if the trojans win here I think it is another close game. ASU is 5-0 ats and after underacheiving last yr are playing to their potential this year. Maybe ASU gets blown out but this has upset written all over it to me.
Mich St +9.5 220/200
Mich St ML +300 50/150
Not a good matchup for the Spartans with their bad rush defense. But college fb is all about emotions and picking your spots. Minny is 1-10 ats after Michigan. And like last yr they lost to them in heartbreaking fashion. Maybe not as bad as last yr but they still had the lead late and lost it. Last yr (when Minny had the same power rushing attack) the played at Mich St as favorites and lost. No question their coach is reminding them of that but I still think they come out flat in this one.
Texas -14 220/200
Texas is 5-0 ats after Oklahoma the last 5 yrs and 11-2 ats after a straight up loss under Mack Brown. I also think Missouri is pretty overrated. They have 3 road wins in the last 3 yrs and only one of them vs quality teams: Baylor this yr, Ball St last yr and TX a&m the year before, but even that win was an OT comeback. Just think given their road woes and Texas' solid #'s after a loss and after OU this could be a blowout.
Utah St +22.5 220/200
Another dangerous play where the fav could have the spread easily beat by halftime. But Clemson has to be the most overrated team coming into the year. They are in the bottom 3 on offense and defense in the ACC. Tough schedule, yes but this team should be better. They are also 3-11 ats last 14 when favored by 19+ pts and 5-13-1 ats at home vs non conference teams. Utah St is pretty lousy but I just don't think the Tigers will be too up for this one.
Have leans to Ill +17 and Akron +2.5 but this should be it for today..gl to all!
